MGM 预期波动历史 MGM Resorts International
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项48
收盘价处于区间内21%
|实际值| 低于预期值21%
平均预期波动幅度±6.5%
平均|实际|波动幅度13.9%
平均绝对误差8.1pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 28.47 | ±10.4% | 25.52–31.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 28.64 | ±11.0% | 25.49–31.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 28.95 | ±10.9% | 25.80–32.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 29.40 | ±10.9% | 26.20–32.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 29.27 | ±11.3% | 25.97–32.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 30.03 | ±10.8% | 26.78–33.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 30.06 | ±11.3% | 26.66–33.46 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 30.54 | ±11.6% | 26.99–34.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 30.27 | ±11.3% | 26.84–33.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 30.70 | ±11.5% | 27.18–34.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 30.61 | ±11.9% | 26.96–34.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 38.91 | ±16.9% | 32.33–45.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 38.49 | ±15.5% | 32.52–44.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 38.73 | ±13.6% | 33.48–43.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 38.45 | ±12.7% | 33.55–43.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 39.22 | ±13.0% | 34.12–44.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Nov 20 | 65 | 39.22 | ±13.0% | 34.12–44.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Nov 20 | 66 | 39.90 | ±12.2% | 35.05–44.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Nov 20 | 67 | 39.90 | ±12.2% | 35.05–44.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Nov 20 | 70 | 40.73 | ±13.1% | 35.41–46.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Nov 20 | 71 | 40.66 | ±13.3% | 35.23–46.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Nov 20 | 72 | 40.37 | ±12.8% | 35.22–45.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Nov 20 | 73 | 41.22 | ±13.2% | 35.77–46.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Nov 20 | 74 | 41.22 | ±13.2% | 35.77–46.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Nov 20 | 77 | 41.34 | ±12.9% | 35.99–46.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Nov 20 | 78 | 41.44 | ±13.7% | 35.77–47.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Nov 20 | 79 | 41.60 | ±13.9% | 35.80–47.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Nov 20 | 80 | 41.60 | ±13.9% | 35.80–47.40 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Nov 20 | 81 | 41.60 | ±13.9% | 35.80–47.40 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 28.47 | ±12.9% | 24.80–32.15 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 28.64 → 28.60 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 28.95 → 28.60 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 29.40 → 28.60 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 29.27 → 28.60 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | -4.8% | 区间外 | 30.03 → 28.60 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | -4.9% | 区间外 | 30.06 → 28.60 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -6.4% | 区间外 | 30.54 → 28.60 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -5.5% | 区间外 | 30.27 → 28.60 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -6.8% | 区间外 | 30.70 → 28.60 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -6.6% | 区间外 | 30.61 → 28.60 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.9% | -26.5% | 区间外 | 38.91 → 28.60 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.3% | -25.7% | 区间外 | 38.49 → 28.60 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | -26.2% | 区间外 | 38.73 → 28.60 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.8% | -25.6% | 区间外 | 38.45 → 28.60 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -27.1% | 区间外 | 39.22 → 28.60 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -27.1% | 区间外 | 39.22 → 28.60 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -28.3% | 区间外 | 39.90 → 28.60 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -28.3% | 区间外 | 39.90 → 28.60 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | -29.8% | 区间外 | 40.73 → 28.60 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -29.7% | 区间外 | 40.66 → 28.60 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | -29.1% | 区间外 | 40.37 → 28.60 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | -30.6% | 区间外 | 41.22 → 28.60 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | -30.6% | 区间外 | 41.22 → 28.60 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | -30.8% | 区间外 | 41.34 → 28.60 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | -31.0% | 区间外 | 41.44 → 28.60 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | -31.2% | 区间外 | 41.60 → 28.60 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | -31.2% | 区间外 | 41.60 → 28.60 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | -31.2% | 区间外 | 41.60 → 28.60 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.5% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 38.45 → 37.81 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.1% | -3.6% | 区间外 | 39.22 → 37.81 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.1% | -3.6% | 区间外 | 39.22 → 37.81 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.4% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 39.90 → 37.81 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.4% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 39.90 → 37.81 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.6% | -7.2% | 区间外 | 40.73 → 37.81 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.4% | -7.0% | 区间外 | 40.66 → 37.81 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.6% | -6.3% | 区间外 | 40.37 → 37.81 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.1% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 41.22 → 37.81 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.1% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 41.22 → 37.81 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.2% | -8.5% | 区间外 | 41.34 → 37.81 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.2% | -8.8% | 区间外 | 41.44 → 37.81 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.5% | -9.1% | 区间外 | 41.60 → 37.81 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.5% | -9.1% | 区间外 | 41.60 → 37.81 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.5% | -9.1% | 区间外 | 41.60 → 37.81 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 04 | ±2.1% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 41.34 → 41.22 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 04 | ±2.7% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 41.44 → 41.22 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 04 | ±3.5% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 41.60 → 41.22 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 04 | ±3.5% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 41.60 → 41.22 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 04 | ±3.5% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 41.60 → 41.22 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.