SCCO 预期波动历史 Southern Copper Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内88%
|实际值| 低于预期值86%
平均预期波动幅度±8.1%
平均|实际|波动幅度3.8%
平均绝对误差4.5pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 200.81 | ±5.3% | 190.26–211.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 201.69 | ±5.8% | 190.04–213.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 207.42 | ±6.5% | 193.87–220.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 208.69 | ±6.2% | 195.74–221.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 208.42 | ±6.9% | 193.97–222.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 198.99 | ±7.5% | 184.14–213.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 204.26 | ±8.0% | 187.91–220.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 205.54 | ±8.4% | 188.34–222.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 205.54 | ±8.4% | 188.34–222.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 203.77 | ±8.5% | 186.47–221.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 202.64 | ±9.6% | 183.09–222.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 206.14 | ±10.8% | 183.84–228.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 198.06 | ±11.2% | 175.96–220.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 194.64 | ±11.5% | 172.29–216.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 193.00 | ±12.3% | 169.25–216.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 193.00 | ±12.3% | 169.25–216.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 193.00 | ±12.3% | 169.25–216.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 189.24 | ±13.0% | 164.64–213.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 189.24 | ±13.0% | 164.64–213.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 196.94 | ±12.8% | 171.79–222.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 194.50 | ±15.4% | 164.45–224.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 209.50 | ±13.3% | 181.60–237.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 209.60 | ±13.7% | 180.90–238.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 196.50 | ±13.7% | 169.50–223.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 199.53 | ±13.7% | 172.18–226.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 200.98 | ±13.9% | 173.13–228.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 200.81 | ±7.8% | 185.11–216.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 201.69 | ±8.2% | 185.19–218.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 207.42 | ±8.2% | 190.32–224.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 208.69 | ±8.3% | 191.34–226.04 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 201.69 → 200.51 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 207.42 → 200.51 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 208.69 → 200.51 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 208.42 → 200.51 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 198.99 → 200.51 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 204.26 → 200.51 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 205.54 → 200.51 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 205.54 → 200.51 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 203.77 → 200.51 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 202.64 → 200.51 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 206.14 → 200.51 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 198.06 → 200.51 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 194.64 → 200.51 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.8% | +3.9% | 区间内 | 193.00 → 200.51 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.8% | +3.9% | 区间内 | 193.00 → 200.51 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.8% | +3.9% | 区间内 | 193.00 → 200.51 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | +6.0% | 区间内 | 189.24 → 200.51 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | +6.0% | 区间内 | 189.24 → 200.51 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 196.94 → 200.51 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.2% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 194.50 → 200.51 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.1% | -4.3% | 区间内 | 209.50 → 200.51 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.3% | -4.3% | 区间内 | 209.60 → 200.51 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.4% | +2.0% | 区间内 | 196.50 → 200.51 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.6% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 199.53 → 200.51 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.4% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 200.98 → 200.51 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.9% | -4.5% | 区间内 | 210.00 → 200.51 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.9% | -4.5% | 区间内 | 210.00 → 200.51 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.9% | -4.5% | 区间内 | 210.00 → 200.51 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 208.42 → 209.21 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +5.1% | 区间外 | 198.99 → 209.21 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 204.26 → 209.21 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 205.54 → 209.21 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 205.54 → 209.21 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 203.77 → 209.21 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | +3.2% | 区间内 | 202.64 → 209.21 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 206.14 → 209.21 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | +5.6% | 区间内 | 198.06 → 209.21 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | +7.5% | 区间内 | 194.64 → 209.21 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +8.4% | 区间内 | 193.00 → 209.21 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +8.4% | 区间内 | 193.00 → 209.21 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +8.4% | 区间内 | 193.00 → 209.21 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +10.6% | 区间外 | 189.24 → 209.21 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +10.6% | 区间外 | 189.24 → 209.21 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | +6.2% | 区间内 | 196.94 → 209.21 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.1% | +7.6% | 区间内 | 194.50 → 209.21 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.2% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 209.50 → 209.21 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.3% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 209.60 → 209.21 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.5% | +6.5% | 区间内 | 196.50 → 209.21 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.7% | +4.9% | 区间内 | 199.53 → 209.21 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | +4.1% | 区间内 | 200.98 → 209.21 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.9% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 210.00 → 209.21 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.9% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 210.00 → 209.21 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.9% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 210.00 → 209.21 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.9% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 203.77 → 205.54 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 202.64 → 205.54 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 206.14 → 205.54 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | +3.8% | 区间内 | 198.06 → 205.54 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | +5.6% | 区间内 | 194.64 → 205.54 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | +6.5% | 区间内 | 193.00 → 205.54 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | +6.5% | 区间内 | 193.00 → 205.54 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.