MU historial de movimiento esperado Micron Technology, Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas200
Cierre dentro del rango61%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado61%
Movimiento esperado promedio±7.7%
Movimiento |real| promedio6.9%
Error medio abs.4.4pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 19 | 0 | 906.19 | ±0.2% | 904.10–908.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 19 | 3 | 878.60 | ±3.4% | 848.95–908.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 19 | 5 | 905.11 | ±5.1% | 858.81–951.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 19 | 6 | 956.46 | ±5.0% | 908.93–1,003.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 19 | 10 | 1,028.21 | ±5.1% | 975.73–1,080.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 19 | 11 | 1,037.14 | ±6.3% | 972.14–1,102.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 19 | 12 | 1,088.88 | ±6.3% | 1,020.03–1,157.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 19 | 13 | 1,046.72 | ±6.1% | 982.72–1,110.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 19 | 14 | 1,062.94 | ±6.3% | 995.89–1,129.99 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 21 | 2 | 906.19 | ±3.4% | 875.54–936.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 21 | 5 | 878.60 | ±5.2% | 832.70–924.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 21 | 7 | 905.11 | ±6.1% | 850.09–960.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 21 | 8 | 956.46 | ±5.9% | 900.16–1,012.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 21 | 12 | 1,028.21 | ±6.0% | 966.78–1,089.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 21 | 13 | 1,037.14 | ±6.9% | 966.07–1,108.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 21 | 14 | 1,088.88 | ±6.9% | 1,013.75–1,164.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 21 | 15 | 1,046.72 | ±6.6% | 977.75–1,115.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 906.19 | ±4.8% | 862.79–949.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 878.60 | ±6.3% | 823.05–934.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 905.11 | ±6.9% | 842.43–967.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 956.46 | ±6.5% | 894.06–1,018.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 1,028.21 | ±6.7% | 959.61–1,096.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 1,037.14 | ±7.5% | 959.76–1,114.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 1,088.88 | ±7.6% | 1,005.83–1,171.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 1,046.72 | ±7.6% | 967.64–1,125.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 1,062.94 | ±7.8% | 980.34–1,145.54 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 1,072.58 | ±9.1% | 975.28–1,169.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 1,088.90 | ±10.4% | 976.08–1,201.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 1,097.72 | ±14.9% | 934.12–1,261.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 1,092.32 | ±14.9% | 929.89–1,254.74 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.4% | +0.0% | dentro | 878.60 → 878.84 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -2.9% | dentro | 905.11 → 878.84 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -8.1% | fuera | 956.46 → 878.84 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | -14.5% | fuera | 1,028.21 → 878.84 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -15.3% | fuera | 1,037.14 → 878.84 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -19.3% | fuera | 1,088.88 → 878.84 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -16.0% | fuera | 1,046.72 → 878.84 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -17.3% | fuera | 1,062.94 → 878.84 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -18.1% | fuera | 1,072.58 → 878.84 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | -19.3% | fuera | 1,088.90 → 878.84 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.5% | -19.9% | fuera | 1,097.72 → 878.84 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.5% | -19.5% | fuera | 1,092.32 → 878.84 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.2% | -15.7% | fuera | 1,042.56 → 878.84 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.9% | -13.4% | fuera | 1,015.00 → 878.84 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.4% | -10.5% | dentro | 981.80 → 878.84 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.5% | -5.5% | dentro | 930.00 → 878.84 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.7% | -5.2% | dentro | 926.58 → 878.84 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.8% | -5.2% | dentro | 926.66 → 878.84 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | -9.8% | dentro | 974.60 → 878.84 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.0% | -10.1% | dentro | 977.88 → 878.84 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.5% | -14.3% | dentro | 1,025.80 → 878.84 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.2% | -12.6% | dentro | 1,005.15 → 878.84 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.5% | -13.4% | dentro | 1,014.91 → 878.84 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.6% | -13.5% | dentro | 1,015.63 → 878.84 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.6% | -8.0% | dentro | 954.89 → 878.84 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.5% | -8.1% | dentro | 956.24 → 878.84 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.0% | -5.6% | dentro | 931.00 → 878.84 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.0% | -8.2% | dentro | 957.59 → 878.84 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±1.0% | +1.0% | dentro | 905.11 → 914.13 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±2.6% | -4.4% | fuera | 956.46 → 914.13 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±3.7% | -11.1% | fuera | 1,028.21 → 914.13 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±4.7% | -11.9% | fuera | 1,037.14 → 914.13 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±5.0% | -16.0% | fuera | 1,088.88 → 914.13 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±5.0% | -12.7% | fuera | 1,046.72 → 914.13 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±5.4% | -14.0% | fuera | 1,062.94 → 914.13 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±6.5% | -14.8% | fuera | 1,072.58 → 914.13 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±7.7% | -16.1% | fuera | 1,088.90 → 914.13 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±2.1% | -3.8% | fuera | 1,028.21 → 989.04 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±3.4% | -4.6% | fuera | 1,037.14 → 989.04 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±3.9% | -9.2% | fuera | 1,088.88 → 989.04 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±4.1% | -5.5% | fuera | 1,046.72 → 989.04 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±4.4% | -7.0% | fuera | 1,062.94 → 989.04 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±5.5% | -7.8% | fuera | 1,072.58 → 989.04 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±6.9% | -9.2% | fuera | 1,088.90 → 989.04 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.2% | +0.1% | dentro | 1,028.21 → 1,029.00 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | -0.8% | dentro | 1,037.14 → 1,029.00 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -5.5% | fuera | 1,088.88 → 1,029.00 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | -1.7% | dentro | 1,046.72 → 1,029.00 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -3.2% | dentro | 1,062.94 → 1,029.00 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -4.1% | dentro | 1,072.58 → 1,029.00 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -5.5% | dentro | 1,088.90 → 1,029.00 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | -6.3% | dentro | 1,097.72 → 1,029.00 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.1% | -5.8% | dentro | 1,092.32 → 1,029.00 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.7% | -1.3% | dentro | 1,042.56 → 1,029.00 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.6% | +1.4% | dentro | 1,015.00 → 1,029.00 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.0% | +4.8% | dentro | 981.80 → 1,029.00 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.1% | +10.6% | dentro | 930.00 → 1,029.00 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.2% | +11.1% | dentro | 926.58 → 1,029.00 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.4% | +11.0% | dentro | 926.66 → 1,029.00 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.2% | +5.6% | dentro | 974.60 → 1,029.00 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.