QCOM 预期波动历史 QUALCOMM Incorporated
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内70%
|实际值| 低于预期值70%
平均预期波动幅度±7.1%
平均|实际|波动幅度5.6%
平均绝对误差4.0pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 173.82 | ±4.2% | 166.49–181.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 172.64 | ±5.1% | 163.87–181.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 172.00 | ±5.8% | 162.00–182.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 176.81 | ±6.1% | 165.99–187.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 175.50 | ±6.3% | 164.38–186.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 176.10 | ±6.9% | 164.00–188.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 177.12 | ±7.2% | 164.37–189.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 180.82 | ±7.6% | 167.15–194.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 181.40 | ±8.0% | 166.95–195.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 184.95 | ±8.5% | 169.22–200.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 182.15 | ±8.9% | 166.02–198.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 198.21 | ±12.1% | 174.26–222.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 197.90 | ±12.1% | 173.95–221.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 193.85 | ±12.5% | 169.65–218.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 178.15 | ±11.4% | 157.93–198.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 188.66 | ±11.7% | 166.51–210.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 184.68 | ±12.2% | 162.10–207.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 188.27 | ±12.6% | 164.60–211.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 180.90 | ±12.1% | 159.07–202.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 182.01 | ±12.2% | 159.84–204.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 175.90 | ±13.3% | 152.55–199.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 176.30 | ±12.9% | 153.53–199.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 174.65 | ±12.9% | 152.15–197.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 168.64 | ±12.3% | 147.89–189.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 168.15 | ±12.3% | 147.40–188.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 168.40 | ±12.1% | 148.00–188.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 173.82 | ±6.7% | 162.17–185.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 172.64 | ±7.5% | 159.62–185.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 172.00 | ±7.7% | 158.82–185.18 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 176.81 | ±7.8% | 163.09–190.54 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.4% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 172.64 → 172.11 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 172.00 → 172.11 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 176.81 → 172.11 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | -1.9% | 区间内 | 175.50 → 172.11 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 176.10 → 172.11 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 177.12 → 172.11 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -4.8% | 区间内 | 180.82 → 172.11 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -5.1% | 区间内 | 181.40 → 172.11 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -6.9% | 区间外 | 184.95 → 172.11 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -5.5% | 区间内 | 182.15 → 172.11 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | -13.2% | 区间外 | 198.21 → 172.11 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | -13.0% | 区间外 | 197.90 → 172.11 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | -11.2% | 区间外 | 193.85 → 172.11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 178.15 → 172.11 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | -8.8% | 区间内 | 188.66 → 172.11 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | -6.8% | 区间内 | 184.68 → 172.11 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | -8.6% | 区间内 | 188.27 → 172.11 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | -4.9% | 区间内 | 180.90 → 172.11 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | -5.4% | 区间内 | 182.01 → 172.11 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.9% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 175.90 → 172.11 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 176.30 → 172.11 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.8% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 174.65 → 172.11 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | +2.1% | 区间内 | 168.64 → 172.11 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 168.15 → 172.11 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | +2.2% | 区间内 | 168.40 → 172.11 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 169.80 → 172.11 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 167.05 → 172.11 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 170.40 → 172.11 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 175.50 → 175.50 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 176.10 → 175.50 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 177.12 → 175.50 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | -2.9% | 区间内 | 180.82 → 175.50 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 181.40 → 175.50 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | -5.1% | 区间外 | 184.95 → 175.50 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 182.15 → 175.50 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.1% | -11.5% | 区间外 | 198.21 → 175.50 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.1% | -11.3% | 区间外 | 197.90 → 175.50 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | -9.5% | 区间内 | 193.85 → 175.50 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.7% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 178.15 → 175.50 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | -7.0% | 区间内 | 188.66 → 175.50 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.3% | -5.0% | 区间内 | 184.68 → 175.50 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | -6.8% | 区间内 | 188.27 → 175.50 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 180.90 → 175.50 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 182.01 → 175.50 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 175.90 → 175.50 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 176.30 → 175.50 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 174.65 → 175.50 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | +4.1% | 区间内 | 168.64 → 175.50 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | +4.4% | 区间内 | 168.15 → 175.50 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +4.2% | 区间内 | 168.40 → 175.50 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +3.4% | 区间内 | 169.80 → 175.50 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +5.1% | 区间内 | 167.05 → 175.50 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 170.40 → 175.50 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 184.95 → 184.87 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.1% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 182.15 → 184.87 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | -6.7% | 区间内 | 198.21 → 184.87 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | -6.6% | 区间内 | 197.90 → 184.87 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.8% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 193.85 → 184.87 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | +3.8% | 区间内 | 178.15 → 184.87 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 188.66 → 184.87 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.