SLV 予想変動幅の履歴 iShares Silver Trust
毎取引日の引け後、結果が判明する前の各満期日について、オプション市場が織り込んでいた価格を記録します。満期日が経過すると、実際の結果が当初の推定値の横に記録されます。推定値は事後に修正されることはありません。 これらの統計の見方 · 記録開始： Aug 31, 2026
比較解決済み200
レンジ内で引ける60%
|実績値| が予想値を下回る60%
平均予想変動幅±5.7%
平均｜実績｜変動幅5.2%
平均絶対誤差2.6pt
インプライドと実現の比較、限月別
各満期日について、琥珀色の枠線は満期日直前に記録されたインプライド・ムーブ、塗りつぶされたバーは株価の実際の動きを示します。符号付きの値がバーの下に表示されます。
予想値（記録済み）実績
現在記録中（結果待ち）
| スナップショット | 満期日 | DTE | 当時のスポット価格 | インプライド・ムーブ | レンジ | 手法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 19 | 0 | 51.53 | ±0.1% | 51.46–51.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 19 | 3 | 51.45 | ±1.8% | 50.55–52.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 19 | 5 | 50.24 | ±3.5% | 48.49–51.99 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 19 | 6 | 53.49 | ±3.1% | 51.81–55.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 19 | 10 | 54.90 | ±3.8% | 52.84–56.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 19 | 11 | 53.43 | ±4.2% | 51.16–55.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 19 | 12 | 54.01 | ±4.4% | 51.62–56.40 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 19 | 13 | 55.42 | ±4.6% | 52.89–57.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 19 | 14 | 55.17 | ±4.6% | 52.64–57.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 21 | 2 | 51.53 | ±1.9% | 50.56–52.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 21 | 5 | 51.45 | ±2.8% | 50.00–52.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 21 | 7 | 50.24 | ±4.2% | 48.14–52.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 21 | 8 | 53.49 | ±3.8% | 51.48–55.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 21 | 12 | 54.90 | ±4.3% | 52.56–57.24 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 21 | 13 | 53.43 | ±4.8% | 50.89–55.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 21 | 14 | 54.01 | ±4.9% | 51.36–56.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 21 | 15 | 55.42 | ±5.1% | 52.61–58.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 51.53 | ±2.7% | 50.13–52.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 51.45 | ±3.6% | 49.62–53.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 50.24 | ±4.7% | 47.87–52.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 53.49 | ±4.3% | 51.18–55.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 54.90 | ±4.8% | 52.28–57.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 53.43 | ±5.2% | 50.64–56.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 54.01 | ±5.4% | 51.10–56.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 55.42 | ±5.5% | 52.37–58.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 55.17 | ±5.5% | 52.13–58.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 54.58 | ±6.0% | 51.30–57.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 55.07 | ±6.4% | 51.55–58.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 60.73 | ±8.7% | 55.44–66.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 60.55 | ±8.7% | 55.26–65.84 | em-1.0 |
確定済みスナップショット
| スナップショット | 満期済み | 予想 | 実績値 | レンジ内？ | スポット → 終値 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.2% | +0.1% | レンジ内 | 51.45 → 51.51 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +2.5% | レンジ内 | 50.24 → 51.51 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | -3.7% | レンジ外 | 53.49 → 51.51 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | -6.2% | レンジ外 | 54.90 → 51.51 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | -3.6% | レンジ内 | 53.43 → 51.51 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | -4.6% | レンジ外 | 54.01 → 51.51 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -7.1% | レンジ外 | 55.42 → 51.51 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -6.6% | レンジ外 | 55.17 → 51.51 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -5.6% | レンジ外 | 54.58 → 51.51 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | -6.5% | レンジ外 | 55.07 → 51.51 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -15.2% | レンジ外 | 60.73 → 51.51 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -14.9% | レンジ外 | 60.55 → 51.51 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -13.6% | レンジ外 | 59.59 → 51.51 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | -14.1% | レンジ外 | 59.95 → 51.51 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | -12.5% | レンジ外 | 58.84 → 51.51 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | -9.6% | レンジ外 | 56.96 → 51.51 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | -10.4% | レンジ外 | 57.47 → 51.51 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.0% | -10.0% | レンジ内 | 57.20 → 51.51 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | -11.6% | レンジ外 | 58.24 → 51.51 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.0% | -10.3% | レンジ内 | 57.44 → 51.51 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -15.4% | レンジ外 | 60.88 → 51.51 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -13.5% | レンジ外 | 59.53 → 51.51 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | -13.9% | レンジ外 | 59.82 → 51.51 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | -14.0% | レンジ外 | 59.89 → 51.51 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.6% | -14.9% | レンジ外 | 60.53 → 51.51 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | -12.9% | レンジ外 | 59.14 → 51.51 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | -11.1% | レンジ内 | 57.92 → 51.51 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.2% | -14.4% | レンジ外 | 60.16 → 51.51 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±0.4% | -0.0% | レンジ内 | 50.24 → 50.22 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±1.8% | -6.1% | レンジ外 | 53.49 → 50.22 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±2.8% | -8.5% | レンジ外 | 54.90 → 50.22 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±3.3% | -6.0% | レンジ外 | 53.43 → 50.22 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±3.5% | -7.0% | レンジ外 | 54.01 → 50.22 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±3.7% | -9.4% | レンジ外 | 55.42 → 50.22 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±3.8% | -9.0% | レンジ外 | 55.17 → 50.22 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±4.3% | -8.0% | レンジ外 | 54.58 → 50.22 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±4.7% | -8.8% | レンジ外 | 55.07 → 50.22 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.6% | -1.0% | レンジ内 | 54.90 → 54.35 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±2.4% | +1.7% | レンジ内 | 53.43 → 54.35 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±2.7% | +0.6% | レンジ内 | 54.01 → 54.35 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±2.9% | -1.9% | レンジ内 | 55.42 → 54.35 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±3.0% | -1.5% | レンジ内 | 55.17 → 54.35 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±3.7% | -0.4% | レンジ内 | 54.58 → 54.35 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±4.1% | -1.3% | レンジ内 | 55.07 → 54.35 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.3% | -0.2% | レンジ内 | 54.90 → 54.78 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +2.5% | レンジ外 | 53.43 → 54.78 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +1.4% | レンジ内 | 54.01 → 54.78 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -1.2% | レンジ内 | 55.42 → 54.78 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | -0.7% | レンジ内 | 55.17 → 54.78 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | +0.4% | レンジ内 | 54.58 → 54.78 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -0.5% | レンジ内 | 55.07 → 54.78 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -9.8% | レンジ外 | 60.73 → 54.78 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -9.5% | レンジ外 | 60.55 → 54.78 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -8.1% | レンジ外 | 59.59 → 54.78 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -8.6% | レンジ外 | 59.95 → 54.78 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -6.9% | レンジ内 | 58.84 → 54.78 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.3% | -3.8% | レンジ内 | 56.96 → 54.78 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.5% | -4.7% | レンジ内 | 57.47 → 54.78 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -4.2% | レンジ内 | 57.20 → 54.78 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -5.9% | レンジ内 | 58.24 → 54.78 |
結果は満期日の終値と記録されたレンジを比較したものです。手法バージョンが異なる場合は行ごとに表示されます。現在のバージョン： em-1.0.