SQQQ 预期波动历史 ProShares - UltraPro Short QQQ
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内49%
|实际值| 低于预期值48%
平均预期波动幅度±8.7%
平均|实际|波动幅度8.2%
平均绝对误差5.0pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 37.41 | ±6.0% | 35.18–39.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 38.90 | ±8.0% | 35.80–42.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 36.09 | ±7.1% | 33.51–38.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 33.96 | ±6.7% | 31.70–36.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 32.93 | ±7.0% | 30.62–35.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 33.30 | ±8.6% | 30.45–36.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 32.06 | ±8.2% | 29.44–34.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 31.78 | ±8.5% | 29.07–34.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 32.23 | ±9.0% | 29.32–35.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 33.14 | ±9.9% | 29.86–36.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 34.12 | ±11.2% | 30.29–37.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 33.65 | ±12.6% | 29.40–37.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 33.84 | ±12.6% | 29.56–38.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 34.61 | ±13.2% | 30.04–39.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 37.69 | ±12.9% | 32.84–42.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 38.56 | ±12.9% | 33.60–43.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 40.54 | ±16.0% | 34.06–47.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 40.49 | ±15.8% | 34.09–46.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 39.71 | ±14.9% | 33.79–45.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 38.85 | ±15.7% | 32.77–44.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 39.78 | ±18.1% | 32.57–46.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 38.65 | ±16.6% | 32.24–45.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 38.34 | ±17.0% | 31.84–44.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 38.36 | ±16.4% | 32.09–44.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 38.35 | ±16.4% | 32.08–44.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 38.42 | ±16.9% | 31.91–44.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 37.41 | ±9.8% | 33.74–41.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 38.90 | ±11.3% | 34.48–43.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 36.09 | ±10.2% | 32.41–39.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 33.96 | ±9.4% | 30.78–37.14 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.5% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 38.90 → 38.90 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +7.8% | 区间外 | 36.09 → 38.90 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +14.5% | 区间外 | 33.96 → 38.90 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +18.1% | 区间外 | 32.93 → 38.90 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | +16.8% | 区间外 | 33.30 → 38.90 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | +21.3% | 区间外 | 32.06 → 38.90 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +22.4% | 区间外 | 31.78 → 38.90 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +20.7% | 区间外 | 32.23 → 38.90 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | +17.4% | 区间外 | 33.14 → 38.90 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.8% | +14.0% | 区间外 | 34.12 → 38.90 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.0% | +15.6% | 区间外 | 33.65 → 38.90 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | +15.0% | 区间外 | 33.84 → 38.90 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | +12.4% | 区间外 | 34.61 → 38.90 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | +3.2% | 区间内 | 37.69 → 38.90 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 38.56 → 38.90 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.5% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 40.54 → 38.90 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.0% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 40.49 → 38.90 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.0% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 39.71 → 38.90 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.3% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 38.85 → 38.90 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.6% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 39.78 → 38.90 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.1% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 38.65 → 38.90 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.6% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 38.34 → 38.90 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.0% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 38.36 → 38.90 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.0% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 38.35 → 38.90 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.3% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 38.42 → 38.90 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.9% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 39.76 → 38.90 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.3% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 39.97 → 38.90 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.9% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 38.50 → 38.90 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.3% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 32.93 → 32.95 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 33.30 → 32.95 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | +2.8% | 区间外 | 32.06 → 32.95 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | +3.7% | 区间外 | 31.78 → 32.95 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | +2.2% | 区间内 | 32.23 → 32.95 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 33.14 → 32.95 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 34.12 → 32.95 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 33.65 → 32.95 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 33.84 → 32.95 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | -4.8% | 区间内 | 34.61 → 32.95 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | -12.6% | 区间外 | 37.69 → 32.95 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | -14.5% | 区间外 | 38.56 → 32.95 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.3% | -18.7% | 区间外 | 40.54 → 32.95 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.3% | -18.6% | 区间外 | 40.49 → 32.95 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | -17.0% | 区间外 | 39.71 → 32.95 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.5% | -15.2% | 区间外 | 38.85 → 32.95 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.3% | -17.2% | 区间外 | 39.78 → 32.95 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | -14.8% | 区间外 | 38.65 → 32.95 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.1% | -14.1% | 区间内 | 38.34 → 32.95 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.1% | -14.1% | 区间外 | 38.36 → 32.95 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.1% | -14.1% | 区间内 | 38.35 → 32.95 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.0% | -14.2% | 区间外 | 38.42 → 32.95 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.1% | -17.1% | 区间外 | 39.76 → 32.95 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.6% | -17.6% | 区间外 | 39.97 → 32.95 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | -14.4% | 区间外 | 38.50 → 32.95 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.5% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 33.14 → 33.12 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.8% | -2.9% | 区间外 | 34.12 → 33.12 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.7% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 33.65 → 33.12 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.9% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 33.84 → 33.12 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.6% | -4.3% | 区间内 | 34.61 → 33.12 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.5% | -12.1% | 区间外 | 37.69 → 33.12 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.4% | -14.1% | 区间外 | 38.56 → 33.12 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.