O 予想変動幅の履歴 Realty Income Corporation
毎取引日の引け後、結果が判明する前の各満期日について、オプション市場が織り込んでいた価格を記録します。満期日が経過すると、実際の結果が当初の推定値の横に記録されます。推定値は事後に修正されることはありません。 これらの統計の見方 · 記録開始： Aug 31, 2026
比較解決済み43
レンジ内で引ける19%
|実績値| が予想値を下回る19%
平均予想変動幅±3.0%
平均｜実績｜変動幅4.9%
平均絶対誤差2.6pt
インプライドと実現の比較、限月別
各満期日について、琥珀色の枠線は満期日直前に記録されたインプライド・ムーブ、塗りつぶされたバーは株価の実際の動きを示します。符号付きの値がバーの下に表示されます。
予想値（記録済み）実績
現在記録中（結果待ち）
| スナップショット | 満期日 | DTE | 当時のスポット価格 | インプライド・ムーブ | レンジ | 手法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 55.55 | ±4.5% | 53.07–58.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 56.06 | ±4.7% | 53.41–58.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 55.18 | ±4.5% | 52.70–57.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 55.01 | ±4.3% | 52.63–57.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 54.16 | ±5.0% | 51.44–56.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 54.23 | ±5.1% | 51.48–56.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 53.46 | ±4.9% | 50.84–56.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 54.25 | ±4.9% | 51.58–56.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 53.94 | ±5.5% | 50.99–56.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 54.13 | ±5.7% | 51.05–57.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 53.62 | ±5.9% | 50.47–56.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 56.65 | ±5.5% | 53.52–59.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 56.59 | ±5.6% | 53.45–59.74 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 56.80 | ±5.6% | 53.62–59.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 56.97 | ±5.9% | 53.62–60.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 57.43 | ±5.8% | 54.10–60.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 55.55 | ±6.0% | 52.22–58.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Dec 18 | 63 | 56.06 | ±6.2% | 52.59–59.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Dec 18 | 65 | 55.18 | ±6.2% | 51.76–58.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Dec 18 | 66 | 55.01 | ±6.0% | 51.71–58.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Dec 18 | 70 | 54.16 | ±6.5% | 50.66–57.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Dec 18 | 71 | 54.23 | ±6.6% | 50.66–57.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Dec 18 | 72 | 53.46 | ±7.3% | 49.56–57.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Dec 18 | 73 | 54.25 | ±6.4% | 50.77–57.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Dec 18 | 74 | 53.94 | ±6.6% | 50.39–57.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Dec 18 | 77 | 54.13 | ±7.1% | 50.28–57.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Dec 18 | 78 | 53.62 | ±7.5% | 49.62–57.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Dec 18 | 86 | 56.65 | ±6.8% | 52.77–60.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Dec 18 | 87 | 56.59 | ±6.9% | 52.67–60.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Dec 18 | 88 | 56.80 | ±6.9% | 52.90–60.70 | em-1.0 |
確定済みスナップショット
| スナップショット | 満期済み | 予想 | 実績値 | レンジ内？ | スポット → 終値 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +0.0% | レンジ内 | 56.06 → 56.08 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.3% | +1.6% | レンジ外 | 55.18 → 56.08 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.4% | +1.9% | レンジ外 | 55.01 → 56.08 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +3.5% | レンジ外 | 54.16 → 56.08 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +3.4% | レンジ外 | 54.23 → 56.08 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +4.9% | レンジ外 | 53.46 → 56.08 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +3.4% | レンジ外 | 54.25 → 56.08 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +4.0% | レンジ外 | 53.94 → 56.08 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +3.6% | レンジ外 | 54.13 → 56.08 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +4.6% | レンジ外 | 53.62 → 56.08 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | -1.0% | レンジ内 | 56.65 → 56.08 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | -0.9% | レンジ内 | 56.59 → 56.08 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | -1.3% | レンジ内 | 56.80 → 56.08 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | -1.6% | レンジ内 | 56.97 → 56.08 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | -2.4% | レンジ内 | 57.43 → 56.08 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -2.1% | レンジ内 | 57.30 → 56.08 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | -4.6% | レンジ外 | 58.76 → 56.08 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | -5.5% | レンジ外 | 59.34 → 56.08 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | -6.0% | レンジ外 | 59.65 → 56.08 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | -6.0% | レンジ外 | 59.69 → 56.08 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | -6.9% | レンジ外 | 60.25 → 56.08 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -8.5% | レンジ外 | 61.30 → 56.08 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | -8.7% | レンジ外 | 61.40 → 56.08 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | -8.7% | レンジ外 | 61.40 → 56.08 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | -8.9% | レンジ外 | 61.58 → 56.08 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -8.9% | レンジ外 | 61.59 → 56.08 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | -8.3% | レンジ外 | 61.16 → 56.08 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | -8.7% | レンジ外 | 61.42 → 56.08 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.5% | -0.5% | レンジ内 | 56.97 → 56.66 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±0.9% | -1.3% | レンジ外 | 57.43 → 56.66 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.0% | -1.1% | レンジ外 | 57.30 → 56.66 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.5% | -3.6% | レンジ外 | 58.76 → 56.66 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.9% | -4.5% | レンジ外 | 59.34 → 56.66 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.8% | -5.0% | レンジ外 | 59.65 → 56.66 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.1% | -5.1% | レンジ外 | 59.69 → 56.66 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.2% | -6.0% | レンジ外 | 60.25 → 56.66 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.7% | -7.6% | レンジ外 | 61.30 → 56.66 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.6% | -7.7% | レンジ外 | 61.40 → 56.66 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.6% | -7.7% | レンジ外 | 61.40 → 56.66 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.8% | -8.0% | レンジ外 | 61.58 → 56.66 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.6% | -8.0% | レンジ外 | 61.59 → 56.66 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.1% | -7.4% | レンジ外 | 61.16 → 56.66 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.1% | -7.8% | レンジ外 | 61.42 → 56.66 |
結果は満期日の終値と記録されたレンジを比較したものです。手法バージョンが異なる場合は行ごとに表示されます。現在のバージョン： em-1.0.