SOUN 预期波动历史 SoundHound AI, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内54%
|实际值| 低于预期值54%
平均预期波动幅度±9.1%
平均|实际|波动幅度8.5%
平均绝对误差2.7pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 4.67 | ±4.2% | 4.47–4.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 4.50 | ±4.0% | 4.32–4.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 4.90 | ±4.9% | 4.66–5.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 5.40 | ±5.6% | 5.10–5.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 5.53 | ±6.1% | 5.19–5.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 5.62 | ±7.9% | 5.17–6.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 5.73 | ±7.2% | 5.32–6.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 5.88 | ±7.4% | 5.45–6.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 5.82 | ±8.5% | 5.33–6.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 6.07 | ±8.6% | 5.55–6.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 6.12 | ±12.1% | 5.38–6.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 6.12 | ±12.1% | 5.38–6.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 6.17 | ±11.7% | 5.46–6.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 5.90 | ±12.8% | 5.14–6.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 6.02 | ±13.5% | 5.21–6.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 5.99 | ±14.0% | 5.15–6.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 6.18 | ±13.7% | 5.33–7.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 6.46 | ±14.7% | 5.51–7.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 6.27 | ±14.4% | 5.37–7.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 6.28 | ±16.2% | 5.26–7.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 6.49 | ±16.4% | 5.42–7.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 6.59 | ±18.7% | 5.36–7.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 6.74 | ±17.2% | 5.58–7.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 6.73 | ±17.2% | 5.57–7.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 6.74 | ±17.7% | 5.54–7.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 6.79 | ±18.5% | 5.54–8.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 6.87 | ±18.1% | 5.63–8.12 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 7.17 | ±18.6% | 5.84–8.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 4.67 | ±7.6% | 4.32–5.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 4.50 | ±6.8% | 4.20–4.81 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 5.40 → 5.39 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -2.5% | 区间外 | 5.53 → 5.39 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -4.0% | 区间外 | 5.62 → 5.39 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 5.73 → 5.39 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 5.88 → 5.39 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -7.4% | 区间外 | 5.82 → 5.39 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -11.2% | 区间外 | 6.07 → 5.39 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | -11.9% | 区间外 | 6.12 → 5.39 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | -11.9% | 区间外 | 6.12 → 5.39 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | -12.7% | 区间外 | 6.17 → 5.39 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | -8.6% | 区间内 | 5.90 → 5.39 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.4% | -10.5% | 区间内 | 6.02 → 5.39 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | -10.0% | 区间内 | 5.99 → 5.39 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.2% | -12.8% | 区间外 | 6.18 → 5.39 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.1% | -16.6% | 区间外 | 6.46 → 5.39 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.3% | -14.0% | 区间外 | 6.27 → 5.39 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.3% | -14.2% | 区间内 | 6.28 → 5.39 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.7% | -16.9% | 区间外 | 6.49 → 5.39 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.6% | -18.2% | 区间外 | 6.59 → 5.39 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.8% | -20.0% | 区间外 | 6.74 → 5.39 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.9% | -19.9% | 区间外 | 6.73 → 5.39 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.3% | -20.0% | 区间外 | 6.74 → 5.39 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.2% | -20.6% | 区间外 | 6.79 → 5.39 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.6% | -21.5% | 区间外 | 6.87 → 5.39 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.8% | -24.8% | 区间外 | 7.17 → 5.39 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.0% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 5.82 → 5.84 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.5% | -3.8% | 区间外 | 6.07 → 5.84 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 6.12 → 5.84 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 6.12 → 5.84 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.6% | -5.4% | 区间内 | 6.17 → 5.84 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.1% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 5.90 → 5.84 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.6% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 6.02 → 5.84 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.0% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 5.99 → 5.84 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.3% | -5.5% | 区间内 | 6.18 → 5.84 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.9% | -9.6% | 区间外 | 6.46 → 5.84 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.6% | -6.9% | 区间内 | 6.27 → 5.84 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.9% | -7.0% | 区间内 | 6.28 → 5.84 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.6% | -10.0% | 区间内 | 6.49 → 5.84 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.9% | -11.4% | 区间内 | 6.59 → 5.84 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.1% | -13.4% | 区间外 | 6.74 → 5.84 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.1% | -13.2% | 区间外 | 6.73 → 5.84 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.2% | -13.3% | 区间内 | 6.74 → 5.84 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±15.7% | -14.0% | 区间内 | 6.79 → 5.84 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.7% | -15.0% | 区间外 | 6.87 → 5.84 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±16.5% | -18.6% | 区间外 | 7.17 → 5.84 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 6.12 → 6.05 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 6.12 → 6.05 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.6% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 6.17 → 6.05 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.2% | +2.5% | 区间内 | 5.90 → 6.05 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.5% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 6.02 → 6.05 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.4% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 5.99 → 6.05 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.1% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 6.18 → 6.05 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.9% | -6.4% | 区间内 | 6.46 → 6.05 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.6% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 6.27 → 6.05 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.0% | -3.7% | 区间内 | 6.28 → 6.05 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.5% | -6.8% | 区间内 | 6.49 → 6.05 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.9% | -8.2% | 区间内 | 6.59 → 6.05 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±11.3% | -10.2% | 区间内 | 6.74 → 6.05 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±11.4% | -10.1% | 区间内 | 6.73 → 6.05 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±11.1% | -10.2% | 区间内 | 6.74 → 6.05 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.