MU 预期波动历史 Micron Technology, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项1
收盘价处于区间内100%
|实际值| 低于预期值100%
平均预期波动幅度±0.5%
平均|实际|波动幅度0.1%
平均绝对误差0.4pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 02 | Sep 02 | 0 | 956.24 | ±0.4% | 952.62–959.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 02 | 1 | 931.00 | ±2.3% | 909.23–952.77 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 02 | 2 | 957.59 | ±3.0% | 928.76–986.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 04 | 2 | 956.24 | ±3.2% | 925.49–986.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 04 | 3 | 931.00 | ±4.2% | 891.90–970.10 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 04 | 4 | 957.59 | ±4.6% | 913.89–1,001.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 09 | 7 | 956.24 | ±4.9% | 909.14–1,003.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 09 | 8 | 931.00 | ±5.7% | 877.55–984.45 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 09 | 9 | 957.59 | ±6.1% | 899.31–1,015.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 11 | 9 | 956.24 | ±6.3% | 896.41–1,016.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 11 | 10 | 931.00 | ±6.9% | 866.67–995.33 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 11 | 11 | 957.59 | ±7.1% | 889.39–1,025.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 14 | 12 | 956.24 | ±6.8% | 891.09–1,021.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 14 | 13 | 931.00 | ±7.5% | 861.33–1,000.67 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 14 | 14 | 957.59 | ±7.7% | 883.94–1,031.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 16 | 14 | 956.24 | ±7.8% | 881.62–1,030.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 16 | 15 | 931.00 | ±8.4% | 852.90–1,009.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 18 | 16 | 956.24 | ±8.6% | 873.64–1,038.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 18 | 17 | 931.00 | ±9.3% | 844.65–1,017.35 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 18 | 18 | 957.59 | ±9.2% | 869.31–1,045.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 25 | 23 | 956.24 | ±10.5% | 856.09–1,056.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 25 | 24 | 931.00 | ±11.2% | 827.05–1,034.95 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 25 | 25 | 957.59 | ±11.0% | 851.79–1,063.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 02 | 30 | 956.24 | ±13.7% | 825.44–1,087.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 02 | 31 | 931.00 | ±14.3% | 798.05–1,063.95 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 02 | 32 | 957.59 | ±14.4% | 819.91–1,095.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 09 | 37 | 956.24 | ±15.0% | 812.91–1,099.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 09 | 38 | 931.00 | ±15.6% | 785.58–1,076.42 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 09 | 39 | 957.59 | ±15.8% | 806.46–1,108.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 956.24 | ±16.5% | 798.91–1,113.57 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 31 | ±0.5% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 957.59 → 958.73 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.