MS 预期波动历史 Morgan Stanley
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
暂无已结算的到期数据——首次快照记录于 Aug 31, 2026. 随着到期日陆续过去，结果将在此处显示；所有数据均不进行回填或模拟。
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 03 | Sep 04 | 1 | 211.74 | ±1.9% | 207.65–215.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 04 | 2 | 211.47 | ±2.0% | 207.22–215.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 04 | 3 | 211.12 | ±2.3% | 206.18–216.06 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 04 | 4 | 213.66 | ±2.5% | 208.28–219.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 11 | 8 | 211.74 | ±3.5% | 204.26–219.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 11 | 9 | 211.47 | ±3.5% | 204.07–218.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 11 | 10 | 211.12 | ±3.8% | 203.01–219.22 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 11 | 11 | 213.66 | ±3.6% | 205.89–221.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 18 | 15 | 211.74 | ±4.8% | 201.49–221.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 18 | 16 | 211.47 | ±4.8% | 201.25–221.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 18 | 17 | 211.12 | ±4.9% | 200.79–221.44 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 18 | 18 | 213.66 | ±4.7% | 203.54–223.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 25 | 22 | 211.74 | ±5.8% | 199.39–224.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 25 | 23 | 211.47 | ±5.9% | 198.97–223.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 25 | 24 | 211.12 | ±5.9% | 198.65–223.59 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 25 | 25 | 213.66 | ±5.7% | 201.54–225.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 02 | 29 | 211.74 | ±6.7% | 197.49–225.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 02 | 30 | 211.47 | ±6.6% | 197.54–225.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 02 | 31 | 211.12 | ±6.5% | 197.37–224.87 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 02 | 32 | 213.66 | ±6.6% | 199.56–227.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 09 | 36 | 211.74 | ±7.3% | 196.31–227.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 09 | 37 | 211.47 | ±7.2% | 196.15–226.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 09 | 38 | 211.12 | ±7.1% | 196.09–226.15 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 09 | 39 | 213.66 | ±7.2% | 198.31–229.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 211.74 | ±8.8% | 193.01–230.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 211.47 | ±8.7% | 193.02–229.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 211.12 | ±8.7% | 192.72–229.52 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 213.66 | ±8.9% | 194.66–232.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Nov 20 | 78 | 211.74 | ±11.5% | 187.44–236.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Nov 20 | 79 | 211.47 | ±11.6% | 187.02–235.92 | em-1.0 |