RGTI 预期波动历史 Rigetti Computing, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内66%
|实际值| 低于预期值66%
平均预期波动幅度±11.1%
平均|实际|波动幅度8.9%
平均绝对误差6.2pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 11.68 | ±6.8% | 10.88–12.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 11.87 | ±7.9% | 10.93–12.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 11.68 | ±9.3% | 10.59–12.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 12.83 | ±9.2% | 11.65–14.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 14.03 | ±9.2% | 12.74–15.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 14.16 | ±9.7% | 12.79–15.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 14.63 | ±10.1% | 13.15–16.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 15.19 | ±10.6% | 13.57–16.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 15.16 | ±9.6% | 13.71–16.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 15.34 | ±11.8% | 13.52–17.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 15.61 | ±13.7% | 13.47–17.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 17.45 | ±16.8% | 14.51–20.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 17.03 | ±16.5% | 14.22–19.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 16.53 | ±16.8% | 13.75–19.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 15.52 | ±16.8% | 12.92–18.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 16.00 | ±17.5% | 13.20–18.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 14.87 | ±18.5% | 12.11–17.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 15.09 | ±17.5% | 12.45–17.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 15.27 | ±18.3% | 12.46–18.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 15.28 | ±18.9% | 12.39–18.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 15.18 | ±20.2% | 12.12–18.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 15.30 | ±20.2% | 12.21–18.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 15.84 | ±22.5% | 12.27–19.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 15.21 | ±17.1% | 12.62–17.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 15.16 | ±17.1% | 12.57–17.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 15.19 | ±21.4% | 11.94–18.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 11.68 | ±9.7% | 10.54–12.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 11.87 | ±11.3% | 10.53–13.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 11.68 | ±11.5% | 10.34–13.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 12.83 | ±10.8% | 11.45–14.21 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.6% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 11.87 → 11.80 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 11.68 → 11.80 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | -8.0% | 区间外 | 12.83 → 11.80 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -15.9% | 区间外 | 14.03 → 11.80 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | -16.6% | 区间外 | 14.16 → 11.80 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -19.4% | 区间外 | 14.63 → 11.80 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | -22.3% | 区间外 | 15.19 → 11.80 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | -22.2% | 区间外 | 15.16 → 11.80 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.3% | -23.1% | 区间外 | 15.34 → 11.80 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | -24.4% | 区间外 | 15.61 → 11.80 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.5% | -32.4% | 区间外 | 17.45 → 11.80 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | -30.7% | 区间外 | 17.03 → 11.80 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.7% | -28.6% | 区间外 | 16.53 → 11.80 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.7% | -24.0% | 区间外 | 15.52 → 11.80 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.3% | -26.2% | 区间外 | 16.00 → 11.80 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.2% | -20.6% | 区间外 | 14.87 → 11.80 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.7% | -21.8% | 区间外 | 15.09 → 11.80 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.9% | -22.7% | 区间外 | 15.27 → 11.80 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.4% | -22.8% | 区间外 | 15.28 → 11.80 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.0% | -22.3% | 区间外 | 15.18 → 11.80 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.9% | -22.9% | 区间外 | 15.30 → 11.80 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±20.2% | -25.5% | 区间外 | 15.84 → 11.80 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±20.0% | -22.4% | 区间外 | 15.21 → 11.80 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.9% | -22.2% | 区间外 | 15.16 → 11.80 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±20.1% | -22.3% | 区间外 | 15.19 → 11.80 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.1% | -20.8% | 区间外 | 14.89 → 11.80 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.9% | -21.2% | 区间外 | 14.98 → 11.80 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±20.6% | -24.7% | 区间外 | 15.68 → 11.80 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.5% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 14.03 → 14.03 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 14.16 → 14.03 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -4.1% | 区间外 | 14.63 → 14.03 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -7.6% | 区间外 | 15.19 → 14.03 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | -7.5% | 区间外 | 15.16 → 14.03 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -8.5% | 区间外 | 15.34 → 14.03 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -10.1% | 区间外 | 15.61 → 14.03 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.4% | -19.6% | 区间外 | 17.45 → 14.03 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.1% | -17.6% | 区间外 | 17.03 → 14.03 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.3% | -15.1% | 区间外 | 16.53 → 14.03 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.4% | -9.6% | 区间内 | 15.52 → 14.03 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.8% | -12.3% | 区间内 | 16.00 → 14.03 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.0% | -5.6% | 区间内 | 14.87 → 14.03 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.3% | -7.0% | 区间内 | 15.09 → 14.03 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.1% | -8.1% | 区间内 | 15.27 → 14.03 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.8% | -8.2% | 区间内 | 15.28 → 14.03 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.8% | -7.6% | 区间内 | 15.18 → 14.03 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.6% | -8.3% | 区间内 | 15.30 → 14.03 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±19.1% | -11.4% | 区间内 | 15.84 → 14.03 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.7% | -7.8% | 区间内 | 15.21 → 14.03 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.8% | -7.5% | 区间内 | 15.16 → 14.03 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.1% | -7.6% | 区间内 | 15.19 → 14.03 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.1% | -5.8% | 区间内 | 14.89 → 14.03 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.0% | -6.3% | 区间内 | 14.98 → 14.03 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.0% | -10.5% | 区间内 | 15.68 → 14.03 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.7% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 15.34 → 15.25 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 15.61 → 15.25 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.9% | -12.6% | 区间外 | 17.45 → 15.25 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.7% | -10.5% | 区间外 | 17.03 → 15.25 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.8% | -7.7% | 区间内 | 16.53 → 15.25 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.5% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 15.52 → 15.25 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.3% | -4.7% | 区间内 | 16.00 → 15.25 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.