PFE 预期波动历史 Pfizer Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内66%
|实际值| 低于预期值66%
平均预期波动幅度±3.5%
平均|实际|波动幅度2.6%
平均绝对误差2.0pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 29.39 | ±2.1% | 28.78–30.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 29.52 | ±2.6% | 28.75–30.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 29.17 | ±3.2% | 28.24–30.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 28.39 | ±2.9% | 27.56–29.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 28.13 | ±3.5% | 27.15–29.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 27.76 | ±3.5% | 26.80–28.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 27.95 | ±3.7% | 26.91–28.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 27.49 | ±3.8% | 26.44–28.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 27.44 | ±4.0% | 26.33–28.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 27.79 | ±4.1% | 26.66–28.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 28.11 | ±4.0% | 26.98–29.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 27.90 | ±5.1% | 26.46–29.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 27.90 | ±5.1% | 26.46–29.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 27.75 | ±5.1% | 26.34–29.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 27.53 | ±5.0% | 26.14–28.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 27.66 | ±5.3% | 26.19–29.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 27.45 | ±5.5% | 25.93–28.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 27.54 | ±6.0% | 25.89–29.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 27.61 | ±6.0% | 25.96–29.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 27.72 | ±6.1% | 26.04–29.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 27.63 | ±6.3% | 25.89–29.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 27.81 | ±6.2% | 26.09–29.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 27.80 | ±6.5% | 25.99–29.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 28.44 | ±6.3% | 26.66–30.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 28.44 | ±6.3% | 26.66–30.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 28.70 | ±6.6% | 26.80–30.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 29.39 | ±3.2% | 28.44–30.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 29.52 | ±3.7% | 28.42–30.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 29.17 | ±4.4% | 27.88–30.46 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 28.39 | ±4.1% | 27.22–29.56 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.4% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 29.52 → 29.58 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.8% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 29.17 → 29.58 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +4.2% | 区间外 | 28.39 → 29.58 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +5.2% | 区间外 | 28.13 → 29.58 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +6.6% | 区间外 | 27.76 → 29.58 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +5.8% | 区间外 | 27.95 → 29.58 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +7.6% | 区间外 | 27.49 → 29.58 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +7.8% | 区间外 | 27.44 → 29.58 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +6.4% | 区间外 | 27.79 → 29.58 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | +5.2% | 区间外 | 28.11 → 29.58 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +6.0% | 区间外 | 27.90 → 29.58 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +6.0% | 区间外 | 27.90 → 29.58 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +6.6% | 区间外 | 27.75 → 29.58 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +7.4% | 区间外 | 27.53 → 29.58 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +6.9% | 区间外 | 27.66 → 29.58 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +7.8% | 区间外 | 27.45 → 29.58 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | +7.4% | 区间外 | 27.54 → 29.58 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | +7.1% | 区间外 | 27.61 → 29.58 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | +6.7% | 区间外 | 27.72 → 29.58 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | +7.1% | 区间外 | 27.63 → 29.58 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | +6.4% | 区间外 | 27.81 → 29.58 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | +6.4% | 区间外 | 27.80 → 29.58 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | +4.0% | 区间内 | 28.44 → 29.58 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | +4.0% | 区间内 | 28.44 → 29.58 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 28.70 → 29.58 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | +2.1% | 区间内 | 28.97 → 29.58 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | +3.5% | 区间内 | 28.58 → 29.58 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +3.7% | 区间内 | 28.53 → 29.58 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 28.13 → 28.28 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | +1.9% | 区间外 | 27.76 → 28.28 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 27.95 → 28.28 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +2.9% | 区间外 | 27.49 → 28.28 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +3.1% | 区间外 | 27.44 → 28.28 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 27.79 → 28.28 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 28.11 → 28.28 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 27.90 → 28.28 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 27.90 → 28.28 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 27.75 → 28.28 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 27.53 → 28.28 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | +2.2% | 区间内 | 27.66 → 28.28 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 27.45 → 28.28 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 27.54 → 28.28 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 27.61 → 28.28 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +2.0% | 区间内 | 27.72 → 28.28 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 27.63 → 28.28 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 27.81 → 28.28 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 27.80 → 28.28 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 28.44 → 28.28 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 28.44 → 28.28 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 28.70 → 28.28 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 28.97 → 28.28 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 28.58 → 28.28 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 28.53 → 28.28 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.8% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 27.79 → 27.80 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.9% | -1.1% | 区间外 | 28.11 → 27.80 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.8% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 27.90 → 27.80 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.8% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 27.90 → 27.80 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.0% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 27.75 → 27.80 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.9% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 27.53 → 27.80 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 27.66 → 27.80 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.