PINS 预期波动历史 Pinterest, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内52%
|实际值| 低于预期值52%
平均预期波动幅度±7.1%
平均|实际|波动幅度7.1%
平均绝对误差3.9pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 22.35 | ±4.8% | 21.28–23.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 21.91 | ±5.0% | 20.82–23.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 21.75 | ±6.6% | 20.32–23.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 22.30 | ±6.3% | 20.89–23.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 21.33 | ±6.9% | 19.86–22.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 20.54 | ±6.5% | 19.20–21.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 20.40 | ±7.2% | 18.93–21.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 20.03 | ±7.8% | 18.48–21.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 20.24 | ±7.3% | 18.77–21.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 19.17 | ±8.4% | 17.56–20.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 19.46 | ±8.8% | 17.75–21.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 18.45 | ±10.7% | 16.47–20.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 18.49 | ±10.7% | 16.51–20.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 19.35 | ±10.9% | 17.24–21.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 18.61 | ±11.5% | 16.48–20.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 18.38 | ±11.2% | 16.32–20.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 18.74 | ±11.8% | 16.54–20.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 18.85 | ±12.4% | 16.51–21.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 19.71 | ±13.2% | 17.11–22.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 18.75 | ±12.5% | 16.40–21.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 18.65 | ±13.2% | 16.18–21.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 18.37 | ±10.8% | 16.39–20.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 20.19 | ±12.6% | 17.66–22.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 20.42 | ±12.3% | 17.91–22.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 20.43 | ±10.0% | 18.38–22.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 20.78 | ±14.0% | 17.87–23.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 22.35 | ±7.3% | 20.71–23.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 21.91 | ±7.7% | 20.23–23.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 21.75 | ±8.7% | 19.86–23.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 22.30 | ±7.8% | 20.57–24.03 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.1% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 21.91 → 21.91 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 21.75 → 21.91 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 22.30 → 21.91 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 21.33 → 21.91 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +6.7% | 区间外 | 20.54 → 21.91 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | +7.4% | 区间外 | 20.40 → 21.91 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | +9.4% | 区间外 | 20.03 → 21.91 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | +8.3% | 区间外 | 20.24 → 21.91 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | +14.3% | 区间外 | 19.17 → 21.91 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | +12.6% | 区间外 | 19.46 → 21.91 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | +18.8% | 区间外 | 18.45 → 21.91 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | +18.5% | 区间外 | 18.49 → 21.91 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | +13.2% | 区间外 | 19.35 → 21.91 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | +17.7% | 区间外 | 18.61 → 21.91 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | +19.2% | 区间外 | 18.38 → 21.91 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | +16.9% | 区间外 | 18.74 → 21.91 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | +16.2% | 区间外 | 18.85 → 21.91 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.8% | +11.2% | 区间外 | 19.71 → 21.91 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | +16.9% | 区间外 | 18.75 → 21.91 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | +17.5% | 区间外 | 18.65 → 21.91 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.2% | +19.3% | 区间外 | 18.37 → 21.91 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | +8.5% | 区间内 | 20.19 → 21.91 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | +7.3% | 区间内 | 20.42 → 21.91 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.2% | +7.3% | 区间内 | 20.43 → 21.91 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | +5.5% | 区间内 | 20.78 → 21.91 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | +3.7% | 区间内 | 21.12 → 21.91 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.9% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 21.58 → 21.91 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 21.70 → 21.91 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 21.33 → 21.40 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +4.2% | 区间外 | 20.54 → 21.40 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | +4.9% | 区间外 | 20.40 → 21.40 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | +6.8% | 区间外 | 20.03 → 21.40 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | +5.7% | 区间外 | 20.24 → 21.40 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +11.6% | 区间外 | 19.17 → 21.40 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | +10.0% | 区间外 | 19.46 → 21.40 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | +16.0% | 区间外 | 18.45 → 21.40 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | +15.7% | 区间外 | 18.49 → 21.40 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | +10.6% | 区间外 | 19.35 → 21.40 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.5% | +15.0% | 区间外 | 18.61 → 21.40 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.7% | +16.4% | 区间外 | 18.38 → 21.40 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | +14.2% | 区间外 | 18.74 → 21.40 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +13.5% | 区间外 | 18.85 → 21.40 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | +8.6% | 区间内 | 19.71 → 21.40 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +14.2% | 区间外 | 18.75 → 21.40 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +14.7% | 区间外 | 18.65 → 21.40 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.1% | +16.5% | 区间外 | 18.37 → 21.40 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +6.0% | 区间内 | 20.19 → 21.40 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +4.8% | 区间内 | 20.42 → 21.40 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.4% | +4.8% | 区间内 | 20.43 → 21.40 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 20.78 → 21.40 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 21.12 → 21.40 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 21.58 → 21.40 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 21.70 → 21.40 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.3% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 19.17 → 19.26 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 19.46 → 19.26 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | +4.4% | 区间内 | 18.45 → 19.26 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | +4.2% | 区间内 | 18.49 → 19.26 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 19.35 → 19.26 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | +3.5% | 区间内 | 18.61 → 19.26 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.3% | +4.8% | 区间内 | 18.38 → 19.26 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.