SBUX 预期波动历史 Starbucks Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内45%
|实际值| 低于预期值45%
平均预期波动幅度±4.3%
平均|实际|波动幅度5.1%
平均绝对误差2.6pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 97.87 | ±2.6% | 95.30–100.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 97.30 | ±3.2% | 94.20–100.40 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 93.00 | ±3.7% | 89.55–96.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 92.00 | ±3.9% | 88.44–95.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 90.90 | ±4.5% | 86.83–94.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 92.86 | ±6.2% | 87.07–98.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 93.65 | ±4.3% | 89.58–97.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 96.21 | ±4.7% | 91.68–100.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 94.48 | ±4.0% | 90.66–98.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 94.72 | ±4.8% | 90.19–99.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 94.88 | ±5.2% | 89.97–99.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 95.14 | ±6.4% | 89.05–101.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 95.11 | ±6.4% | 89.02–101.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 94.94 | ±7.1% | 88.17–101.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 96.00 | ±6.8% | 89.45–102.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 96.72 | ±6.0% | 90.88–102.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 97.28 | ±7.1% | 90.38–104.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 96.44 | ±7.0% | 89.72–103.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 99.16 | ±7.7% | 91.53–106.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 98.85 | ±7.5% | 91.47–106.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 99.70 | ±7.4% | 92.33–107.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 100.07 | ±8.1% | 91.98–108.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 101.79 | ±7.7% | 94.00–109.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 104.55 | ±7.7% | 96.46–112.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 104.27 | ±7.0% | 96.95–111.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 106.05 | ±7.8% | 97.81–114.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 97.87 | ±6.9% | 91.16–104.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 97.30 | ±7.0% | 90.51–104.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 93.00 | ±7.9% | 85.66–100.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 92.00 | ±6.6% | 85.94–98.06 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.6% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 97.30 → 97.52 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.2% | +4.9% | 区间外 | 93.00 → 97.52 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +6.0% | 区间外 | 92.00 → 97.52 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +7.3% | 区间外 | 90.90 → 97.52 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | +5.0% | 区间外 | 92.86 → 97.52 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | +4.1% | 区间外 | 93.65 → 97.52 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 96.21 → 97.52 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | +3.2% | 区间内 | 94.48 → 97.52 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 94.72 → 97.52 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | +2.8% | 区间内 | 94.88 → 97.52 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | +2.5% | 区间内 | 95.14 → 97.52 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | +2.5% | 区间内 | 95.11 → 97.52 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 94.94 → 97.52 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 96.00 → 97.52 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 96.72 → 97.52 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 97.28 → 97.52 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 96.44 → 97.52 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 99.16 → 97.52 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 98.85 → 97.52 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 99.70 → 97.52 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 100.07 → 97.52 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -4.2% | 区间内 | 101.79 → 97.52 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -6.7% | 区间内 | 104.55 → 97.52 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -6.5% | 区间内 | 104.27 → 97.52 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | -8.0% | 区间外 | 106.05 → 97.52 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -8.7% | 区间外 | 106.80 → 97.52 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -8.1% | 区间外 | 106.15 → 97.52 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -8.2% | 区间外 | 106.25 → 97.52 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 90.90 → 90.75 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | -2.3% | 区间外 | 92.86 → 90.75 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | -3.1% | 区间外 | 93.65 → 90.75 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | -5.7% | 区间外 | 96.21 → 90.75 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -3.9% | 区间外 | 94.48 → 90.75 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | -4.2% | 区间外 | 94.72 → 90.75 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | -4.4% | 区间外 | 94.88 → 90.75 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 95.14 → 90.75 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 95.11 → 90.75 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 94.94 → 90.75 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -5.5% | 区间外 | 96.00 → 90.75 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -6.2% | 区间内 | 96.72 → 90.75 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -6.7% | 区间外 | 97.28 → 90.75 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -5.9% | 区间内 | 96.44 → 90.75 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -8.5% | 区间外 | 99.16 → 90.75 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -8.2% | 区间外 | 98.85 → 90.75 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -9.0% | 区间外 | 99.70 → 90.75 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -9.3% | 区间外 | 100.07 → 90.75 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | -10.8% | 区间外 | 101.79 → 90.75 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -13.2% | 区间外 | 104.55 → 90.75 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -13.0% | 区间外 | 104.27 → 90.75 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -14.4% | 区间外 | 106.05 → 90.75 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -15.0% | 区间外 | 106.80 → 90.75 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -14.5% | 区间外 | 106.15 → 90.75 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -14.6% | 区间外 | 106.25 → 90.75 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.5% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 94.72 → 94.71 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.5% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 94.88 → 94.71 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 95.14 → 94.71 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 95.11 → 94.71 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 94.94 → 94.71 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 96.00 → 94.71 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 96.72 → 94.71 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.