RIOT riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Riot Platforms, Inc.
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan121
Tutup dalam rentang40%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi40%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±12.7%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|16.4%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut8.5pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 14.03 | ±8.6% | 12.82–15.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 13.75 | ±10.7% | 12.28–15.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 15.06 | ±11.2% | 13.37–16.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 16.70 | ±11.0% | 14.86–18.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 16.92 | ±10.9% | 15.07–18.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 16.93 | ±12.5% | 14.82–19.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 18.53 | ±12.5% | 16.22–20.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 19.00 | ±12.8% | 16.57–21.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 19.30 | ±13.3% | 16.73–21.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 19.66 | ±14.1% | 16.88–22.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 19.61 | ±15.1% | 16.64–22.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 25.00 | ±18.5% | 20.37–29.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 24.87 | ±18.6% | 20.24–29.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 24.18 | ±19.3% | 19.52–28.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 23.75 | ±19.7% | 19.06–28.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 21.89 | ±20.2% | 17.46–26.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 20.36 | ±20.5% | 16.18–24.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 19.70 | ±21.0% | 15.55–23.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 20.90 | ±21.7% | 16.37–25.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 21.40 | ±21.8% | 16.73–26.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 20.97 | ±23.5% | 16.04–25.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 22.02 | ±24.8% | 16.55–27.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 22.26 | ±25.1% | 16.68–27.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 21.63 | ±24.3% | 16.38–26.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 21.69 | ±24.2% | 16.43–26.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 21.00 | ±25.8% | 15.57–26.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 14.03 | ±12.8% | 12.23–15.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 13.75 | ±14.7% | 11.72–15.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 15.06 | ±14.8% | 12.83–17.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 16.70 | ±14.4% | 14.29–19.11 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.7% | -0.2% | di dalam | 13.75 → 13.72 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -8.9% | di luar | 15.06 → 13.72 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -17.8% | di luar | 16.70 → 13.72 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -18.9% | di luar | 16.92 → 13.72 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.1% | -19.0% | di luar | 16.93 → 13.72 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.3% | -25.9% | di luar | 18.53 → 13.72 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | -27.8% | di luar | 19.00 → 13.72 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | -28.9% | di luar | 19.30 → 13.72 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | -30.2% | di luar | 19.66 → 13.72 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | -30.0% | di luar | 19.61 → 13.72 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.8% | -45.1% | di luar | 25.00 → 13.72 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.9% | -44.8% | di luar | 24.87 → 13.72 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.9% | -43.3% | di luar | 24.18 → 13.72 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.9% | -42.2% | di luar | 23.75 → 13.72 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.0% | -37.3% | di luar | 21.89 → 13.72 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.0% | -32.6% | di luar | 20.36 → 13.72 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.1% | -30.4% | di luar | 19.70 → 13.72 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.5% | -34.4% | di luar | 20.90 → 13.72 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.4% | -35.9% | di luar | 21.40 → 13.72 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±20.5% | -34.6% | di luar | 20.97 → 13.72 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±21.3% | -37.7% | di luar | 22.02 → 13.72 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±21.5% | -38.4% | di luar | 22.26 → 13.72 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±22.9% | -36.6% | di luar | 21.63 → 13.72 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±22.8% | -36.7% | di luar | 21.69 → 13.72 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±23.0% | -34.7% | di luar | 21.00 → 13.72 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±22.0% | -26.3% | di luar | 18.61 → 13.72 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±22.3% | -23.0% | di luar | 17.81 → 13.72 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±22.5% | -27.6% | di luar | 18.95 → 13.72 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | -0.2% | di dalam | 16.92 → 16.89 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -0.2% | di dalam | 16.93 → 16.89 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -8.8% | di luar | 18.53 → 16.89 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -11.1% | di luar | 19.00 → 16.89 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -12.5% | di luar | 19.30 → 16.89 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | -14.1% | di luar | 19.66 → 16.89 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | -13.9% | di luar | 19.61 → 16.89 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | -32.4% | di luar | 25.00 → 16.89 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.7% | -32.1% | di luar | 24.87 → 16.89 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.4% | -30.1% | di luar | 24.18 → 16.89 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.3% | -28.9% | di luar | 23.75 → 16.89 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.0% | -22.8% | di luar | 21.89 → 16.89 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.9% | -17.0% | di luar | 20.36 → 16.89 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.5% | -14.3% | di dalam | 19.70 → 16.89 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.1% | -19.2% | di luar | 20.90 → 16.89 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.5% | -21.1% | di luar | 21.40 → 16.89 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.0% | -19.5% | di luar | 20.97 → 16.89 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±19.0% | -23.3% | di luar | 22.02 → 16.89 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±19.2% | -24.1% | di luar | 22.26 → 16.89 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±21.0% | -21.9% | di luar | 21.63 → 16.89 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.9% | -22.1% | di luar | 21.69 → 16.89 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.4% | -19.6% | di dalam | 21.00 → 16.89 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.0% | -9.3% | di dalam | 18.61 → 16.89 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.7% | -5.2% | di dalam | 17.81 → 16.89 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±21.3% | -10.9% | di dalam | 18.95 → 16.89 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | +0.3% | di dalam | 19.66 → 19.73 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | +0.6% | di dalam | 19.61 → 19.73 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.7% | -21.1% | di luar | 25.00 → 19.73 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.7% | -20.7% | di luar | 24.87 → 19.73 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.4% | -18.4% | di luar | 24.18 → 19.73 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.4% | -16.9% | di luar | 23.75 → 19.73 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.9% | -9.9% | di dalam | 21.89 → 19.73 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.