SHAK 预期波动历史 Shake Shack Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内42%
|实际值| 低于预期值42%
平均预期波动幅度±6.9%
平均|实际|波动幅度8.9%
平均绝对误差5.3pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 70.61 | ±2.9% | 68.58–72.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 68.52 | ±3.8% | 65.92–71.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 70.94 | ±3.8% | 68.22–73.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 67.23 | ±5.1% | 63.78–70.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 66.24 | ±5.4% | 62.64–69.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 64.61 | ±6.8% | 60.21–69.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 63.01 | ±6.6% | 58.84–67.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 60.98 | ±6.4% | 57.05–64.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 60.78 | ±6.8% | 56.66–64.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 59.30 | ±8.7% | 54.12–64.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 56.96 | ±9.6% | 51.48–62.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 56.96 | ±9.6% | 51.48–62.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 55.10 | ±10.1% | 49.52–60.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 55.39 | ±10.2% | 49.77–61.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 56.55 | ±10.9% | 50.38–62.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 57.73 | ±11.4% | 51.13–64.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 58.97 | ±11.4% | 52.24–65.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 63.52 | ±12.3% | 55.72–71.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 62.76 | ±12.3% | 55.05–70.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 62.50 | ±13.8% | 53.90–71.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 63.99 | ±11.9% | 56.39–71.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 67.40 | ±11.3% | 59.77–75.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 69.40 | ±11.7% | 61.25–77.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 69.30 | ±11.6% | 61.25–77.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 67.90 | ±12.4% | 59.45–76.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 67.62 | ±12.2% | 59.37–75.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 68.89 | ±12.3% | 60.44–77.34 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 69.89 | ±12.1% | 61.44–78.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 70.61 | ±5.7% | 66.61–74.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 68.52 | ±5.9% | 64.44–72.59 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 67.23 → 66.90 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 66.24 → 66.90 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | +3.5% | 区间内 | 64.61 → 66.90 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +6.2% | 区间外 | 63.01 → 66.90 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +9.7% | 区间外 | 60.98 → 66.90 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +10.1% | 区间外 | 60.78 → 66.90 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +12.8% | 区间外 | 59.30 → 66.90 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | +17.5% | 区间外 | 56.96 → 66.90 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | +17.5% | 区间外 | 56.96 → 66.90 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | +21.4% | 区间外 | 55.10 → 66.90 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.7% | +20.8% | 区间外 | 55.39 → 66.90 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | +18.3% | 区间外 | 56.55 → 66.90 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | +15.9% | 区间外 | 57.73 → 66.90 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +13.4% | 区间外 | 58.97 → 66.90 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | +5.3% | 区间内 | 63.52 → 66.90 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.3% | +6.6% | 区间内 | 62.76 → 66.90 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | +7.0% | 区间内 | 62.50 → 66.90 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +4.5% | 区间内 | 63.99 → 66.90 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 67.40 → 66.90 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 69.40 → 66.90 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 69.30 → 66.90 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 67.90 → 66.90 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.4% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 67.62 → 66.90 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | -2.9% | 区间内 | 68.89 → 66.90 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.2% | -4.3% | 区间内 | 69.89 → 66.90 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 60.78 → 60.98 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | +2.8% | 区间内 | 59.30 → 60.98 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | +7.1% | 区间内 | 56.96 → 60.98 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | +7.1% | 区间内 | 56.96 → 60.98 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | +10.7% | 区间外 | 55.10 → 60.98 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.0% | +10.1% | 区间外 | 55.39 → 60.98 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.6% | +7.8% | 区间外 | 56.55 → 60.98 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.8% | +5.6% | 区间内 | 57.73 → 60.98 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.4% | +3.4% | 区间内 | 58.97 → 60.98 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.5% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 63.52 → 60.98 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.2% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 62.76 → 60.98 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.0% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 62.50 → 60.98 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.1% | -4.7% | 区间内 | 63.99 → 60.98 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.0% | -9.5% | 区间外 | 67.40 → 60.98 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.8% | -12.1% | 区间外 | 69.40 → 60.98 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | -12.0% | 区间外 | 69.30 → 60.98 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.5% | -10.2% | 区间外 | 67.90 → 60.98 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.5% | -9.8% | 区间外 | 67.62 → 60.98 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.7% | -11.5% | 区间外 | 68.89 → 60.98 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.5% | -12.7% | 区间外 | 69.89 → 60.98 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 56.96 → 55.55 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 56.96 → 55.55 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 55.10 → 55.55 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.9% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 55.39 → 55.55 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.6% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 56.55 → 55.55 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.1% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 57.73 → 55.55 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.4% | -5.8% | 区间内 | 58.97 → 55.55 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.2% | -12.6% | 区间外 | 63.52 → 55.55 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.6% | -11.5% | 区间外 | 62.76 → 55.55 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.8% | -11.1% | 区间外 | 62.50 → 55.55 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.5% | -13.2% | 区间外 | 63.99 → 55.55 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.9% | -17.6% | 区间外 | 67.40 → 55.55 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.9% | -20.0% | 区间外 | 69.40 → 55.55 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.9% | -19.8% | 区间外 | 69.30 → 55.55 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.5% | -18.2% | 区间外 | 67.90 → 55.55 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.