SOFI 预期波动历史 SoFi Technologies, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内74%
|实际值| 低于预期值74%
平均预期波动幅度±6.9%
平均|实际|波动幅度5.6%
平均绝对误差2.0pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 14.54 | ±0.5% | 14.46–14.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 14.17 | ±3.6% | 13.66–14.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 15.22 | ±3.3% | 14.71–15.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 15.75 | ±4.5% | 15.04–16.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 15.60 | ±4.9% | 14.83–16.37 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 15.66 | ±5.1% | 14.87–16.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 15.82 | ±5.7% | 14.92–16.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 15.89 | ±5.9% | 14.95–16.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 15.75 | ±6.4% | 14.73–16.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 15.82 | ±7.1% | 14.70–16.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 17.21 | ±9.4% | 15.60–18.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 17.17 | ±9.4% | 15.56–18.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 16.98 | ±9.3% | 15.39–18.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 16.95 | ±9.7% | 15.31–18.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 16.74 | ±10.4% | 14.99–18.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 16.89 | ±11.1% | 15.01–18.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 17.07 | ±11.4% | 15.12–19.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 17.60 | ±11.4% | 15.59–19.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 17.31 | ±11.6% | 15.30–19.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 17.23 | ±12.2% | 15.13–19.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 17.38 | ±12.7% | 15.18–19.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 17.99 | ±13.0% | 15.66–20.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 18.18 | ±13.3% | 15.77–20.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 18.15 | ±13.3% | 15.73–20.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 18.49 | ±13.6% | 15.97–21.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 17.82 | ±13.6% | 15.40–20.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 17.12 | ±13.5% | 14.81–19.43 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 17.93 | ±13.9% | 15.44–20.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 14.54 | ±5.4% | 13.76–15.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 14.17 | ±6.4% | 13.27–15.07 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 15.75 → 15.80 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 15.60 → 15.80 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 15.66 → 15.80 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 15.82 → 15.80 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 15.89 → 15.80 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 15.75 → 15.80 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 15.82 → 15.80 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | -8.2% | 区间外 | 17.21 → 15.80 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | -8.0% | 区间外 | 17.17 → 15.80 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.8% | -6.9% | 区间内 | 16.98 → 15.80 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | -6.8% | 区间内 | 16.95 → 15.80 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -5.6% | 区间内 | 16.74 → 15.80 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -6.5% | 区间内 | 16.89 → 15.80 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | -7.4% | 区间内 | 17.07 → 15.80 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | -10.2% | 区间外 | 17.60 → 15.80 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | -8.7% | 区间内 | 17.31 → 15.80 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | -8.3% | 区间内 | 17.23 → 15.80 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.4% | -9.1% | 区间内 | 17.38 → 15.80 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.7% | -12.2% | 区间外 | 17.99 → 15.80 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.7% | -13.1% | 区间外 | 18.18 → 15.80 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | -12.9% | 区间外 | 18.15 → 15.80 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.3% | -14.5% | 区间外 | 18.49 → 15.80 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.3% | -11.3% | 区间内 | 17.82 → 15.80 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.6% | -7.7% | 区间内 | 17.12 → 15.80 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.5% | -11.9% | 区间内 | 17.93 → 15.80 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.7% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 15.75 → 15.77 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 15.82 → 15.77 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | -8.4% | 区间外 | 17.21 → 15.77 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | -8.2% | 区间外 | 17.17 → 15.77 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | -7.1% | 区间外 | 16.98 → 15.77 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.5% | -7.0% | 区间外 | 16.95 → 15.77 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | -5.8% | 区间内 | 16.74 → 15.77 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.1% | -6.6% | 区间内 | 16.89 → 15.77 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.5% | -7.6% | 区间内 | 17.07 → 15.77 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.4% | -10.4% | 区间外 | 17.60 → 15.77 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.7% | -8.9% | 区间外 | 17.31 → 15.77 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.3% | -8.5% | 区间内 | 17.23 → 15.77 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.9% | -9.3% | 区间内 | 17.38 → 15.77 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.2% | -12.3% | 区间外 | 17.99 → 15.77 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.5% | -13.3% | 区间外 | 18.18 → 15.77 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.5% | -13.1% | 区间外 | 18.15 → 15.77 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.8% | -14.7% | 区间外 | 18.49 → 15.77 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.9% | -11.5% | 区间外 | 17.82 → 15.77 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.5% | -7.9% | 区间内 | 17.12 → 15.77 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.2% | -12.0% | 区间外 | 17.93 → 15.77 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | -3.7% | 区间外 | 17.21 → 16.58 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 17.17 → 16.58 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 16.98 → 16.58 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 16.95 → 16.58 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.2% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 16.74 → 16.58 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.2% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 16.89 → 16.58 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.6% | -2.9% | 区间内 | 17.07 → 16.58 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.7% | -5.8% | 区间内 | 17.60 → 16.58 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.0% | -4.2% | 区间内 | 17.31 → 16.58 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.7% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 17.23 → 16.58 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.2% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 17.38 → 16.58 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.6% | -7.8% | 区间内 | 17.99 → 16.58 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.9% | -8.8% | 区间内 | 18.18 → 16.58 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.9% | -8.6% | 区间内 | 18.15 → 16.58 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.3% | -10.3% | 区间外 | 18.49 → 16.58 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.