MS historial de movimiento esperado Morgan Stanley
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Aún no ha vencido ningún período — las primeras instantáneas se registraron el Aug 31, 2026. Los resultados aparecen aquí a medida que vencen las expiraciones; nada se rellena retroactivamente ni se simula.
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 02 | Sep 04 | 2 | 211.47 | ±2.0% | 207.22–215.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 04 | 3 | 211.12 | ±2.3% | 206.18–216.06 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 04 | 4 | 213.66 | ±2.5% | 208.28–219.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 11 | 9 | 211.47 | ±3.5% | 204.07–218.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 11 | 10 | 211.12 | ±3.8% | 203.01–219.22 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 11 | 11 | 213.66 | ±3.6% | 205.89–221.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 18 | 16 | 211.47 | ±4.8% | 201.25–221.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 18 | 17 | 211.12 | ±4.9% | 200.79–221.44 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 18 | 18 | 213.66 | ±4.7% | 203.54–223.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 25 | 23 | 211.47 | ±5.9% | 198.97–223.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 25 | 24 | 211.12 | ±5.9% | 198.65–223.59 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 25 | 25 | 213.66 | ±5.7% | 201.54–225.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 02 | 30 | 211.47 | ±6.6% | 197.54–225.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 02 | 31 | 211.12 | ±6.5% | 197.37–224.87 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 02 | 32 | 213.66 | ±6.6% | 199.56–227.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 09 | 37 | 211.47 | ±7.2% | 196.15–226.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 09 | 38 | 211.12 | ±7.1% | 196.09–226.15 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 09 | 39 | 213.66 | ±7.2% | 198.31–229.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 211.47 | ±8.7% | 193.02–229.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 211.12 | ±8.7% | 192.72–229.52 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 213.66 | ±8.9% | 194.66–232.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Nov 20 | 79 | 211.47 | ±11.6% | 187.02–235.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Nov 20 | 80 | 211.12 | ±11.4% | 187.00–235.25 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Nov 20 | 81 | 213.66 | ±11.5% | 189.01–238.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Dec 18 | 107 | 211.47 | ±13.2% | 183.62–239.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Dec 18 | 108 | 211.12 | ±13.2% | 183.19–239.04 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Dec 18 | 109 | 213.66 | ±13.1% | 185.66–241.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Jan 15 | 135 | 211.47 | ±14.8% | 180.12–242.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Jan 15 | 136 | 211.12 | ±14.8% | 179.94–242.29 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Jan 15 | 137 | 213.66 | ±15.0% | 181.62–245.72 | em-1.0 |