MO 予想変動幅の履歴 Altria Group, Inc.
毎取引日の引け後、結果が判明する前の各満期日について、オプション市場が織り込んでいた価格を記録します。満期日が経過すると、実際の結果が当初の推定値の横に記録されます。推定値は事後に修正されることはありません。 これらの統計の見方 · 記録開始： Aug 31, 2026
比較解決済み93
レンジ内で引ける85%
|実績値| が予想値を下回る85%
平均予想変動幅±3.4%
平均｜実績｜変動幅2.0%
平均絶対誤差1.9pt
インプライドと実現の比較、限月別
各満期日について、琥珀色の枠線は満期日直前に記録されたインプライド・ムーブ、塗りつぶされたバーは株価の実際の動きを示します。符号付きの値がバーの下に表示されます。
予想値（記録済み）実績
現在記録中（結果待ち）
| スナップショット | 満期日 | DTE | 当時のスポット価格 | インプライド・ムーブ | レンジ | 手法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 75.00 | ±0.3% | 74.78–75.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 73.00 | ±1.3% | 72.04–73.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 71.54 | ±1.8% | 70.25–72.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 71.54 | ±2.2% | 70.00–73.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 71.32 | ±2.8% | 69.34–73.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 69.43 | ±2.7% | 67.56–71.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 68.53 | ±3.0% | 66.45–70.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 67.89 | ±3.0% | 65.88–69.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 67.41 | ±3.0% | 65.39–69.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 67.04 | ±3.3% | 64.84–69.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 68.61 | ±4.4% | 65.58–71.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 68.75 | ±4.4% | 65.72–71.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 68.57 | ±4.5% | 65.45–71.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 69.70 | ±4.6% | 66.51–72.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 69.70 | ±4.8% | 66.37–73.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 70.12 | ±5.0% | 66.62–73.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 69.83 | ±5.3% | 66.14–73.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 70.68 | ±5.2% | 67.00–74.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 69.07 | ±5.7% | 65.17–72.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 68.59 | ±5.4% | 64.89–72.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 67.89 | ±5.5% | 64.14–71.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 68.21 | ±5.8% | 64.26–72.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 68.88 | ±6.5% | 64.41–73.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 69.03 | ±6.4% | 64.63–73.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 69.77 | ±6.3% | 65.35–74.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 69.64 | ±6.4% | 65.20–74.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 69.53 | ±6.5% | 64.98–74.08 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 68.50 | ±6.4% | 64.11–72.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 75.00 | ±2.4% | 73.17–76.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 73.00 | ±2.9% | 70.90–75.10 | em-1.0 |
確定済みスナップショット
| スナップショット | 満期済み | 予想 | 実績値 | レンジ内？ | スポット → 終値 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.5% | +0.2% | レンジ内 | 71.54 → 71.68 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.3% | +0.5% | レンジ内 | 71.32 → 71.68 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +3.2% | レンジ外 | 69.43 → 71.68 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +4.6% | レンジ外 | 68.53 → 71.68 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +5.6% | レンジ外 | 67.89 → 71.68 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +6.3% | レンジ外 | 67.41 → 71.68 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +6.9% | レンジ外 | 67.04 → 71.68 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +4.5% | レンジ外 | 68.61 → 71.68 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +4.3% | レンジ外 | 68.75 → 71.68 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | +4.5% | レンジ外 | 68.57 → 71.68 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | +2.8% | レンジ内 | 69.70 → 71.68 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | +2.8% | レンジ内 | 69.70 → 71.68 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | +2.2% | レンジ内 | 70.12 → 71.68 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +2.6% | レンジ内 | 69.83 → 71.68 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | +1.4% | レンジ内 | 70.68 → 71.68 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | +3.8% | レンジ内 | 69.07 → 71.68 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | +4.5% | レンジ内 | 68.59 → 71.68 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | +5.6% | レンジ外 | 67.89 → 71.68 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | +5.1% | レンジ内 | 68.21 → 71.68 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +4.1% | レンジ内 | 68.88 → 71.68 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +3.8% | レンジ内 | 69.03 → 71.68 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | +2.7% | レンジ内 | 69.77 → 71.68 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +2.9% | レンジ内 | 69.64 → 71.68 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | +3.1% | レンジ内 | 69.53 → 71.68 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | +4.6% | レンジ内 | 68.50 → 71.68 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.7% | -0.1% | レンジ内 | 67.41 → 67.35 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | +0.5% | レンジ内 | 67.04 → 67.35 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.9% | -1.8% | レンジ内 | 68.61 → 67.35 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.9% | -2.0% | レンジ内 | 68.75 → 67.35 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -1.8% | レンジ内 | 68.57 → 67.35 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | -3.4% | レンジ外 | 69.70 → 67.35 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | -3.4% | レンジ外 | 69.70 → 67.35 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | -4.0% | レンジ外 | 70.12 → 67.35 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -3.6% | レンジ内 | 69.83 → 67.35 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | -4.7% | レンジ内 | 70.68 → 67.35 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -2.5% | レンジ内 | 69.07 → 67.35 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -1.8% | レンジ内 | 68.59 → 67.35 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -0.8% | レンジ内 | 67.89 → 67.35 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | -1.3% | レンジ内 | 68.21 → 67.35 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -2.2% | レンジ内 | 68.88 → 67.35 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -2.4% | レンジ内 | 69.03 → 67.35 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -3.5% | レンジ内 | 69.77 → 67.35 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -3.3% | レンジ内 | 69.64 → 67.35 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -3.1% | レンジ内 | 69.53 → 67.35 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -1.7% | レンジ内 | 68.50 → 67.35 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.7% | +0.3% | レンジ内 | 68.61 → 68.82 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.7% | +0.1% | レンジ内 | 68.75 → 68.82 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.1% | +0.4% | レンジ内 | 68.57 → 68.82 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.2% | -1.3% | レンジ内 | 69.70 → 68.82 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.4% | -1.3% | レンジ内 | 69.70 → 68.82 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.9% | -1.9% | レンジ内 | 70.12 → 68.82 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.1% | -1.4% | レンジ内 | 69.83 → 68.82 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | -2.6% | レンジ内 | 70.68 → 68.82 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | -0.4% | レンジ内 | 69.07 → 68.82 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.9% | +0.3% | レンジ内 | 68.59 → 68.82 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.1% | +1.4% | レンジ内 | 67.89 → 68.82 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.2% | +0.9% | レンジ内 | 68.21 → 68.82 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -0.1% | レンジ内 | 68.88 → 68.82 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -0.3% | レンジ内 | 69.03 → 68.82 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.9% | -1.4% | レンジ内 | 69.77 → 68.82 |
結果は満期日の終値と記録されたレンジを比較したものです。手法バージョンが異なる場合は行ごとに表示されます。現在のバージョン： em-1.0.