ROKU histórico de movimento esperado Roku, Inc.
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas121
Fechar dentro do intervalo93%
|Real| abaixo do esperado93%
Movimento esperado médio±2.8%
Movimento |real| médio1.3%
Erro médio absoluto1.6pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 155.66 | ±1.8% | 152.78–158.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 154.54 | ±1.7% | 151.91–157.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 152.22 | ±2.2% | 148.79–155.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 152.73 | ±2.1% | 149.58–155.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 152.85 | ±2.7% | 148.79–156.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 153.81 | ±2.6% | 149.78–157.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 153.40 | ±3.4% | 148.22–158.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 152.06 | ±3.2% | 147.16–156.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 153.41 | ±3.1% | 148.61–158.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 152.39 | ±2.8% | 148.17–156.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 151.02 | ±3.3% | 146.09–155.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 154.32 | ±4.2% | 147.82–160.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 154.32 | ±4.2% | 147.82–160.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 154.33 | ±4.1% | 147.96–160.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 153.63 | ±3.9% | 147.62–159.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 154.08 | ±3.7% | 148.38–159.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 155.04 | ±4.6% | 147.98–162.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 157.42 | ±4.1% | 150.97–163.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 157.45 | ±4.1% | 151.03–163.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 154.93 | ±4.0% | 148.80–161.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 154.12 | ±5.5% | 145.60–162.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 151.47 | ±5.5% | 143.20–159.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 155.06 | ±5.4% | 146.69–163.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 155.59 | ±5.4% | 147.22–163.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 155.59 | ±5.4% | 147.22–163.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 157.87 | ±5.2% | 149.69–166.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 155.66 | ±2.6% | 151.65–159.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 154.54 | ±2.7% | 150.41–158.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 152.22 | ±3.3% | 147.24–157.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 152.73 | ±3.8% | 147.00–158.47 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.7% | +0.0% | dentro | 154.54 → 154.54 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.6% | +1.5% | dentro | 152.22 → 154.54 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.6% | +1.2% | dentro | 152.73 → 154.54 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.2% | +1.1% | dentro | 152.85 → 154.54 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +0.5% | dentro | 153.81 → 154.54 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.1% | +0.7% | dentro | 153.40 → 154.54 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +1.6% | dentro | 152.06 → 154.54 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +0.7% | dentro | 153.41 → 154.54 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +1.4% | dentro | 152.39 → 154.54 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +2.3% | dentro | 151.02 → 154.54 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +0.1% | dentro | 154.32 → 154.54 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +0.1% | dentro | 154.32 → 154.54 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +0.1% | dentro | 154.33 → 154.54 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +0.6% | dentro | 153.63 → 154.54 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | +0.3% | dentro | 154.08 → 154.54 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | -0.3% | dentro | 155.04 → 154.54 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -1.8% | dentro | 157.42 → 154.54 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | -1.8% | dentro | 157.45 → 154.54 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | -0.3% | dentro | 154.93 → 154.54 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +0.3% | dentro | 154.12 → 154.54 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +2.0% | dentro | 151.47 → 154.54 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -0.3% | dentro | 155.06 → 154.54 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -0.7% | dentro | 155.59 → 154.54 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -0.7% | dentro | 155.59 → 154.54 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -2.1% | dentro | 157.87 → 154.54 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -2.0% | dentro | 157.70 → 154.54 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -0.6% | dentro | 155.53 → 154.54 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -1.5% | dentro | 156.93 → 154.54 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | +0.0% | dentro | 152.85 → 152.85 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | -0.6% | dentro | 153.81 → 152.85 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | -0.4% | dentro | 153.40 → 152.85 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.3% | +0.5% | dentro | 152.06 → 152.85 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | -0.4% | dentro | 153.41 → 152.85 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +0.3% | dentro | 152.39 → 152.85 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +1.2% | dentro | 151.02 → 152.85 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -1.0% | dentro | 154.32 → 152.85 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -1.0% | dentro | 154.32 → 152.85 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | -1.0% | dentro | 154.33 → 152.85 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | -0.5% | dentro | 153.63 → 152.85 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | -0.8% | dentro | 154.08 → 152.85 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | -1.4% | dentro | 155.04 → 152.85 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | -2.9% | dentro | 157.42 → 152.85 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -2.9% | dentro | 157.45 → 152.85 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | -1.3% | dentro | 154.93 → 152.85 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | -0.8% | dentro | 154.12 → 152.85 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | +0.9% | dentro | 151.47 → 152.85 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -1.4% | dentro | 155.06 → 152.85 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -1.8% | dentro | 155.59 → 152.85 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -1.8% | dentro | 155.59 → 152.85 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | -3.2% | dentro | 157.87 → 152.85 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -3.1% | dentro | 157.70 → 152.85 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -1.7% | dentro | 155.53 → 152.85 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | -2.6% | dentro | 156.93 → 152.85 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | +0.0% | dentro | 152.39 → 152.39 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.4% | +0.9% | dentro | 151.02 → 152.39 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.0% | -1.3% | dentro | 154.32 → 152.39 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.0% | -1.3% | dentro | 154.32 → 152.39 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.2% | -1.3% | dentro | 154.33 → 152.39 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | -0.8% | dentro | 153.63 → 152.39 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.8% | -1.1% | dentro | 154.08 → 152.39 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.