META riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Meta Platforms, Inc.
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan4
Tutup dalam rentang50%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi50%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±1.1%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|1.7%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut0.7pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 03 | Sep 04 | 1 | 611.28 | ±1.7% | 600.68–621.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 04 | 2 | 594.36 | ±2.5% | 579.68–609.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 04 | 3 | 577.44 | ±3.0% | 560.37–594.51 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 04 | 4 | 571.85 | ±3.1% | 554.10–589.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 09 | 6 | 611.28 | ±3.0% | 592.65–629.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 09 | 7 | 594.36 | ±3.6% | 573.18–615.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 09 | 8 | 577.44 | ±3.8% | 555.41–599.47 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 09 | 9 | 571.85 | ±3.9% | 549.55–594.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 11 | 8 | 611.28 | ±3.9% | 587.61–634.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 11 | 9 | 594.36 | ±4.3% | 568.71–620.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 11 | 10 | 577.44 | ±4.6% | 551.01–603.87 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 11 | 11 | 571.85 | ±4.6% | 545.83–597.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 14 | 11 | 611.28 | ±4.3% | 585.25–637.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 14 | 12 | 594.36 | ±4.7% | 566.38–622.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 14 | 13 | 577.44 | ±4.8% | 549.57–605.32 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 14 | 14 | 571.85 | ±5.1% | 542.92–600.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 16 | 13 | 611.28 | ±4.9% | 581.21–641.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 16 | 14 | 594.36 | ±5.2% | 563.43–625.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 16 | 15 | 577.44 | ±5.5% | 545.82–609.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 18 | 15 | 611.28 | ±5.5% | 577.88–644.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 18 | 16 | 594.36 | ±5.8% | 559.93–628.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 18 | 17 | 577.44 | ±6.0% | 542.72–612.16 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 18 | 18 | 571.85 | ±5.9% | 538.15–605.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Sep 25 | 22 | 611.28 | ±6.7% | 570.05–652.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 25 | 23 | 594.36 | ±7.1% | 552.36–636.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 25 | 24 | 577.44 | ±7.3% | 535.49–619.39 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 25 | 25 | 571.85 | ±7.2% | 530.95–612.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 02 | 29 | 611.28 | ±7.8% | 563.75–658.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 02 | 30 | 594.36 | ±8.1% | 546.31–642.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 02 | 31 | 577.44 | ±8.2% | 529.97–624.91 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 02 | ±0.4% | -0.3% | di dalam | 594.36 → 592.85 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 02 | ±1.7% | +2.7% | di luar | 577.44 → 592.85 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 02 | ±2.1% | +3.7% | di luar | 571.85 → 592.85 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 31 | ±0.2% | +0.1% | di dalam | 571.85 → 572.34 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.