SO 予想変動幅の履歴 The Southern Company
毎取引日の引け後、結果が判明する前の各満期日について、オプション市場が織り込んでいた価格を記録します。満期日が経過すると、実際の結果が当初の推定値の横に記録されます。推定値は事後に修正されることはありません。 これらの統計の見方 · 記録開始： Aug 31, 2026
比較解決済み121
レンジ内で引ける48%
|実績値| が予想値を下回る47%
平均予想変動幅±2.9%
平均｜実績｜変動幅3.2%
平均絶対誤差1.6pt
インプライドと実現の比較、限月別
各満期日について、琥珀色の枠線は満期日直前に記録されたインプライド・ムーブ、塗りつぶされたバーは株価の実際の動きを示します。符号付きの値がバーの下に表示されます。
予想値（記録済み）実績
現在記録中（結果待ち）
| スナップショット | 満期日 | DTE | 当時のスポット価格 | インプライド・ムーブ | レンジ | 手法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | Oct 23 | 3 | 90.35 | ±1.9% | 88.65–92.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 89.27 | ±2.1% | 87.42–91.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 91.18 | ±2.1% | 89.25–93.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 89.38 | ±2.4% | 87.23–91.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 88.27 | ±2.5% | 86.07–90.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 86.00 | ±2.5% | 83.88–88.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 86.05 | ±3.3% | 83.17–88.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 85.60 | ±3.0% | 83.07–88.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 85.44 | ±3.2% | 82.72–88.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 83.89 | ±3.2% | 81.23–86.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 83.72 | ±3.6% | 80.72–86.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 83.38 | ±4.7% | 79.47–87.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 85.15 | ±4.4% | 81.40–88.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 85.21 | ±4.4% | 81.46–88.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 85.89 | ±3.9% | 82.57–89.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 85.92 | ±4.0% | 82.50–89.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 86.83 | ±5.3% | 82.23–91.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 85.98 | ±5.0% | 81.71–90.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 86.03 | ±4.5% | 82.18–89.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 87.52 | ±4.4% | 83.67–91.37 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 87.18 | ±4.6% | 83.13–91.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 87.85 | ±4.9% | 83.55–92.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 88.45 | ±4.7% | 84.25–92.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 89.22 | ±5.9% | 83.94–94.49 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 88.11 | ±5.4% | 83.36–92.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 88.04 | ±5.3% | 83.39–92.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 88.95 | ±5.3% | 84.27–93.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 20 | Oct 30 | 10 | 90.35 | ±3.0% | 87.67–93.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 89.27 | ±2.9% | 86.72–91.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 91.18 | ±2.9% | 88.50–93.86 | em-1.0 |
確定済みスナップショット
| スナップショット | 満期済み | 予想 | 実績値 | レンジ内？ | スポット → 終値 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.4% | +0.0% | レンジ内 | 91.18 → 91.18 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.5% | +2.0% | レンジ外 | 89.38 → 91.18 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.8% | +3.3% | レンジ外 | 88.27 → 91.18 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.8% | +6.0% | レンジ外 | 86.00 → 91.18 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +6.0% | レンジ外 | 86.05 → 91.18 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +6.5% | レンジ外 | 85.60 → 91.18 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +6.7% | レンジ外 | 85.44 → 91.18 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +8.7% | レンジ外 | 83.89 → 91.18 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +8.9% | レンジ外 | 83.72 → 91.18 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +9.4% | レンジ外 | 83.38 → 91.18 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +7.1% | レンジ外 | 85.15 → 91.18 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +7.0% | レンジ外 | 85.21 → 91.18 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +6.2% | レンジ外 | 85.89 → 91.18 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | +6.1% | レンジ外 | 85.92 → 91.18 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +5.0% | レンジ外 | 86.83 → 91.18 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +6.0% | レンジ外 | 85.98 → 91.18 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | +6.0% | レンジ外 | 86.03 → 91.18 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +4.2% | レンジ外 | 87.52 → 91.18 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +4.6% | レンジ外 | 87.18 → 91.18 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +3.8% | レンジ内 | 87.85 → 91.18 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +3.1% | レンジ内 | 88.45 → 91.18 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +2.2% | レンジ内 | 89.22 → 91.18 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +3.5% | レンジ内 | 88.11 → 91.18 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +3.6% | レンジ内 | 88.04 → 91.18 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +2.5% | レンジ内 | 88.95 → 91.18 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +4.4% | レンジ内 | 87.35 → 91.18 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +3.5% | レンジ内 | 88.13 → 91.18 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +3.5% | レンジ内 | 88.06 → 91.18 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | +0.2% | レンジ内 | 86.00 → 86.17 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | +0.1% | レンジ内 | 86.05 → 86.17 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | +0.7% | レンジ内 | 85.60 → 86.17 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +0.9% | レンジ内 | 85.44 → 86.17 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +2.7% | レンジ外 | 83.89 → 86.17 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +2.9% | レンジ外 | 83.72 → 86.17 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +3.4% | レンジ外 | 83.38 → 86.17 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | +1.2% | レンジ内 | 85.15 → 86.17 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | +1.1% | レンジ内 | 85.21 → 86.17 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | +0.3% | レンジ内 | 85.89 → 86.17 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | +0.3% | レンジ内 | 85.92 → 86.17 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | -0.8% | レンジ内 | 86.83 → 86.17 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +0.2% | レンジ内 | 85.98 → 86.17 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +0.2% | レンジ内 | 86.03 → 86.17 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | -1.5% | レンジ内 | 87.52 → 86.17 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -1.2% | レンジ内 | 87.18 → 86.17 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | -1.9% | レンジ内 | 87.85 → 86.17 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | -2.6% | レンジ内 | 88.45 → 86.17 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -3.4% | レンジ内 | 89.22 → 86.17 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -2.2% | レンジ内 | 88.11 → 86.17 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -2.1% | レンジ内 | 88.04 → 86.17 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -3.1% | レンジ内 | 88.95 → 86.17 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -1.4% | レンジ内 | 87.35 → 86.17 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -2.2% | レンジ内 | 88.13 → 86.17 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -2.1% | レンジ内 | 88.06 → 86.17 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.5% | +0.0% | レンジ内 | 83.72 → 83.72 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | +0.4% | レンジ内 | 83.38 → 83.72 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -1.7% | レンジ内 | 85.15 → 83.72 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -1.7% | レンジ内 | 85.21 → 83.72 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.4% | -2.5% | レンジ外 | 85.89 → 83.72 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.6% | -2.6% | レンジ内 | 85.92 → 83.72 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -3.6% | レンジ外 | 86.83 → 83.72 |
結果は満期日の終値と記録されたレンジを比較したものです。手法バージョンが異なる場合は行ごとに表示されます。現在のバージョン： em-1.0.