SPOT geschiedenis verwachte beweging Spotify Technology S.A.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost93
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte51%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht51%
Gem. verwachte beweging±5.7%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging6.0%
Gem. abs. fout3.3pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 530.46 | ±0.7% | 526.60–534.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 523.96 | ±2.7% | 509.99–537.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 528.17 | ±3.0% | 512.07–544.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 529.14 | ±4.1% | 507.64–550.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 526.00 | ±4.5% | 502.48–549.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 512.92 | ±5.0% | 487.27–538.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 488.13 | ±4.9% | 464.03–512.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 482.97 | ±5.2% | 457.94–508.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 472.89 | ±5.9% | 444.99–500.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 490.50 | ±6.3% | 459.77–521.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 501.30 | ±8.5% | 458.88–543.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 500.61 | ±8.3% | 459.00–542.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 515.96 | ±8.1% | 474.13–557.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 512.45 | ±8.4% | 469.52–555.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 534.47 | ±8.5% | 488.79–580.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 552.78 | ±8.9% | 503.31–602.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 558.37 | ±8.9% | 508.39–608.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 556.31 | ±9.1% | 505.66–606.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 528.48 | ±9.6% | 478.00–578.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 521.49 | ±9.9% | 469.96–573.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 528.50 | ±10.0% | 475.62–581.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 531.79 | ±9.8% | 479.49–584.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 542.43 | ±10.0% | 488.40–596.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 561.41 | ±10.0% | 505.08–617.74 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 564.30 | ±9.9% | 508.40–620.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 563.48 | ±10.9% | 502.25–624.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 551.20 | ±10.6% | 492.78–609.63 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 543.06 | ±10.7% | 485.04–601.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 530.46 | ±9.5% | 480.19–580.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 523.96 | ±9.6% | 473.74–574.18 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.5% | +0.0% | binnen | 529.14 → 529.14 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +0.6% | binnen | 526.00 → 529.14 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +3.2% | buiten | 512.92 → 529.14 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | +8.4% | buiten | 488.13 → 529.14 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | +9.6% | buiten | 482.97 → 529.14 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | +11.9% | buiten | 472.89 → 529.14 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | +7.9% | buiten | 490.50 → 529.14 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | +5.6% | binnen | 501.30 → 529.14 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | +5.7% | binnen | 500.61 → 529.14 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | +2.6% | binnen | 515.96 → 529.14 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | +3.3% | binnen | 512.45 → 529.14 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -1.0% | binnen | 534.47 → 529.14 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.8% | -4.3% | binnen | 552.78 → 529.14 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.8% | -5.2% | binnen | 558.37 → 529.14 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | -4.9% | binnen | 556.31 → 529.14 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.6% | +0.1% | binnen | 528.48 → 529.14 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | +1.5% | binnen | 521.49 → 529.14 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | +0.1% | binnen | 528.50 → 529.14 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | -0.5% | binnen | 531.79 → 529.14 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | -2.5% | binnen | 542.43 → 529.14 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -5.7% | binnen | 561.41 → 529.14 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.1% | -6.2% | binnen | 564.30 → 529.14 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | -6.1% | binnen | 563.48 → 529.14 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -4.0% | binnen | 551.20 → 529.14 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | -2.6% | binnen | 543.06 → 529.14 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.5% | +0.0% | binnen | 472.89 → 472.89 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | -3.6% | buiten | 490.50 → 472.89 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -5.7% | buiten | 501.30 → 472.89 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -5.5% | buiten | 500.61 → 472.89 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -8.3% | buiten | 515.96 → 472.89 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -7.7% | buiten | 512.45 → 472.89 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -11.5% | buiten | 534.47 → 472.89 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | -14.5% | buiten | 552.78 → 472.89 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.6% | -15.3% | buiten | 558.37 → 472.89 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.0% | -15.0% | buiten | 556.31 → 472.89 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.5% | -10.5% | buiten | 528.48 → 472.89 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | -9.3% | buiten | 521.49 → 472.89 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.0% | -10.5% | buiten | 528.50 → 472.89 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | -11.1% | buiten | 531.79 → 472.89 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | -12.8% | buiten | 542.43 → 472.89 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | -15.8% | buiten | 561.41 → 472.89 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | -16.2% | buiten | 564.30 → 472.89 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.9% | -16.1% | buiten | 563.48 → 472.89 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.7% | -14.2% | buiten | 551.20 → 472.89 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | -12.9% | buiten | 543.06 → 472.89 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.3% | +1.7% | binnen | 501.30 → 510.01 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.4% | +1.9% | binnen | 500.61 → 510.01 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | -1.2% | binnen | 515.96 → 510.01 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.2% | -0.5% | binnen | 512.45 → 510.01 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | -4.6% | buiten | 534.47 → 510.01 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.9% | -7.7% | buiten | 552.78 → 510.01 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.3% | -8.7% | buiten | 558.37 → 510.01 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.6% | -8.3% | buiten | 556.31 → 510.01 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.2% | -3.5% | binnen | 528.48 → 510.01 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.3% | -2.2% | binnen | 521.49 → 510.01 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.9% | -3.5% | binnen | 528.50 → 510.01 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.9% | -4.1% | binnen | 531.79 → 510.01 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.9% | -6.0% | binnen | 542.43 → 510.01 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.9% | -9.2% | buiten | 561.41 → 510.01 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.0% | -9.6% | buiten | 564.30 → 510.01 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.