NFLX 予想変動幅の履歴 Netflix, Inc.
毎取引日の引け後、結果が判明する前の各満期日について、オプション市場が織り込んでいた価格を記録します。満期日が経過すると、実際の結果が当初の推定値の横に記録されます。推定値は事後に修正されることはありません。 これらの統計の見方 · 記録開始： Aug 31, 2026
比較解決済み121
レンジ内で引ける31%
|実績値| が予想値を下回る31%
平均予想変動幅±5.1%
平均｜実績｜変動幅7.3%
平均絶対誤差3.2pt
インプライドと実現の比較、限月別
各満期日について、琥珀色の枠線は満期日直前に記録されたインプライド・ムーブ、塗りつぶされたバーは株価の実際の動きを示します。符号付きの値がバーの下に表示されます。
予想値（記録済み）実績
現在記録中（結果待ち）
| スナップショット | 満期日 | DTE | 当時のスポット価格 | インプライド・ムーブ | レンジ | 手法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 69.75 | ±9.9% | 62.83–76.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 70.49 | ±9.4% | 63.86–77.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 70.59 | ±9.1% | 64.14–77.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 70.36 | ±8.4% | 64.43–76.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 70.30 | ±8.5% | 64.34–76.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 71.62 | ±8.9% | 65.22–78.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 69.66 | ±8.9% | 63.44–75.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 68.89 | ±9.0% | 62.66–75.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 67.49 | ±9.2% | 61.27–73.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 67.12 | ±9.3% | 60.85–73.39 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 67.96 | ±9.5% | 61.51–74.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 72.27 | ±10.2% | 64.92–79.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 72.20 | ±10.2% | 64.85–79.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 73.43 | ±10.3% | 65.83–81.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 72.03 | ±10.5% | 64.48–79.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 75.51 | ±10.8% | 67.33–83.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 76.57 | ±11.1% | 68.09–85.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 77.91 | ±11.3% | 69.11–86.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 80.13 | ±11.2% | 71.18–89.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 77.31 | ±11.2% | 68.66–85.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 76.04 | ±11.3% | 67.44–84.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 76.20 | ±11.6% | 67.33–85.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 76.70 | ±11.9% | 67.55–85.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 78.32 | ±11.9% | 68.97–87.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 78.33 | ±11.9% | 68.98–87.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 82.36 | ±11.7% | 72.71–92.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 69.75 | ±10.5% | 62.40–77.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 70.49 | ±10.1% | 63.37–77.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 70.59 | ±9.8% | 63.66–77.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 70.36 | ±9.2% | 63.91–76.81 | em-1.0 |
確定済みスナップショット
| スナップショット | 満期済み | 予想 | 実績値 | レンジ内？ | スポット → 終値 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.8% | +0.1% | レンジ内 | 70.49 → 70.53 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.2% | -0.1% | レンジ内 | 70.59 → 70.53 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +0.2% | レンジ内 | 70.36 → 70.53 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +0.3% | レンジ内 | 70.30 → 70.53 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -1.5% | レンジ内 | 71.62 → 70.53 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | +1.2% | レンジ内 | 69.66 → 70.53 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +2.4% | レンジ内 | 68.89 → 70.53 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +4.5% | レンジ外 | 67.49 → 70.53 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | +5.1% | レンジ外 | 67.12 → 70.53 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +3.8% | レンジ内 | 67.96 → 70.53 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -2.4% | レンジ内 | 72.27 → 70.53 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -2.3% | レンジ内 | 72.20 → 70.53 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -4.0% | レンジ内 | 73.43 → 70.53 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | -2.1% | レンジ内 | 72.03 → 70.53 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -6.6% | レンジ内 | 75.51 → 70.53 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -7.9% | レンジ外 | 76.57 → 70.53 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -9.5% | レンジ外 | 77.91 → 70.53 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | -12.0% | レンジ外 | 80.13 → 70.53 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | -8.8% | レンジ外 | 77.31 → 70.53 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.8% | -7.2% | レンジ内 | 76.04 → 70.53 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | -7.4% | レンジ内 | 76.20 → 70.53 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.3% | -8.0% | レンジ内 | 76.70 → 70.53 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -10.0% | レンジ外 | 78.32 → 70.53 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -10.0% | レンジ外 | 78.33 → 70.53 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -14.4% | レンジ外 | 82.36 → 70.53 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -14.3% | レンジ外 | 82.26 → 70.53 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | -12.4% | レンジ外 | 80.47 → 70.53 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.9% | -12.9% | レンジ外 | 81.00 → 70.53 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | +0.0% | レンジ内 | 70.30 → 70.30 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | -1.8% | レンジ外 | 71.62 → 70.30 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +0.9% | レンジ内 | 69.66 → 70.30 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +2.0% | レンジ内 | 68.89 → 70.30 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +4.2% | レンジ外 | 67.49 → 70.30 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +4.7% | レンジ外 | 67.12 → 70.30 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +3.4% | レンジ内 | 67.96 → 70.30 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -2.7% | レンジ内 | 72.27 → 70.30 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -2.6% | レンジ内 | 72.20 → 70.30 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -4.3% | レンジ内 | 73.43 → 70.30 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -2.4% | レンジ内 | 72.03 → 70.30 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -6.9% | レンジ外 | 75.51 → 70.30 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -8.2% | レンジ外 | 76.57 → 70.30 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -9.8% | レンジ外 | 77.91 → 70.30 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -12.3% | レンジ外 | 80.13 → 70.30 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -9.1% | レンジ外 | 77.31 → 70.30 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -7.5% | レンジ外 | 76.04 → 70.30 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | -7.7% | レンジ外 | 76.20 → 70.30 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -8.3% | レンジ外 | 76.70 → 70.30 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -10.2% | レンジ外 | 78.32 → 70.30 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -10.3% | レンジ外 | 78.33 → 70.30 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | -14.6% | レンジ外 | 82.36 → 70.30 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -14.5% | レンジ外 | 82.26 → 70.30 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.5% | -12.6% | レンジ外 | 80.47 → 70.30 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -13.2% | レンジ外 | 81.00 → 70.30 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.2% | -0.1% | レンジ内 | 67.12 → 67.06 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.4% | -1.3% | レンジ内 | 67.96 → 67.06 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -7.2% | レンジ外 | 72.27 → 67.06 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -7.1% | レンジ外 | 72.20 → 67.06 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -8.7% | レンジ外 | 73.43 → 67.06 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -6.9% | レンジ外 | 72.03 → 67.06 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -11.2% | レンジ外 | 75.51 → 67.06 |
結果は満期日の終値と記録されたレンジを比較したものです。手法バージョンが異なる場合は行ごとに表示されます。現在のバージョン： em-1.0.