PLUG 预期波动历史 Plug Power Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内57%
|实际值| 低于预期值57%
平均预期波动幅度±12.4%
平均|实际|波动幅度13.5%
平均绝对误差7.2pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 1.39 | ±10.4% | 1.25–1.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 1.53 | ±9.5% | 1.38–1.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 1.46 | ±10.6% | 1.30–1.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 1.55 | ±9.4% | 1.41–1.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 1.69 | ±13.6% | 1.46–1.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 1.72 | ±14.9% | 1.46–1.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 1.77 | ±15.8% | 1.49–2.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 1.88 | ±12.0% | 1.65–2.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 1.87 | ±12.6% | 1.64–2.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 1.92 | ±12.8% | 1.67–2.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 1.95 | ±13.1% | 1.70–2.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 2.12 | ±16.0% | 1.78–2.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 2.10 | ±15.8% | 1.76–2.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 2.10 | ±15.0% | 1.79–2.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 2.06 | ±16.3% | 1.72–2.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 2.15 | ±18.6% | 1.75–2.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 2.02 | ±17.8% | 1.66–2.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 2.06 | ±18.9% | 1.68–2.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 2.06 | ±19.2% | 1.67–2.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 2.13 | ±19.5% | 1.71–2.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 2.12 | ±21.5% | 1.66–2.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 2.18 | ±20.2% | 1.74–2.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 2.26 | ±22.3% | 1.75–2.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 2.16 | ±20.6% | 1.71–2.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 2.18 | ±20.9% | 1.73–2.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 2.11 | ±22.7% | 1.63–2.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 1.39 | ±13.3% | 1.21–1.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 1.53 | ±12.4% | 1.34–1.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 1.46 | ±12.3% | 1.28–1.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 1.55 | ±10.6% | 1.39–1.72 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -9.8% | 区间外 | 1.53 → 1.38 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -5.5% | 区间内 | 1.46 → 1.38 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | -11.0% | 区间外 | 1.55 → 1.38 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | -18.3% | 区间外 | 1.69 → 1.38 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.7% | -19.5% | 区间外 | 1.72 → 1.38 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.7% | -22.0% | 区间外 | 1.77 → 1.38 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.3% | -26.4% | 区间外 | 1.88 → 1.38 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.2% | -26.2% | 区间外 | 1.87 → 1.38 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | -27.9% | 区间外 | 1.92 → 1.38 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | -29.2% | 区间外 | 1.95 → 1.38 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.7% | -34.9% | 区间外 | 2.12 → 1.38 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.3% | -34.1% | 区间外 | 2.10 → 1.38 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.0% | -34.4% | 区间外 | 2.10 → 1.38 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.6% | -33.0% | 区间外 | 2.06 → 1.38 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.9% | -35.7% | 区间外 | 2.15 → 1.38 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.6% | -31.7% | 区间外 | 2.02 → 1.38 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.7% | -33.2% | 区间外 | 2.06 → 1.38 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.0% | -33.1% | 区间外 | 2.06 → 1.38 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.3% | -35.2% | 区间外 | 2.13 → 1.38 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.2% | -34.9% | 区间外 | 2.12 → 1.38 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.8% | -36.7% | 区间外 | 2.18 → 1.38 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±23.0% | -38.9% | 区间外 | 2.26 → 1.38 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.5% | -36.1% | 区间外 | 2.16 → 1.38 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.5% | -36.7% | 区间外 | 2.18 → 1.38 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.7% | -34.6% | 区间外 | 2.11 → 1.38 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.4% | -34.8% | 区间外 | 2.12 → 1.38 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±20.2% | -33.7% | 区间外 | 2.08 → 1.38 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±20.5% | -36.4% | 区间外 | 2.17 → 1.38 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 1.69 → 1.68 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.1% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 1.72 → 1.68 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.3% | -5.1% | 区间内 | 1.77 → 1.68 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | -10.4% | 区间外 | 1.88 → 1.68 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -10.2% | 区间外 | 1.87 → 1.68 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | -12.3% | 区间外 | 1.92 → 1.68 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -13.8% | 区间外 | 1.95 → 1.68 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | -20.7% | 区间外 | 2.12 → 1.68 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | -19.8% | 区间外 | 2.10 → 1.68 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | -20.2% | 区间外 | 2.10 → 1.68 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.9% | -18.4% | 区间外 | 2.06 → 1.68 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.2% | -21.7% | 区间外 | 2.15 → 1.68 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | -16.8% | 区间外 | 2.02 → 1.68 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.3% | -18.6% | 区间外 | 2.06 → 1.68 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.5% | -18.5% | 区间外 | 2.06 → 1.68 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.4% | -21.1% | 区间外 | 2.13 → 1.68 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.8% | -20.8% | 区间外 | 2.12 → 1.68 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.2% | -22.9% | 区间外 | 2.18 → 1.68 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±21.2% | -25.7% | 区间外 | 2.26 → 1.68 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.6% | -22.2% | 区间外 | 2.16 → 1.68 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.9% | -22.9% | 区间外 | 2.18 → 1.68 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.8% | -20.4% | 区间外 | 2.11 → 1.68 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.7% | -20.6% | 区间外 | 2.12 → 1.68 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.5% | -19.2% | 区间外 | 2.08 → 1.68 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.0% | -22.6% | 区间外 | 2.17 → 1.68 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 1.92 → 1.90 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 1.95 → 1.90 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.7% | -10.3% | 区间外 | 2.12 → 1.90 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.1% | -9.3% | 区间外 | 2.10 → 1.90 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.3% | -9.7% | 区间外 | 2.10 → 1.90 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.5% | -7.8% | 区间内 | 2.06 → 1.90 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.7% | -11.4% | 区间内 | 2.15 → 1.90 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.