MRNA 예상 변동 히스토리 Moderna, Inc.
매 거래일 장 마감 후, 결과가 알려지기 전의 만기별 옵션 시장 가격을 기록합니다. 만기가 도래하면 원래 추정치 옆에 실제 결과를 기록합니다. 추정치는 사후에 절대 수정되지 않습니다. 이 통계 읽는 방법 · 기록 시작일 Aug 31, 2026
비교 완료93
범위 내 마감31%
|실제값|이 예상치 미만31%
평균 예상 변동폭±10.8%
평균 |실제| 변동폭23.7%
평균 절대 오차15.4pt
만기별 내재 변동성 vs 실현 변동성
각 만기에 대해: 황색 테두리는 만기에 가장 가깝게 기록된 예상 변동폭이며, 실선 막대는 주가의 실제 변동폭입니다. 부호가 있는 값이 막대 아래에 표시됩니다.
예상치 (기록됨)실제
현재 기록 중 (결과 대기)
| 스냅샷 | 만기 | DTE | 당시 현물가 | 예상 변동폭 | 범위 | 방법 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 217.70 | ±0.9% | 215.72–219.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 224.64 | ±6.0% | 211.21–238.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 215.00 | ±6.9% | 200.22–229.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 224.75 | ±10.2% | 201.80–247.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 196.00 | ±9.9% | 176.53–215.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 195.64 | ±10.1% | 175.81–215.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 188.27 | ±10.8% | 167.87–208.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 203.00 | ±10.9% | 180.82–225.18 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 189.58 | ±11.8% | 167.26–211.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 190.00 | ±12.2% | 166.80–213.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 182.33 | ±15.4% | 154.21–210.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 182.49 | ±15.4% | 154.37–210.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 172.70 | ±15.8% | 145.47–199.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 154.10 | ±14.4% | 131.90–176.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 157.92 | ±17.0% | 131.07–184.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 145.62 | ±16.2% | 122.02–169.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 143.75 | ±16.6% | 119.88–167.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 146.11 | ±17.1% | 121.11–171.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 144.50 | ±17.0% | 119.90–169.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 135.90 | ±16.7% | 113.20–158.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 135.96 | ±17.4% | 112.23–159.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 140.93 | ±18.5% | 114.83–167.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 145.00 | ±19.9% | 116.20–173.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 145.00 | ±19.9% | 116.20–173.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 147.40 | ±20.8% | 116.70–178.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 150.30 | ±21.8% | 117.55–183.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 151.86 | ±22.2% | 118.16–185.56 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 138.80 | ±21.3% | 109.25–168.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 217.70 | ±10.2% | 195.40–240.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 224.64 | ±11.3% | 199.29–249.99 | em-1.0 |
확정 스냅샷
| 스냅샷 | 만기 완료 | 예상치 | 실제 | 범위 내에 있나요? | 현물가 → 종가 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.5% | +0.1% | 범위 내 | 224.75 → 225.00 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | +14.8% | 범위 밖 | 196.00 → 225.00 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | +15.0% | 범위 밖 | 195.64 → 225.00 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | +19.5% | 범위 밖 | 188.27 → 225.00 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | +10.8% | 범위 밖 | 203.00 → 225.00 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | +18.7% | 범위 밖 | 189.58 → 225.00 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | +18.4% | 범위 밖 | 190.00 → 225.00 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.2% | +23.4% | 범위 밖 | 182.33 → 225.00 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.2% | +23.3% | 범위 밖 | 182.49 → 225.00 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.3% | +30.3% | 범위 밖 | 172.70 → 225.00 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | +46.0% | 범위 밖 | 154.10 → 225.00 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.9% | +42.5% | 범위 밖 | 157.92 → 225.00 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.4% | +54.5% | 범위 밖 | 145.62 → 225.00 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.5% | +56.5% | 범위 밖 | 143.75 → 225.00 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.1% | +54.0% | 범위 밖 | 146.11 → 225.00 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.7% | +55.7% | 범위 밖 | 144.50 → 225.00 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.5% | +65.6% | 범위 밖 | 135.90 → 225.00 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.0% | +65.5% | 범위 밖 | 135.96 → 225.00 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.6% | +59.7% | 범위 밖 | 140.93 → 225.00 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.6% | +55.2% | 범위 밖 | 145.00 → 225.00 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.6% | +55.2% | 범위 밖 | 145.00 → 225.00 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.7% | +52.6% | 범위 밖 | 147.40 → 225.00 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±19.6% | +49.7% | 범위 밖 | 150.30 → 225.00 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.2% | +48.2% | 범위 밖 | 151.86 → 225.00 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±19.3% | +62.1% | 범위 밖 | 138.80 → 225.00 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.5% | +0.2% | 범위 내 | 189.58 → 190.01 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | +0.0% | 범위 내 | 190.00 → 190.01 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.3% | +4.2% | 범위 내 | 182.33 → 190.01 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.3% | +4.1% | 범위 내 | 182.49 → 190.01 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.9% | +10.0% | 범위 내 | 172.70 → 190.01 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.0% | +23.3% | 범위 밖 | 154.10 → 190.01 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.8% | +20.3% | 범위 밖 | 157.92 → 190.01 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.8% | +30.5% | 범위 밖 | 145.62 → 190.01 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.6% | +32.2% | 범위 밖 | 143.75 → 190.01 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.2% | +30.1% | 범위 밖 | 146.11 → 190.01 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.5% | +31.5% | 범위 밖 | 144.50 → 190.01 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.3% | +39.8% | 범위 밖 | 135.90 → 190.01 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.0% | +39.8% | 범위 밖 | 135.96 → 190.01 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.6% | +34.8% | 범위 밖 | 140.93 → 190.01 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±15.4% | +31.0% | 범위 밖 | 145.00 → 190.01 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±15.4% | +31.0% | 범위 밖 | 145.00 → 190.01 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±16.5% | +28.9% | 범위 밖 | 147.40 → 190.01 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±17.6% | +26.4% | 범위 밖 | 150.30 → 190.01 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±18.8% | +25.1% | 범위 밖 | 151.86 → 190.01 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±17.7% | +36.9% | 범위 밖 | 138.80 → 190.01 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.0% | +9.1% | 범위 밖 | 182.33 → 198.88 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.0% | +9.0% | 범위 밖 | 182.49 → 198.88 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.2% | +15.2% | 범위 밖 | 172.70 → 198.88 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.9% | +29.1% | 범위 밖 | 154.10 → 198.88 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.9% | +25.9% | 범위 밖 | 157.92 → 198.88 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.4% | +36.6% | 범위 밖 | 145.62 → 198.88 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.1% | +38.4% | 범위 밖 | 143.75 → 198.88 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.8% | +36.1% | 범위 밖 | 146.11 → 198.88 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.8% | +37.6% | 범위 밖 | 144.50 → 198.88 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±11.1% | +46.3% | 범위 밖 | 135.90 → 198.88 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±11.4% | +46.3% | 범위 밖 | 135.96 → 198.88 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±12.3% | +41.1% | 범위 밖 | 140.93 → 198.88 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±13.8% | +37.2% | 범위 밖 | 145.00 → 198.88 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±13.8% | +37.2% | 범위 밖 | 145.00 → 198.88 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±14.6% | +34.9% | 범위 밖 | 147.40 → 198.88 |
결과는 기록된 범위와 만기일 종가를 비교합니다. 방법이 다른 경우 행별로 버전이 표시됩니다. 현재 버전: em-1.0.