RTX 预期波动历史 RTX Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内47%
|实际值| 低于预期值47%
平均预期波动幅度±3.5%
平均|实际|波动幅度4.0%
平均绝对误差1.3pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 193.60 | ±0.7% | 192.16–195.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 186.74 | ±1.9% | 183.21–190.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 183.02 | ±2.1% | 179.19–186.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 185.99 | ±2.5% | 181.38–190.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 185.34 | ±2.8% | 180.12–190.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 180.28 | ±2.9% | 175.06–185.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 183.33 | ±3.2% | 177.55–189.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 185.00 | ±3.1% | 179.26–190.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 184.68 | ±3.7% | 177.93–191.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 185.40 | ±3.7% | 178.48–192.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 191.13 | ±4.6% | 182.33–199.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 190.59 | ±4.9% | 181.34–199.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 194.52 | ±4.8% | 185.12–203.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 193.98 | ±4.8% | 184.60–203.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 193.75 | ±5.3% | 183.40–204.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 196.23 | ±5.6% | 185.16–207.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 196.22 | ±5.7% | 184.99–207.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 195.18 | ±5.6% | 184.28–206.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 197.61 | ±5.9% | 186.03–209.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 197.49 | ±6.3% | 184.97–210.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 197.55 | ±6.2% | 185.25–209.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 199.25 | ±6.3% | 186.65–211.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 200.97 | ±6.5% | 188.00–213.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 200.64 | ±6.4% | 187.76–213.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 201.38 | ±6.8% | 187.78–214.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 201.00 | ±6.8% | 187.32–214.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 205.46 | ±6.8% | 191.44–219.49 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 208.88 | ±6.6% | 195.08–222.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 193.60 | ±5.1% | 183.68–203.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 186.74 | ±5.4% | 176.59–196.89 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 185.99 → 185.97 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.3% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 185.34 → 185.97 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +3.2% | 区间外 | 180.28 → 185.97 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 183.33 → 185.97 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 185.00 → 185.97 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 184.68 → 185.97 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 185.40 → 185.97 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 191.13 → 185.97 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 190.59 → 185.97 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -4.4% | 区间外 | 194.52 → 185.97 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 193.98 → 185.97 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 193.75 → 185.97 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 196.23 → 185.97 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 196.22 → 185.97 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -4.7% | 区间内 | 195.18 → 185.97 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 197.61 → 185.97 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -5.8% | 区间外 | 197.49 → 185.97 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 197.55 → 185.97 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -6.7% | 区间外 | 199.25 → 185.97 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -7.5% | 区间外 | 200.97 → 185.97 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -7.3% | 区间外 | 200.64 → 185.97 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -7.7% | 区间外 | 201.38 → 185.97 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -7.5% | 区间外 | 201.00 → 185.97 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -9.5% | 区间外 | 205.46 → 185.97 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -11.0% | 区间外 | 208.88 → 185.97 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 184.68 → 184.68 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 185.40 → 184.68 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | -3.4% | 区间外 | 191.13 → 184.68 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 190.59 → 184.68 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | -5.1% | 区间外 | 194.52 → 184.68 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.6% | -4.8% | 区间外 | 193.98 → 184.68 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | -4.7% | 区间外 | 193.75 → 184.68 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 196.23 → 184.68 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 196.22 → 184.68 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -5.4% | 区间外 | 195.18 → 184.68 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 197.61 → 184.68 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 197.49 → 184.68 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 197.55 → 184.68 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -7.3% | 区间外 | 199.25 → 184.68 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -8.1% | 区间外 | 200.97 → 184.68 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -8.0% | 区间外 | 200.64 → 184.68 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 201.38 → 184.68 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -8.1% | 区间外 | 201.00 → 184.68 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -10.1% | 区间外 | 205.46 → 184.68 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -11.6% | 区间外 | 208.88 → 184.68 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.0% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 191.13 → 189.40 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.9% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 190.59 → 189.40 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.1% | -2.6% | 区间外 | 194.52 → 189.40 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.5% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 193.98 → 189.40 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.0% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 193.75 → 189.40 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.3% | -3.5% | 区间外 | 196.23 → 189.40 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.3% | -3.5% | 区间外 | 196.22 → 189.40 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.3% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 195.18 → 189.40 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | -4.2% | 区间外 | 197.61 → 189.40 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.9% | -4.1% | 区间外 | 197.49 → 189.40 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.2% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 197.55 → 189.40 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.2% | -4.9% | 区间外 | 199.25 → 189.40 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -5.8% | 区间外 | 200.97 → 189.40 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -5.6% | 区间外 | 200.64 → 189.40 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.6% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 201.38 → 189.40 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.