NUE 预期波动历史 Nucor Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项43
收盘价处于区间内86%
|实际值| 低于预期值86%
平均预期波动幅度±6.4%
平均|实际|波动幅度2.8%
平均绝对误差3.9pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 260.73 | ±9.6% | 235.68–285.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 256.29 | ±9.9% | 230.99–281.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 257.11 | ±10.4% | 230.26–283.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 253.80 | ±10.5% | 227.25–280.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 250.33 | ±10.6% | 223.73–276.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 245.23 | ±11.2% | 217.88–272.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 246.44 | ±11.2% | 218.84–274.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 250.97 | ±11.2% | 222.77–279.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 251.41 | ±11.1% | 223.41–279.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 240.39 | ±10.9% | 214.14–266.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 235.98 | ±11.1% | 209.73–262.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 246.00 | ±12.3% | 215.75–276.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 243.16 | ±12.3% | 213.36–272.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 249.02 | ±12.2% | 218.67–279.37 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 248.66 | ±12.3% | 218.06–279.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 260.73 | ±12.4% | 228.33–293.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Dec 18 | 63 | 256.29 | ±12.5% | 224.34–288.24 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Dec 18 | 65 | 257.11 | ±13.0% | 223.61–290.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Dec 18 | 66 | 253.80 | ±13.0% | 220.75–286.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Dec 18 | 70 | 250.33 | ±13.3% | 217.08–283.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Dec 18 | 71 | 245.23 | ±13.3% | 212.63–277.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Dec 18 | 72 | 246.44 | ±13.7% | 212.69–280.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Dec 18 | 73 | 250.97 | ±13.6% | 216.92–285.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Dec 18 | 74 | 251.41 | ±13.6% | 217.31–285.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Dec 18 | 77 | 240.39 | ±13.5% | 207.89–272.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Dec 18 | 78 | 235.98 | ±13.7% | 203.68–268.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Dec 18 | 86 | 246.00 | ±14.7% | 209.90–282.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Dec 18 | 87 | 243.16 | ±14.6% | 207.56–278.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Dec 18 | 88 | 249.02 | ±14.5% | 212.87–285.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Dec 18 | 91 | 248.66 | ±14.7% | 212.11–285.21 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.5% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 256.29 → 256.29 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 257.11 → 256.29 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 253.80 → 256.29 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 250.33 → 256.29 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +4.5% | 区间内 | 245.23 → 256.29 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +4.0% | 区间内 | 246.44 → 256.29 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +2.1% | 区间内 | 250.97 → 256.29 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 251.41 → 256.29 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +6.6% | 区间外 | 240.39 → 256.29 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | +8.6% | 区间外 | 235.98 → 256.29 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | +4.2% | 区间内 | 246.00 → 256.29 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | +5.4% | 区间内 | 243.16 → 256.29 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +2.9% | 区间内 | 249.02 → 256.29 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 248.66 → 256.29 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 260.68 → 256.29 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.6% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 258.82 → 256.29 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 257.35 → 256.29 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 259.43 → 256.29 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 255.46 → 256.29 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 253.66 → 256.29 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 258.21 → 256.29 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 256.22 → 256.29 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 261.07 → 256.29 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 260.35 → 256.29 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -2.9% | 区间内 | 263.97 → 256.29 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 262.52 → 256.29 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 251.74 → 256.29 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 260.00 → 256.29 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±0.8% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 248.66 → 248.38 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | -4.7% | 区间外 | 260.68 → 248.38 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.0% | -4.0% | 区间外 | 258.82 → 248.38 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.5% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 257.35 → 248.38 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -4.3% | 区间外 | 259.43 → 248.38 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 255.46 → 248.38 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 253.66 → 248.38 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.9% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 258.21 → 248.38 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.6% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 256.22 → 248.38 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.6% | -4.9% | 区间内 | 261.07 → 248.38 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.6% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 260.35 → 248.38 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.9% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 263.97 → 248.38 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.5% | -5.4% | 区间内 | 262.52 → 248.38 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.9% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 251.74 → 248.38 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.2% | -4.5% | 区间内 | 260.00 → 248.38 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.