NEE 预期波动历史 NextEra Energy, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后,我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后,实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内45%
|实际值| 低于预期值45%
平均预期波动幅度±3.3%
平均|实际|波动幅度3.9%
平均绝对误差1.8pt
隐含与已实现波动率,按到期日
每个到期日:琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅;实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期(已记录)实际
已记录(等待结果)
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 78.17 | ±3.6% | 75.33–81.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 79.90 | ±4.0% | 76.73–83.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 78.33 | ±4.2% | 75.05–81.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 78.20 | ±4.3% | 74.80–81.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 77.40 | ±4.1% | 74.22–80.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 77.29 | ±4.3% | 73.99–80.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 76.78 | ±4.4% | 73.41–80.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 78.00 | ±4.2% | 74.73–81.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 76.11 | ±4.4% | 72.78–79.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 76.99 | ±5.0% | 73.17–80.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 76.30 | ±4.7% | 72.75–79.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 79.32 | ±4.9% | 75.46–83.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 79.41 | ±4.9% | 75.55–83.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 79.72 | ±5.2% | 75.58–83.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 80.52 | ±5.4% | 76.17–84.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 80.77 | ±5.4% | 76.43–85.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 80.49 | ±5.3% | 76.19–84.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 81.34 | ±5.6% | 76.77–85.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 81.75 | ±5.8% | 76.97–86.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 82.41 | ±5.5% | 77.84–86.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 82.54 | ±6.3% | 77.31–87.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 83.00 | ±6.4% | 77.70–88.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 84.02 | ±6.4% | 78.68–89.37 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 83.00 | ±6.5% | 77.59–88.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 83.28 | ±6.5% | 77.87–88.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 84.40 | ±5.5% | 79.80–89.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 78.17 | ±4.7% | 74.47–81.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 79.90 | ±5.0% | 75.89–83.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 78.33 | ±4.9% | 74.46–82.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 78.20 | ±5.0% | 74.26–82.14 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内? | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.3% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 79.90 → 79.80 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.6% | +1.9% | 区间外 | 78.33 → 79.80 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +2.0% | 区间外 | 78.20 → 79.80 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.2% | +3.1% | 区间外 | 77.40 → 79.80 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +3.2% | 区间外 | 77.29 → 79.80 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +3.9% | 区间外 | 76.78 → 79.80 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +2.3% | 区间内 | 78.00 → 79.80 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +4.8% | 区间外 | 76.11 → 79.80 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | +3.6% | 区间外 | 76.99 → 79.80 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +4.6% | 区间外 | 76.30 → 79.80 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 79.32 → 79.80 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 79.41 → 79.80 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 79.72 → 79.80 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 80.52 → 79.80 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 80.77 → 79.80 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 80.49 → 79.80 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -1.9% | 区间内 | 81.34 → 79.80 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 81.75 → 79.80 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 82.41 → 79.80 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 82.54 → 79.80 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 83.00 → 79.80 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -5.0% | 区间内 | 84.02 → 79.80 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 83.00 → 79.80 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -4.2% | 区间内 | 83.28 → 79.80 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | -5.5% | 区间内 | 84.40 → 79.80 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 82.96 → 79.80 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -3.7% | 区间内 | 82.85 → 79.80 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 82.76 → 79.80 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 77.40 → 77.38 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 77.29 → 77.38 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 76.78 → 77.38 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 78.00 → 77.38 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 76.11 → 77.38 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 76.99 → 77.38 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 76.30 → 77.38 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 79.32 → 77.38 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 79.41 → 77.38 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | -2.9% | 区间内 | 79.72 → 77.38 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -3.9% | 区间外 | 80.52 → 77.38 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -4.2% | 区间外 | 80.77 → 77.38 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 80.49 → 77.38 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | -4.9% | 区间外 | 81.34 → 77.38 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -5.3% | 区间外 | 81.75 → 77.38 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -6.1% | 区间外 | 82.41 → 77.38 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | -6.3% | 区间外 | 82.54 → 77.38 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -6.8% | 区间外 | 83.00 → 77.38 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -7.9% | 区间外 | 84.02 → 77.38 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -6.8% | 区间外 | 83.00 → 77.38 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -7.1% | 区间外 | 83.28 → 77.38 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 84.40 → 77.38 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -6.7% | 区间外 | 82.96 → 77.38 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -6.6% | 区间外 | 82.85 → 77.38 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 82.76 → 77.38 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.4% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 76.99 → 76.83 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 76.30 → 76.83 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.7% | -3.1% | 区间外 | 79.32 → 76.83 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.7% | -3.2% | 区间外 | 79.41 → 76.83 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.6% | -3.6% | 区间外 | 79.72 → 76.83 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -4.6% | 区间外 | 80.52 → 76.83 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -4.9% | 区间外 | 80.77 → 76.83 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本(与当前版本不同时);当前版本: em-1.0.