PINS histórico de movimento esperado Pinterest, Inc.
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas93
Fechar dentro do intervalo56%
|Real| abaixo do esperado56%
Movimento esperado médio±6.6%
Movimento |real| médio6.2%
Erro médio absoluto3.6pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 21.91 | ±1.1% | 21.66–22.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 21.75 | ±4.2% | 20.84–22.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 22.30 | ±3.7% | 21.47–23.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 21.33 | ±4.5% | 20.38–22.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 20.54 | ±4.9% | 19.52–21.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 20.40 | ±5.7% | 19.23–21.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 20.03 | ±5.8% | 18.88–21.18 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 20.24 | ±6.1% | 19.01–21.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 19.17 | ±7.3% | 17.78–20.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 19.46 | ±7.7% | 17.96–20.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 18.45 | ±9.4% | 16.71–20.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 18.49 | ±9.4% | 16.75–20.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 19.35 | ±9.5% | 17.51–21.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 18.61 | ±10.5% | 16.66–20.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 18.38 | ±10.2% | 16.51–20.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 18.74 | ±10.6% | 16.75–20.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 18.85 | ±10.7% | 16.83–20.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 19.71 | ±10.8% | 17.59–21.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 18.75 | ±11.4% | 16.60–20.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 18.65 | ±12.0% | 16.41–20.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 18.37 | ±13.2% | 15.94–20.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 20.19 | ±11.6% | 17.86–22.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 20.42 | ±11.5% | 18.08–22.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 20.43 | ±11.2% | 18.13–22.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 20.78 | ±11.7% | 18.35–23.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 21.12 | ±11.7% | 18.64–23.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 21.58 | ±11.9% | 19.00–24.16 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 21.70 | ±11.3% | 19.25–24.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 21.91 | ±5.0% | 20.82–23.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 21.75 | ±6.6% | 20.32–23.17 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | +0.3% | dentro | 21.33 → 21.40 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +4.2% | fora | 20.54 → 21.40 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | +4.9% | fora | 20.40 → 21.40 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | +6.8% | fora | 20.03 → 21.40 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | +5.7% | fora | 20.24 → 21.40 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +11.6% | fora | 19.17 → 21.40 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | +10.0% | fora | 19.46 → 21.40 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | +16.0% | fora | 18.45 → 21.40 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | +15.7% | fora | 18.49 → 21.40 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | +10.6% | fora | 19.35 → 21.40 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.5% | +15.0% | fora | 18.61 → 21.40 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.7% | +16.4% | fora | 18.38 → 21.40 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | +14.2% | fora | 18.74 → 21.40 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +13.5% | fora | 18.85 → 21.40 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | +8.6% | dentro | 19.71 → 21.40 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +14.2% | fora | 18.75 → 21.40 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +14.7% | fora | 18.65 → 21.40 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.1% | +16.5% | fora | 18.37 → 21.40 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +6.0% | dentro | 20.19 → 21.40 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +4.8% | dentro | 20.42 → 21.40 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.4% | +4.8% | dentro | 20.43 → 21.40 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +3.0% | dentro | 20.78 → 21.40 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | +1.3% | dentro | 21.12 → 21.40 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | -0.8% | dentro | 21.58 → 21.40 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | -1.4% | dentro | 21.70 → 21.40 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.3% | +0.5% | dentro | 19.17 → 19.26 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | -1.0% | dentro | 19.46 → 19.26 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | +4.4% | dentro | 18.45 → 19.26 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | +4.2% | dentro | 18.49 → 19.26 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | -0.5% | dentro | 19.35 → 19.26 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | +3.5% | dentro | 18.61 → 19.26 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.3% | +4.8% | dentro | 18.38 → 19.26 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.8% | +2.8% | dentro | 18.74 → 19.26 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | +2.2% | dentro | 18.85 → 19.26 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | -2.3% | dentro | 19.71 → 19.26 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.5% | +2.7% | dentro | 18.75 → 19.26 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.4% | +3.3% | dentro | 18.65 → 19.26 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.1% | +4.8% | dentro | 18.37 → 19.26 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.1% | -4.6% | dentro | 20.19 → 19.26 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.5% | -5.7% | dentro | 20.42 → 19.26 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.9% | -5.7% | dentro | 20.43 → 19.26 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.7% | -7.3% | dentro | 20.78 → 19.26 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.6% | -8.8% | dentro | 21.12 → 19.26 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.8% | -10.8% | fora | 21.58 → 19.26 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.9% | -11.2% | fora | 21.70 → 19.26 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | +2.4% | dentro | 18.45 → 18.90 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | +2.2% | dentro | 18.49 → 18.90 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | -2.3% | dentro | 19.35 → 18.90 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.9% | +1.5% | dentro | 18.61 → 18.90 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.4% | +2.8% | dentro | 18.38 → 18.90 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.9% | +0.9% | dentro | 18.74 → 18.90 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.5% | +0.3% | dentro | 18.85 → 18.90 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.9% | -4.1% | dentro | 19.71 → 18.90 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.1% | +0.8% | dentro | 18.75 → 18.90 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.9% | +1.3% | dentro | 18.65 → 18.90 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.8% | +2.9% | dentro | 18.37 → 18.90 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.9% | -6.4% | dentro | 20.19 → 18.90 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.3% | -7.4% | dentro | 20.42 → 18.90 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.3% | -7.5% | dentro | 20.43 → 18.90 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.5% | -9.0% | fora | 20.78 → 18.90 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.