NUE historial de movimiento esperado Nucor Corporation
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas43
Cierre dentro del rango86%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado86%
Movimiento esperado promedio±6.4%
Movimiento |real| promedio2.8%
Error medio abs.3.9pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 260.73 | ±9.6% | 235.68–285.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 256.29 | ±9.9% | 230.99–281.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 257.11 | ±10.4% | 230.26–283.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 253.80 | ±10.5% | 227.25–280.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 250.33 | ±10.6% | 223.73–276.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 245.23 | ±11.2% | 217.88–272.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 246.44 | ±11.2% | 218.84–274.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 250.97 | ±11.2% | 222.77–279.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 251.41 | ±11.1% | 223.41–279.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 240.39 | ±10.9% | 214.14–266.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 235.98 | ±11.1% | 209.73–262.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 246.00 | ±12.3% | 215.75–276.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 243.16 | ±12.3% | 213.36–272.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 249.02 | ±12.2% | 218.67–279.37 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 248.66 | ±12.3% | 218.06–279.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 260.73 | ±12.4% | 228.33–293.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Dec 18 | 63 | 256.29 | ±12.5% | 224.34–288.24 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Dec 18 | 65 | 257.11 | ±13.0% | 223.61–290.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Dec 18 | 66 | 253.80 | ±13.0% | 220.75–286.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Dec 18 | 70 | 250.33 | ±13.3% | 217.08–283.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Dec 18 | 71 | 245.23 | ±13.3% | 212.63–277.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Dec 18 | 72 | 246.44 | ±13.7% | 212.69–280.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Dec 18 | 73 | 250.97 | ±13.6% | 216.92–285.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Dec 18 | 74 | 251.41 | ±13.6% | 217.31–285.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Dec 18 | 77 | 240.39 | ±13.5% | 207.89–272.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Dec 18 | 78 | 235.98 | ±13.7% | 203.68–268.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Dec 18 | 86 | 246.00 | ±14.7% | 209.90–282.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Dec 18 | 87 | 243.16 | ±14.6% | 207.56–278.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Dec 18 | 88 | 249.02 | ±14.5% | 212.87–285.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Dec 18 | 91 | 248.66 | ±14.7% | 212.11–285.21 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.5% | +0.0% | dentro | 256.29 → 256.29 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | -0.3% | dentro | 257.11 → 256.29 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +1.0% | dentro | 253.80 → 256.29 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +2.4% | dentro | 250.33 → 256.29 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +4.5% | dentro | 245.23 → 256.29 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +4.0% | dentro | 246.44 → 256.29 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +2.1% | dentro | 250.97 → 256.29 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +1.9% | dentro | 251.41 → 256.29 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +6.6% | fuera | 240.39 → 256.29 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | +8.6% | fuera | 235.98 → 256.29 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | +4.2% | dentro | 246.00 → 256.29 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | +5.4% | dentro | 243.16 → 256.29 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +2.9% | dentro | 249.02 → 256.29 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | +3.1% | dentro | 248.66 → 256.29 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | -1.7% | dentro | 260.68 → 256.29 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.6% | -1.0% | dentro | 258.82 → 256.29 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -0.4% | dentro | 257.35 → 256.29 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | -1.2% | dentro | 259.43 → 256.29 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | +0.3% | dentro | 255.46 → 256.29 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | +1.0% | dentro | 253.66 → 256.29 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -0.7% | dentro | 258.21 → 256.29 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +0.0% | dentro | 256.22 → 256.29 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -1.8% | dentro | 261.07 → 256.29 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -1.6% | dentro | 260.35 → 256.29 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -2.9% | dentro | 263.97 → 256.29 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | -2.4% | dentro | 262.52 → 256.29 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | +1.8% | dentro | 251.74 → 256.29 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | -1.4% | dentro | 260.00 → 256.29 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±0.8% | -0.1% | dentro | 248.66 → 248.38 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | -4.7% | fuera | 260.68 → 248.38 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.0% | -4.0% | fuera | 258.82 → 248.38 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.5% | -3.5% | dentro | 257.35 → 248.38 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -4.3% | fuera | 259.43 → 248.38 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -2.8% | dentro | 255.46 → 248.38 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -2.1% | dentro | 253.66 → 248.38 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.9% | -3.8% | dentro | 258.21 → 248.38 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.6% | -3.1% | dentro | 256.22 → 248.38 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.6% | -4.9% | dentro | 261.07 → 248.38 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.6% | -4.6% | dentro | 260.35 → 248.38 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.9% | -5.9% | fuera | 263.97 → 248.38 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.5% | -5.4% | dentro | 262.52 → 248.38 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.9% | -1.3% | dentro | 251.74 → 248.38 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.2% | -4.5% | dentro | 260.00 → 248.38 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.