RTX 预期波动历史 RTX Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内51%
|实际值| 低于预期值51%
平均预期波动幅度±3.8%
平均|实际|波动幅度3.8%
平均绝对误差1.7pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 192.11 | ±5.1% | 182.26–201.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 193.60 | ±5.1% | 183.68–203.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 186.74 | ±5.4% | 176.59–196.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 183.02 | ±5.5% | 172.90–193.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 185.99 | ±5.5% | 175.74–196.24 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 185.34 | ±5.9% | 174.41–196.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 180.28 | ±5.8% | 169.88–190.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 183.33 | ±5.6% | 173.01–193.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 185.00 | ±5.8% | 174.30–195.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 184.68 | ±6.2% | 173.25–196.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 185.40 | ±6.3% | 173.78–197.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 191.13 | ±6.6% | 178.56–203.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 190.59 | ±6.7% | 177.79–203.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 194.52 | ±6.8% | 181.30–207.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 193.98 | ±7.2% | 180.08–207.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 193.75 | ±7.1% | 180.04–207.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 196.23 | ±7.2% | 182.18–210.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 196.22 | ±7.6% | 181.37–211.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 195.18 | ±7.1% | 181.28–209.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 197.61 | ±7.8% | 182.28–212.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 197.49 | ±7.7% | 182.27–212.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 197.55 | ±8.1% | 181.60–213.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 199.25 | ±8.0% | 183.35–215.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 200.97 | ±7.4% | 186.09–215.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 200.64 | ±7.6% | 185.37–215.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 201.38 | ±8.3% | 184.68–218.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 192.11 | ±6.5% | 179.66–204.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 193.60 | ±6.3% | 181.47–205.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 186.74 | ±6.3% | 174.91–198.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 183.02 | ±6.2% | 171.75–194.29 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.7% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 193.60 → 193.92 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +3.8% | 区间外 | 186.74 → 193.92 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.1% | +6.0% | 区间外 | 183.02 → 193.92 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +4.3% | 区间外 | 185.99 → 193.92 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +4.6% | 区间外 | 185.34 → 193.92 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +7.6% | 区间外 | 180.28 → 193.92 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +5.8% | 区间外 | 183.33 → 193.92 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +4.8% | 区间外 | 185.00 → 193.92 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +5.0% | 区间外 | 184.68 → 193.92 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +4.6% | 区间外 | 185.40 → 193.92 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 191.13 → 193.92 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 190.59 → 193.92 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 194.52 → 193.92 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 193.98 → 193.92 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 193.75 → 193.92 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 196.23 → 193.92 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 196.22 → 193.92 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 195.18 → 193.92 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -1.9% | 区间内 | 197.61 → 193.92 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 197.49 → 193.92 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 197.55 → 193.92 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 199.25 → 193.92 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 200.97 → 193.92 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 200.64 → 193.92 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -3.7% | 区间内 | 201.38 → 193.92 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 201.00 → 193.92 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -5.6% | 区间内 | 205.46 → 193.92 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -7.2% | 区间外 | 208.88 → 193.92 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 185.99 → 185.97 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.3% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 185.34 → 185.97 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +3.2% | 区间外 | 180.28 → 185.97 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 183.33 → 185.97 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 185.00 → 185.97 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 184.68 → 185.97 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 185.40 → 185.97 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 191.13 → 185.97 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 190.59 → 185.97 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -4.4% | 区间外 | 194.52 → 185.97 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 193.98 → 185.97 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 193.75 → 185.97 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 196.23 → 185.97 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 196.22 → 185.97 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -4.7% | 区间内 | 195.18 → 185.97 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 197.61 → 185.97 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -5.8% | 区间外 | 197.49 → 185.97 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 197.55 → 185.97 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -6.7% | 区间外 | 199.25 → 185.97 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -7.5% | 区间外 | 200.97 → 185.97 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -7.3% | 区间外 | 200.64 → 185.97 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -7.7% | 区间外 | 201.38 → 185.97 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -7.5% | 区间外 | 201.00 → 185.97 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -9.5% | 区间外 | 205.46 → 185.97 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -11.0% | 区间外 | 208.88 → 185.97 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 184.68 → 184.68 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 185.40 → 184.68 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | -3.4% | 区间外 | 191.13 → 184.68 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 190.59 → 184.68 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | -5.1% | 区间外 | 194.52 → 184.68 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.6% | -4.8% | 区间外 | 193.98 → 184.68 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | -4.7% | 区间外 | 193.75 → 184.68 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.