SHOP geschiedenis verwachte beweging Shopify Inc.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost93
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte44%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht44%
Gem. verwachte beweging±7.0%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging10.3%
Gem. abs. fout6.1pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 169.50 | ±0.4% | 168.84–170.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 171.50 | ±3.4% | 165.71–177.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 176.38 | ±4.0% | 169.26–183.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 170.64 | ±5.1% | 161.91–179.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 164.43 | ±5.6% | 155.16–173.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 165.90 | ±6.0% | 155.90–175.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 164.78 | ±6.5% | 154.03–175.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 160.11 | ±7.0% | 148.96–171.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 151.59 | ±7.3% | 140.49–162.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 148.85 | ±8.5% | 136.22–161.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 147.60 | ±10.7% | 131.80–163.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 147.69 | ±10.7% | 131.89–163.49 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 138.00 | ±10.7% | 123.20–152.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 128.20 | ±9.6% | 115.88–140.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 128.49 | ±10.6% | 114.92–142.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 130.20 | ±11.0% | 115.92–144.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 130.00 | ±11.2% | 115.42–144.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 133.75 | ±11.5% | 118.40–149.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 128.80 | ±11.6% | 113.90–143.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 127.39 | ±12.0% | 112.14–142.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 127.12 | ±12.4% | 111.30–142.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 134.00 | ±12.4% | 117.45–150.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 144.80 | ±12.5% | 126.70–162.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 144.75 | ±12.5% | 126.65–162.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 145.58 | ±12.4% | 127.48–163.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 141.99 | ±12.1% | 124.86–159.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 139.62 | ±12.5% | 122.19–157.04 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 147.37 | ±12.1% | 129.57–165.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 169.50 | ±6.5% | 158.53–180.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 171.50 | ±6.4% | 160.47–182.53 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.5% | +0.1% | binnen | 170.64 → 170.85 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +3.9% | buiten | 164.43 → 170.85 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | +3.0% | binnen | 165.90 → 170.85 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | +3.7% | binnen | 164.78 → 170.85 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +6.7% | buiten | 160.11 → 170.85 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | +12.7% | buiten | 151.59 → 170.85 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +14.8% | buiten | 148.85 → 170.85 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | +15.8% | buiten | 147.60 → 170.85 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | +15.7% | buiten | 147.69 → 170.85 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | +23.8% | buiten | 138.00 → 170.85 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.6% | +33.3% | buiten | 128.20 → 170.85 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | +33.0% | buiten | 128.49 → 170.85 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +31.2% | buiten | 130.20 → 170.85 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +31.4% | buiten | 130.00 → 170.85 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | +27.7% | buiten | 133.75 → 170.85 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +32.6% | buiten | 128.80 → 170.85 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | +34.1% | buiten | 127.39 → 170.85 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.6% | +34.4% | buiten | 127.12 → 170.85 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.2% | +27.5% | buiten | 134.00 → 170.85 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.6% | +18.0% | buiten | 144.80 → 170.85 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.6% | +18.0% | buiten | 144.75 → 170.85 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.7% | +17.4% | buiten | 145.58 → 170.85 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | +20.3% | buiten | 141.99 → 170.85 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.4% | +22.4% | buiten | 139.62 → 170.85 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.3% | +15.9% | buiten | 147.37 → 170.85 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | -0.1% | binnen | 151.59 → 151.39 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | +1.7% | binnen | 148.85 → 151.39 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | +2.6% | binnen | 147.60 → 151.39 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | +2.5% | binnen | 147.69 → 151.39 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.5% | +9.7% | buiten | 138.00 → 151.39 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.8% | +18.1% | buiten | 128.20 → 151.39 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.3% | +17.8% | buiten | 128.49 → 151.39 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | +16.3% | buiten | 130.20 → 151.39 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | +16.5% | buiten | 130.00 → 151.39 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.7% | +13.2% | buiten | 133.75 → 151.39 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | +17.5% | buiten | 128.80 → 151.39 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.7% | +18.8% | buiten | 127.39 → 151.39 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.0% | +19.1% | buiten | 127.12 → 151.39 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.9% | +13.0% | buiten | 134.00 → 151.39 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.3% | +4.6% | binnen | 144.80 → 151.39 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.3% | +4.6% | binnen | 144.75 → 151.39 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.1% | +4.0% | binnen | 145.58 → 151.39 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.9% | +6.6% | binnen | 141.99 → 151.39 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.1% | +8.4% | binnen | 139.62 → 151.39 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.3% | +2.7% | binnen | 147.37 → 151.39 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | -3.6% | binnen | 147.60 → 142.25 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | -3.7% | binnen | 147.69 → 142.25 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.1% | +3.1% | binnen | 138.00 → 142.25 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | +11.0% | buiten | 128.20 → 142.25 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.4% | +10.7% | buiten | 128.49 → 142.25 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.2% | +9.3% | buiten | 130.20 → 142.25 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.7% | +9.4% | buiten | 130.00 → 142.25 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.0% | +6.4% | binnen | 133.75 → 142.25 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.2% | +10.4% | buiten | 128.80 → 142.25 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.1% | +11.7% | buiten | 127.39 → 142.25 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.4% | +11.9% | buiten | 127.12 → 142.25 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.6% | +6.2% | binnen | 134.00 → 142.25 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.1% | -1.8% | binnen | 144.80 → 142.25 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.1% | -1.7% | binnen | 144.75 → 142.25 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.0% | -2.3% | binnen | 145.58 → 142.25 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.