NKE 预期波动历史 NIKE, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内68%
|实际值| 低于预期值68%
平均预期波动幅度±6.9%
平均|实际|波动幅度4.9%
平均绝对误差3.2pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 37.33 | ±3.2% | 36.13–38.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 37.27 | ±3.9% | 35.82–38.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 35.14 | ±4.3% | 33.63–36.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 35.39 | ±4.5% | 33.78–36.99 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 34.68 | ±5.1% | 32.92–36.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 34.70 | ±5.6% | 32.77–36.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 34.32 | ±5.3% | 32.48–36.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 34.54 | ±5.8% | 32.52–36.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 33.93 | ±6.1% | 31.85–36.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 33.83 | ±6.3% | 31.70–35.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 33.06 | ±12.4% | 28.98–37.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 36.20 | ±10.6% | 32.36–40.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 36.19 | ±10.6% | 32.35–40.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 36.11 | ±10.7% | 32.26–39.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 35.54 | ±11.1% | 31.58–39.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 36.44 | ±11.6% | 32.22–40.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 35.91 | ±11.0% | 31.97–39.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 36.22 | ±11.6% | 32.03–40.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 37.09 | ±11.4% | 32.85–41.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 36.82 | ±11.5% | 32.58–41.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 36.61 | ±12.4% | 32.06–41.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 37.31 | ±12.0% | 32.84–41.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 38.03 | ±12.2% | 33.41–42.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 38.42 | ±12.6% | 33.57–43.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 38.41 | ±12.6% | 33.56–43.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 38.52 | ±12.5% | 33.71–43.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 37.33 | ±5.0% | 35.47–39.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 37.27 | ±5.5% | 35.20–39.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 35.14 | ±5.7% | 33.14–37.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 35.39 | ±5.9% | 33.30–37.48 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.0% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 37.27 → 37.13 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +5.7% | 区间外 | 35.14 → 37.13 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +4.9% | 区间外 | 35.39 → 37.13 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | +7.1% | 区间外 | 34.68 → 37.13 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +7.0% | 区间外 | 34.70 → 37.13 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +8.2% | 区间外 | 34.32 → 37.13 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +7.5% | 区间外 | 34.54 → 37.13 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | +9.4% | 区间外 | 33.93 → 37.13 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +9.7% | 区间外 | 33.83 → 37.13 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.9% | +12.3% | 区间内 | 33.06 → 37.13 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | +2.6% | 区间内 | 36.20 → 37.13 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | +2.6% | 区间内 | 36.19 → 37.13 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | +2.8% | 区间内 | 36.11 → 37.13 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | +4.5% | 区间内 | 35.54 → 37.13 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.0% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 36.44 → 37.13 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.8% | +3.4% | 区间内 | 35.91 → 37.13 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | +2.5% | 区间内 | 36.22 → 37.13 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 37.09 → 37.13 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.2% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 36.82 → 37.13 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.9% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 36.61 → 37.13 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 37.31 → 37.13 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 38.03 → 37.13 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 38.42 → 37.13 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 38.41 → 37.13 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.1% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 38.52 → 37.13 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.9% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 38.26 → 37.13 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.8% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 38.16 → 37.13 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.3% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 39.17 → 37.13 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 34.68 → 34.71 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 34.70 → 34.71 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 34.32 → 34.71 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 34.54 → 34.71 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | +2.3% | 区间内 | 33.93 → 34.71 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | +2.6% | 区间内 | 33.83 → 34.71 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.2% | +5.0% | 区间内 | 33.06 → 34.71 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.3% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 36.20 → 34.71 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.3% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 36.19 → 34.71 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 36.11 → 34.71 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 35.54 → 34.71 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | -4.7% | 区间内 | 36.44 → 34.71 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 35.91 → 34.71 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | -4.2% | 区间内 | 36.22 → 34.71 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | -6.4% | 区间内 | 37.09 → 34.71 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | -5.7% | 区间内 | 36.82 → 34.71 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 36.61 → 34.71 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.1% | -7.0% | 区间内 | 37.31 → 34.71 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | -8.7% | 区间内 | 38.03 → 34.71 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.5% | -9.7% | 区间内 | 38.42 → 34.71 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.5% | -9.6% | 区间内 | 38.41 → 34.71 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.1% | -9.9% | 区间内 | 38.52 → 34.71 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.1% | -9.3% | 区间内 | 38.26 → 34.71 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | -9.0% | 区间内 | 38.16 → 34.71 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.3% | -11.4% | 区间外 | 39.17 → 34.71 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.4% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 33.83 → 33.87 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.5% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 33.06 → 33.87 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.5% | -6.4% | 区间内 | 36.20 → 33.87 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.5% | -6.4% | 区间内 | 36.19 → 33.87 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | -6.2% | 区间内 | 36.11 → 33.87 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.9% | -4.7% | 区间内 | 35.54 → 33.87 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.1% | -7.1% | 区间内 | 36.44 → 33.87 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.