QQQ riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan3
Tutup dalam rentang67%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi67%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±0.3%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|0.4%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut0.3pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 02 | Sep 02 | 0 | 709.20 | ±0.2% | 707.74–710.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 02 | 1 | 707.67 | ±0.7% | 702.42–712.92 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 02 | 2 | 716.65 | ±0.9% | 710.39–722.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 03 | 1 | 709.20 | ±0.7% | 703.97–714.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 03 | 2 | 707.67 | ±1.1% | 700.15–715.18 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 03 | 3 | 716.65 | ±1.1% | 708.63–724.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 04 | 2 | 709.20 | ±1.0% | 701.76–716.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 04 | 3 | 707.67 | ±1.4% | 698.04–717.29 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 04 | 4 | 716.65 | ±1.4% | 706.92–726.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 08 | 6 | 709.20 | ±1.4% | 699.17–719.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 08 | 7 | 707.67 | ±1.7% | 695.62–719.72 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 08 | 8 | 716.65 | ±1.6% | 705.09–728.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 09 | 7 | 709.20 | ±1.7% | 696.79–721.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 09 | 8 | 707.67 | ±1.9% | 694.30–721.04 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 09 | 9 | 716.65 | ±1.8% | 703.99–729.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 10 | 8 | 709.20 | ±1.8% | 696.60–721.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 10 | 9 | 707.67 | ±2.1% | 692.99–722.35 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 10 | 10 | 716.65 | ±1.9% | 702.87–730.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 11 | 9 | 709.20 | ±2.0% | 695.12–723.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 11 | 10 | 707.67 | ±2.3% | 691.37–723.98 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 11 | 11 | 716.65 | ±2.1% | 701.33–731.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 14 | 12 | 709.20 | ±2.3% | 692.57–725.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 14 | 13 | 707.67 | ±2.5% | 690.29–725.04 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 14 | 14 | 716.65 | ±2.4% | 699.78–733.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 15 | 13 | 709.20 | ±2.2% | 693.57–724.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 15 | 14 | 707.67 | ±2.6% | 689.33–726.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 16 | 14 | 709.20 | ±2.6% | 690.65–727.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 18 | 16 | 709.20 | ±2.8% | 689.13–729.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 18 | 17 | 707.67 | ±3.2% | 685.07–730.27 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 18 | 18 | 716.65 | ±2.9% | 695.57–737.74 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 01 | ±0.1% | -0.0% | di dalam | 707.67 → 707.64 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 01 | ±0.6% | -1.3% | di luar | 716.65 → 707.64 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 31 | ±0.1% | +0.0% | di dalam | 716.65 → 716.76 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.