PG 预期波动历史 The Procter & Gamble Company
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内67%
|实际值| 低于预期值67%
平均预期波动幅度±3.0%
平均|实际|波动幅度3.0%
平均绝对误差2.2pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 157.40 | ±3.3% | 152.25–162.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 158.82 | ±3.7% | 152.97–164.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 156.60 | ±4.2% | 149.97–163.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 152.61 | ±3.8% | 146.82–158.40 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 151.30 | ±4.1% | 145.06–157.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 150.14 | ±4.4% | 143.52–156.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 148.24 | ±4.6% | 141.41–155.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 148.58 | ±4.5% | 141.82–155.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 146.29 | ±5.0% | 138.94–153.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 144.91 | ±4.8% | 137.91–151.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 144.15 | ±5.2% | 136.72–151.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 148.29 | ±5.3% | 140.40–156.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 148.10 | ±5.3% | 140.21–155.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 146.63 | ±5.4% | 138.66–154.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 146.12 | ±5.5% | 138.04–154.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 147.47 | ±5.7% | 139.09–155.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 147.02 | ±5.6% | 138.84–155.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 146.25 | ±6.1% | 137.33–155.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 146.11 | ±5.8% | 137.59–154.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 144.50 | ±6.1% | 135.75–153.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 142.97 | ±6.3% | 134.02–151.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 142.75 | ±6.3% | 133.75–151.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 145.81 | ±6.3% | 136.61–155.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 146.70 | ±6.0% | 137.88–155.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 146.42 | ±6.6% | 136.69–156.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 146.74 | ±6.2% | 137.64–155.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 157.40 | ±3.9% | 151.34–163.46 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 158.82 | ±4.4% | 151.88–165.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 156.60 | ±4.5% | 149.48–163.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 152.61 | ±4.3% | 145.99–159.24 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.8% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 158.82 → 159.35 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.5% | +1.8% | 区间外 | 156.60 → 159.35 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.5% | +4.4% | 区间外 | 152.61 → 159.35 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.0% | +5.3% | 区间外 | 151.30 → 159.35 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.2% | +6.1% | 区间外 | 150.14 → 159.35 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.2% | +7.5% | 区间外 | 148.24 → 159.35 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +7.2% | 区间外 | 148.58 → 159.35 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +8.9% | 区间外 | 146.29 → 159.35 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +10.0% | 区间外 | 144.91 → 159.35 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +10.5% | 区间外 | 144.15 → 159.35 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +7.5% | 区间外 | 148.29 → 159.35 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +7.6% | 区间外 | 148.10 → 159.35 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +8.7% | 区间外 | 146.63 → 159.35 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +9.1% | 区间外 | 146.12 → 159.35 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +8.1% | 区间外 | 147.47 → 159.35 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | +8.4% | 区间外 | 147.02 → 159.35 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | +9.0% | 区间外 | 146.25 → 159.35 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +9.1% | 区间外 | 146.11 → 159.35 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +10.3% | 区间外 | 144.50 → 159.35 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +11.5% | 区间外 | 142.97 → 159.35 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +11.6% | 区间外 | 142.75 → 159.35 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +9.3% | 区间外 | 145.81 → 159.35 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +8.6% | 区间外 | 146.70 → 159.35 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +8.8% | 区间外 | 146.42 → 159.35 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +8.6% | 区间外 | 146.74 → 159.35 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +7.8% | 区间外 | 147.80 → 159.35 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | +8.6% | 区间外 | 146.68 → 159.35 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | +9.6% | 区间外 | 145.39 → 159.35 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 151.30 → 151.23 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 150.14 → 151.23 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | +2.0% | 区间外 | 148.24 → 151.23 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +1.8% | 区间外 | 148.58 → 151.23 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +3.4% | 区间外 | 146.29 → 151.23 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +4.4% | 区间外 | 144.91 → 151.23 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +4.9% | 区间外 | 144.15 → 151.23 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | +2.0% | 区间内 | 148.29 → 151.23 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | +2.1% | 区间内 | 148.10 → 151.23 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 146.63 → 151.23 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | +3.5% | 区间内 | 146.12 → 151.23 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +2.5% | 区间内 | 147.47 → 151.23 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | +2.9% | 区间内 | 147.02 → 151.23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | +3.4% | 区间内 | 146.25 → 151.23 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | +3.5% | 区间内 | 146.11 → 151.23 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | +4.7% | 区间外 | 144.50 → 151.23 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +5.8% | 区间外 | 142.97 → 151.23 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +5.9% | 区间外 | 142.75 → 151.23 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +3.7% | 区间内 | 145.81 → 151.23 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 146.70 → 151.23 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 146.42 → 151.23 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 146.74 → 151.23 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | +2.3% | 区间内 | 147.80 → 151.23 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 146.68 → 151.23 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | +4.0% | 区间内 | 145.39 → 151.23 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.2% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 144.91 → 144.91 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.9% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 144.15 → 144.91 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.5% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 148.29 → 144.91 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.5% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 148.10 → 144.91 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.6% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 146.63 → 144.91 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 146.12 → 144.91 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 147.47 → 144.91 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.