NET geschiedenis verwachte beweging Cloudflare, Inc.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost121
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte49%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht49%
Gem. verwachte beweging±8.8%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging10.1%
Gem. abs. fout5.6pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 297.58 | ±6.0% | 279.68–315.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 296.16 | ±7.3% | 274.69–317.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 323.42 | ±7.1% | 300.50–346.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 349.47 | ±6.9% | 325.30–373.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 360.62 | ±7.7% | 332.97–388.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 341.51 | ±8.1% | 313.96–369.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 342.14 | ±8.4% | 313.44–370.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 355.81 | ±8.9% | 324.21–387.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 359.49 | ±9.3% | 325.89–393.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 348.00 | ±10.2% | 312.40–383.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 351.66 | ±10.9% | 313.33–389.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 353.60 | ±13.1% | 307.30–399.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 354.57 | ±13.4% | 307.00–402.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 351.50 | ±14.1% | 302.10–400.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 322.67 | ±13.5% | 279.01–366.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 333.29 | ±13.7% | 287.59–378.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 324.43 | ±14.3% | 278.15–370.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 327.30 | ±14.7% | 279.15–375.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 329.99 | ±15.1% | 280.31–379.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 305.23 | ±14.7% | 260.33–350.13 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 311.93 | ±15.3% | 264.30–359.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 314.00 | ±16.2% | 263.18–364.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 284.36 | ±15.9% | 239.09–329.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 278.92 | ±15.6% | 235.54–322.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 283.47 | ±15.9% | 238.52–328.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 282.38 | ±16.1% | 236.78–327.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 297.58 | ±8.9% | 271.13–324.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 296.16 | ±10.0% | 266.44–325.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 323.42 | ±9.6% | 292.42–354.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 349.47 | ±9.1% | 317.72–381.22 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.6% | +0.0% | binnen | 296.16 → 296.30 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | -8.4% | buiten | 323.42 → 296.30 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -15.2% | buiten | 349.47 → 296.30 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | -17.8% | buiten | 360.62 → 296.30 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -13.2% | buiten | 341.51 → 296.30 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -13.4% | buiten | 342.14 → 296.30 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -16.7% | buiten | 355.81 → 296.30 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -17.6% | buiten | 359.49 → 296.30 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | -14.9% | buiten | 348.00 → 296.30 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | -15.7% | buiten | 351.66 → 296.30 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | -16.2% | buiten | 353.60 → 296.30 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.9% | -16.4% | buiten | 354.57 → 296.30 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.7% | -15.7% | buiten | 351.50 → 296.30 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.8% | -8.2% | binnen | 322.67 → 296.30 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | -11.1% | binnen | 333.29 → 296.30 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.8% | -8.7% | binnen | 324.43 → 296.30 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.3% | -9.5% | binnen | 327.30 → 296.30 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.6% | -10.2% | binnen | 329.99 → 296.30 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.5% | -2.9% | binnen | 305.23 → 296.30 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.0% | -5.0% | binnen | 311.93 → 296.30 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.1% | -5.6% | binnen | 314.00 → 296.30 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.7% | +4.2% | binnen | 284.36 → 296.30 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | +6.2% | binnen | 278.92 → 296.30 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | +4.5% | binnen | 283.47 → 296.30 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.8% | +4.9% | binnen | 282.38 → 296.30 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.4% | +5.3% | binnen | 281.36 → 296.30 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.5% | +3.6% | binnen | 286.00 → 296.30 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.3% | -3.2% | binnen | 306.01 → 296.30 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | +0.1% | binnen | 360.62 → 360.93 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | +5.7% | buiten | 341.51 → 360.93 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | +5.5% | buiten | 342.14 → 360.93 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | +1.4% | binnen | 355.81 → 360.93 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | +0.4% | binnen | 359.49 → 360.93 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +3.7% | binnen | 348.00 → 360.93 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | +2.6% | binnen | 351.66 → 360.93 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | +2.1% | binnen | 353.60 → 360.93 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | +1.8% | binnen | 354.57 → 360.93 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +2.7% | binnen | 351.50 → 360.93 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +11.9% | buiten | 322.67 → 360.93 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +8.3% | binnen | 333.29 → 360.93 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.1% | +11.3% | buiten | 324.43 → 360.93 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | +10.3% | binnen | 327.30 → 360.93 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.1% | +9.4% | binnen | 329.99 → 360.93 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | +18.2% | buiten | 305.23 → 360.93 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.5% | +15.7% | buiten | 311.93 → 360.93 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.4% | +14.9% | buiten | 314.00 → 360.93 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.1% | +26.9% | buiten | 284.36 → 360.93 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.0% | +29.4% | buiten | 278.92 → 360.93 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.4% | +27.3% | buiten | 283.47 → 360.93 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.9% | +27.8% | buiten | 282.38 → 360.93 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.2% | +28.3% | buiten | 281.36 → 360.93 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.0% | +26.2% | buiten | 286.00 → 360.93 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.1% | +17.9% | buiten | 306.01 → 360.93 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.6% | +0.3% | binnen | 348.00 → 349.07 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.6% | -0.7% | binnen | 351.66 → 349.07 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | -1.3% | binnen | 353.60 → 349.07 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.9% | -1.6% | binnen | 354.57 → 349.07 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.5% | -0.7% | binnen | 351.50 → 349.07 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.5% | +8.2% | binnen | 322.67 → 349.07 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.7% | +4.7% | binnen | 333.29 → 349.07 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.