MRNA earnings & options Moderna, Inc.
Next reportNov 05, 2026
EPS estimate-1.36
Options-implied moveThe size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.
recorded at the close before the report
Hist. avg |reaction|9.8%
Median8.1%
Largest31.5%
Implied vs actual, past reports
Definitions →Solid bars: the actual two-session reaction around each report (signed value printed below). Amber outlines: the move options priced beforehand — recorded from August 2026 onward, so older reports show the actual only.
implied (when recorded)actual reaction
Report-by-report record
| Report date | EPS act / est | Revenue act / est | Reaction | Implied | IV30 before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | -1.97 / -2.03 | 145.00M / 102.93M | -4.8% | not recorded | — |
| May 01, 2026 | -3.40 / -4.45 | 389.00M / 236.36M | +3.0% | not recorded | — |
| Feb 13, 2026 | -2.11 / -2.54 | 678.00M / 635.15M | +9.5% | not recorded | — |
| Nov 06, 2025 | -0.51 / -1.87 | 1.02B / 920.86M | +4.2% | not recorded | — |
| Aug 01, 2025 | -2.13 / -2.99 | 142.00M / 893.29M | -6.5% | not recorded | — |
| May 01, 2025 | -2.52 / -2.92 | 107.00M / 116.75M | -3.3% | not recorded | — |
| Feb 14, 2025 | -2.50 / -2.68 | 956.00M / 942.82M | +12.0% | not recorded | — |
| Nov 07, 2024 | 0.03 / -1.91 | 1.85B / 1.25B | -9.6% | not recorded | — |
| Aug 01, 2024 | -3.33 / -3.35 | 241.00M / 128.41M | -27.4% | not recorded | — |
| May 02, 2024 | -3.07 / -3.56 | 167.00M / 93.26M | +12.1% | not recorded | — |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 0.55 / -0.97 | 2.81B / 2.51B | +10.1% | not recorded | — |
| Nov 02, 2023 | -9.53 / -1.93 | 1.83B / 1.38B | +1.7% | not recorded | — |
| Aug 03, 2023 | -3.62 / -3.84 | 344.00M / 319.64M | -1.8% | not recorded | — |
| May 04, 2023 | 0.19 / -1.77 | 1.84B / 1.18B | +5.3% | not recorded | — |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3.61 / 4.68 | 5.08B / 5.02B | -12.0% | not recorded | — |
| Nov 03, 2022 | 2.53 / 3.29 | 3.22B / 3.53B | +6.6% | not recorded | — |
Reaction = close before the report date to the close of the session after it (report timing is not published by the source; this two-session window contains the reaction either way). Implied moves are recorded live before each report from August 2026 onward — never reconstructed. Earnings data: Financial Modeling Prep.