PLD 预期波动历史 Prologis, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项43
收盘价处于区间内56%
|实际值| 低于预期值56%
平均预期波动幅度±4.4%
平均|实际|波动幅度4.3%
平均绝对误差1.6pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 124.09 | ±5.6% | 117.14–131.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 125.75 | ±5.7% | 118.53–132.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 129.99 | ±6.7% | 121.34–138.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 133.55 | ±6.7% | 124.65–142.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 129.78 | ±6.7% | 121.14–138.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 129.30 | ±6.8% | 120.50–138.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 127.14 | ±7.3% | 117.81–136.46 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 128.61 | ±6.9% | 119.71–137.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 128.51 | ±6.8% | 119.72–137.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 128.91 | ±7.2% | 119.66–138.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 128.45 | ±7.2% | 119.15–137.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 134.72 | ±7.8% | 124.22–145.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 134.72 | ±7.8% | 124.22–145.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 135.44 | ±7.2% | 125.69–145.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 134.56 | ±7.6% | 124.36–144.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 134.44 | ±7.7% | 124.09–144.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Nov 20 | 65 | 135.01 | ±7.9% | 124.41–145.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Nov 20 | 66 | 134.97 | ±7.7% | 124.62–145.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Nov 20 | 67 | 133.97 | ±8.0% | 123.22–144.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Nov 20 | 70 | 135.89 | ±8.1% | 124.94–146.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Nov 20 | 71 | 135.72 | ±8.2% | 124.58–146.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Nov 20 | 72 | 138.48 | ±8.6% | 126.63–150.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Nov 20 | 73 | 138.02 | ±8.4% | 126.37–149.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Nov 20 | 74 | 137.34 | ±8.4% | 125.79–148.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Nov 20 | 77 | 137.59 | ±8.5% | 125.89–149.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Nov 20 | 78 | 137.12 | ±8.7% | 125.22–149.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Nov 20 | 79 | 137.28 | ±9.0% | 124.92–149.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Nov 20 | 80 | 139.17 | ±8.6% | 127.22–151.12 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Nov 20 | 81 | 139.48 | ±9.0% | 126.98–151.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 124.09 | ±7.9% | 114.29–133.89 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.4% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 125.75 → 125.75 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 129.99 → 125.75 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | -5.8% | 区间外 | 133.55 → 125.75 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 129.78 → 125.75 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 129.30 → 125.75 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 127.14 → 125.75 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 128.61 → 125.75 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 128.51 → 125.75 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 128.91 → 125.75 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 128.45 → 125.75 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | -6.7% | 区间外 | 134.72 → 125.75 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | -6.7% | 区间外 | 134.72 → 125.75 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | -7.2% | 区间外 | 135.44 → 125.75 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 134.56 → 125.75 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 134.44 → 125.75 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -6.9% | 区间外 | 135.01 → 125.75 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -6.8% | 区间外 | 134.97 → 125.75 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -6.1% | 区间外 | 133.97 → 125.75 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -7.5% | 区间外 | 135.89 → 125.75 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -7.3% | 区间外 | 135.72 → 125.75 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -9.2% | 区间外 | 138.48 → 125.75 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -8.9% | 区间外 | 138.02 → 125.75 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -8.4% | 区间外 | 137.34 → 125.75 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -8.6% | 区间外 | 137.59 → 125.75 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 137.12 → 125.75 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -8.4% | 区间外 | 137.28 → 125.75 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -9.6% | 区间外 | 139.17 → 125.75 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -9.8% | 区间外 | 139.48 → 125.75 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±0.5% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 134.56 → 134.84 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.4% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 134.44 → 134.84 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.0% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 135.01 → 134.84 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.5% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 134.97 → 134.84 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.9% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 133.97 → 134.84 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.6% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 135.89 → 134.84 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.9% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 135.72 → 134.84 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.2% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 138.48 → 134.84 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.3% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 138.02 → 134.84 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.0% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 137.34 → 134.84 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.7% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 137.59 → 134.84 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.5% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 137.12 → 134.84 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 137.28 → 134.84 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 139.17 → 134.84 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.9% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 139.48 → 134.84 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.