SLV 预期波动历史 iShares Silver Trust

每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026

已解决的比较项1

收盘价处于区间内100%

|实际值| 低于预期值100%

平均预期波动幅度±0.2%

平均|实际|波动幅度0.1%

平均绝对误差0.2pt

隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日

每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。

预期（已记录）实际

已记录（等待结果）

快照	到期时间	DTE	当时现货价	预期涨跌幅	区间	方法
Sep 02	Sep 02	0	59.14	±0.1%	59.08–59.21	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 02	1	57.92	±1.9%	56.83–59.01	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 02	2	60.16	±2.3%	58.77–61.56	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 04	2	59.14	±2.7%	57.53–60.75	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 04	3	57.92	±3.3%	56.00–59.84	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 04	4	60.16	±3.6%	58.01–62.32	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 09	7	59.14	±4.0%	56.76–61.53	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 09	8	57.92	±4.4%	55.34–60.49	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 09	9	60.16	±4.6%	57.41–62.92	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 11	9	59.14	±4.9%	56.23–62.06	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 11	10	57.92	±5.3%	54.83–61.01	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 11	11	60.16	±5.4%	56.90–63.42	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 14	12	59.14	±5.3%	55.98–62.30	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 14	13	57.92	±5.7%	54.64–61.20	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 14	14	60.16	±5.8%	56.69–63.63	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 16	14	59.14	±6.2%	55.49–62.80	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 16	15	57.92	±6.5%	54.17–61.66	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 18	16	59.14	±6.8%	55.09–63.19	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 18	17	57.92	±7.1%	53.82–62.02	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 18	18	60.16	±7.2%	55.82–64.51	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 25	23	59.14	±8.4%	54.20–64.08	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 25	24	57.92	±8.5%	53.02–62.81	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 25	25	60.16	±8.6%	54.97–65.35	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 30	28	59.14	±9.2%	53.73–64.56	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 30	29	57.92	±9.3%	52.55–63.28	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 30	30	60.16	±9.4%	54.52–65.80	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 02	30	59.14	±9.7%	53.39–64.90	em-1.0
Sep 01	Oct 02	31	57.92	±9.7%	52.30–63.54	em-1.0
Aug 31	Oct 02	32	60.16	±9.9%	54.18–66.14	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 09	37	59.14	±10.9%	52.72–65.57	em-1.0

快照	已到期	预期值	实际值	在区间内？	现货价 → 收盘价
Aug 31, 2026	Aug 31	±0.2%	-0.1%	区间内	60.16 → 60.13

结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.