MARA geschiedenis verwachte beweging Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost93
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte57%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht57%
Gem. verwachte beweging±12.3%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging11.0%
Gem. abs. fout6.3pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 7.58 | ±0.9% | 7.51–7.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 8.22 | ±6.8% | 7.66–8.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 9.13 | ±6.5% | 8.54–9.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 9.67 | ±7.4% | 8.96–10.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 9.93 | ±8.9% | 9.05–10.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 10.37 | ±9.6% | 9.37–11.37 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 11.00 | ±9.7% | 9.93–12.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 11.16 | ±10.6% | 9.98–12.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 11.26 | ±12.0% | 9.91–12.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 11.20 | ±12.4% | 9.82–12.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 13.63 | ±16.6% | 11.37–15.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 13.61 | ±16.6% | 11.35–15.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 13.31 | ±17.7% | 10.96–15.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 13.26 | ±18.1% | 10.85–15.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 11.62 | ±18.8% | 9.43–13.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 11.07 | ±19.4% | 8.92–13.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 11.21 | ±20.1% | 8.96–13.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 11.49 | ±20.5% | 9.14–13.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 11.98 | ±20.5% | 9.52–14.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 11.46 | ±21.2% | 9.03–13.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 11.87 | ±21.9% | 9.27–14.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 11.83 | ±22.6% | 9.15–14.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 11.30 | ±22.0% | 8.82–13.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 11.29 | ±22.0% | 8.80–13.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 11.58 | ±23.8% | 8.82–14.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 10.42 | ±22.5% | 8.07–12.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 10.25 | ±23.0% | 7.89–12.61 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 10.76 | ±23.6% | 8.22–13.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 7.58 | ±10.6% | 6.78–8.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 8.22 | ±12.3% | 7.21–9.23 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | -0.2% | binnen | 9.67 → 9.65 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | -2.8% | binnen | 9.93 → 9.65 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -6.9% | buiten | 10.37 → 9.65 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -12.3% | buiten | 11.00 → 9.65 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -13.5% | buiten | 11.16 → 9.65 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.3% | -14.3% | buiten | 11.26 → 9.65 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -13.8% | buiten | 11.20 → 9.65 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.9% | -29.2% | buiten | 13.63 → 9.65 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.0% | -29.1% | buiten | 13.61 → 9.65 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.9% | -27.5% | buiten | 13.31 → 9.65 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.9% | -27.2% | buiten | 13.26 → 9.65 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.9% | -17.0% | buiten | 11.62 → 9.65 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.9% | -12.8% | binnen | 11.07 → 9.65 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.6% | -13.9% | binnen | 11.21 → 9.65 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.2% | -16.0% | binnen | 11.49 → 9.65 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.4% | -19.4% | buiten | 11.98 → 9.65 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±19.2% | -15.8% | binnen | 11.46 → 9.65 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±19.8% | -18.7% | binnen | 11.87 → 9.65 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.2% | -18.4% | binnen | 11.83 → 9.65 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.2% | -14.6% | binnen | 11.30 → 9.65 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.2% | -14.5% | binnen | 11.29 → 9.65 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±21.6% | -16.7% | binnen | 11.58 → 9.65 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.6% | -7.4% | binnen | 10.42 → 9.65 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±21.8% | -5.9% | binnen | 10.25 → 9.65 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±21.2% | -10.3% | binnen | 10.76 → 9.65 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -0.3% | binnen | 11.26 → 11.23 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | +0.3% | binnen | 11.20 → 11.23 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.9% | -17.6% | buiten | 13.63 → 11.23 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.9% | -17.5% | buiten | 13.61 → 11.23 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.9% | -15.6% | buiten | 13.31 → 11.23 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.0% | -15.3% | buiten | 13.26 → 11.23 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.2% | -3.4% | binnen | 11.62 → 11.23 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.3% | +1.5% | binnen | 11.07 → 11.23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±15.1% | +0.2% | binnen | 11.21 → 11.23 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±15.6% | -2.3% | binnen | 11.49 → 11.23 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±15.9% | -6.3% | binnen | 11.98 → 11.23 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±16.6% | -2.0% | binnen | 11.46 → 11.23 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±17.6% | -5.4% | binnen | 11.87 → 11.23 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±18.2% | -5.1% | binnen | 11.83 → 11.23 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±18.1% | -0.6% | binnen | 11.30 → 11.23 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±18.1% | -0.5% | binnen | 11.29 → 11.23 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±19.1% | -3.0% | binnen | 11.58 → 11.23 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±18.7% | +7.8% | binnen | 10.42 → 11.23 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±18.5% | +9.6% | binnen | 10.25 → 11.23 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±19.4% | +4.4% | binnen | 10.76 → 11.23 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.6% | -7.9% | buiten | 13.63 → 12.55 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.7% | -7.8% | buiten | 13.61 → 12.55 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.9% | -5.7% | binnen | 13.31 → 12.55 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.2% | -5.4% | binnen | 13.26 → 12.55 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.6% | +8.0% | binnen | 11.62 → 12.55 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.8% | +13.4% | buiten | 11.07 → 12.55 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±11.8% | +12.0% | buiten | 11.21 → 12.55 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±12.4% | +9.2% | binnen | 11.49 → 12.55 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±12.7% | +4.8% | binnen | 11.98 → 12.55 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±13.8% | +9.5% | binnen | 11.46 → 12.55 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±14.6% | +5.7% | binnen | 11.87 → 12.55 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±15.5% | +6.1% | binnen | 11.83 → 12.55 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±15.3% | +11.0% | binnen | 11.30 → 12.55 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±15.3% | +11.2% | binnen | 11.29 → 12.55 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±17.1% | +8.4% | binnen | 11.58 → 12.55 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.