NVDA 预期波动历史 NVIDIA Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项1
收盘价处于区间内100%
|实际值| 低于预期值100%
平均预期波动幅度±0.4%
平均|实际|波动幅度0.2%
平均绝对误差0.2pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 02 | Sep 02 | 0 | 225.18 | ±0.5% | 224.14–226.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 02 | 1 | 217.50 | ±1.4% | 214.41–220.59 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 02 | 2 | 220.34 | ±1.9% | 216.14–224.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 04 | 2 | 225.18 | ±2.1% | 220.35–230.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 04 | 3 | 217.50 | ±2.5% | 212.01–222.99 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 04 | 4 | 220.34 | ±2.8% | 214.08–226.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 09 | 7 | 225.18 | ±3.2% | 217.93–232.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 09 | 8 | 217.50 | ±3.4% | 210.05–224.95 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 09 | 9 | 220.34 | ±3.7% | 212.11–228.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 11 | 9 | 225.18 | ±3.9% | 216.31–234.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 11 | 10 | 217.50 | ±4.1% | 208.57–226.43 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 11 | 11 | 220.34 | ±4.1% | 211.39–229.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 14 | 12 | 225.18 | ±4.1% | 215.91–234.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 14 | 13 | 217.50 | ±4.6% | 207.47–227.53 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 14 | 14 | 220.34 | ±4.7% | 210.01–230.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 16 | 14 | 225.18 | ±4.7% | 214.56–235.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 16 | 15 | 217.50 | ±5.1% | 206.40–228.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 18 | 16 | 225.18 | ±5.4% | 213.06–237.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 18 | 17 | 217.50 | ±5.5% | 205.55–229.45 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 18 | 18 | 220.34 | ±5.5% | 208.21–232.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 25 | 23 | 225.18 | ±6.4% | 210.71–239.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 25 | 24 | 217.50 | ±6.6% | 203.07–231.93 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 25 | 25 | 220.34 | ±6.5% | 206.11–234.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 02 | 30 | 225.18 | ±7.4% | 208.43–241.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 02 | 31 | 217.50 | ±7.6% | 201.05–233.95 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 02 | 32 | 220.34 | ±7.2% | 204.51–236.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 09 | 37 | 225.18 | ±8.7% | 205.53–244.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 09 | 38 | 217.50 | ±8.4% | 199.20–235.80 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 09 | 39 | 220.34 | ±8.4% | 201.76–238.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 225.18 | ±9.2% | 204.43–245.93 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 31 | ±0.4% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 220.34 → 220.78 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.