LUV 预期波动历史 Southwest Airlines Co.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内66%
|实际值| 低于预期值66%
平均预期波动幅度±6.3%
平均|实际|波动幅度4.6%
平均绝对误差2.8pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | Oct 23 | 3 | 39.45 | ±6.1% | 37.03–41.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 38.91 | ±5.9% | 36.62–41.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 39.59 | ±6.6% | 36.98–42.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 39.15 | ±6.6% | 36.56–41.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 40.56 | ±7.5% | 37.51–43.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 41.61 | ±7.7% | 38.40–44.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 40.99 | ±9.1% | 37.25–44.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 42.02 | ±8.6% | 38.40–45.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 42.24 | ±9.2% | 38.34–46.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 41.85 | ±9.3% | 37.96–45.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 42.01 | ±9.6% | 37.98–46.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 41.88 | ±9.8% | 37.78–45.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 42.08 | ±11.2% | 37.38–46.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 42.35 | ±11.1% | 37.66–47.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 41.58 | ±11.0% | 36.99–46.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 41.17 | ±10.8% | 36.71–45.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 40.34 | ±10.6% | 36.07–44.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 39.35 | ±11.9% | 34.66–44.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 39.40 | ±11.6% | 34.82–43.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 39.40 | ±11.6% | 34.82–43.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 39.16 | ±11.6% | 34.62–43.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 38.78 | ±12.5% | 33.94–43.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 38.41 | ±13.4% | 33.27–43.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 38.67 | ±12.8% | 33.72–43.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 39.69 | ±12.2% | 34.87–44.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 39.62 | ±12.2% | 34.80–44.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 38.59 | ±13.0% | 33.57–43.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 20 | Oct 30 | 10 | 39.45 | ±7.8% | 36.37–42.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 38.91 | ±7.5% | 35.98–41.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 39.59 | ±8.7% | 36.16–43.02 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.7% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 39.59 → 39.50 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 39.15 → 39.50 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 40.56 → 39.50 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | -5.1% | 区间外 | 41.61 → 39.50 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 40.99 → 39.50 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | -6.0% | 区间外 | 42.02 → 39.50 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 42.24 → 39.50 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -5.6% | 区间内 | 41.85 → 39.50 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -6.0% | 区间内 | 42.01 → 39.50 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -5.7% | 区间内 | 41.88 → 39.50 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | -6.1% | 区间内 | 42.08 → 39.50 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | -6.7% | 区间内 | 42.35 → 39.50 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | -5.0% | 区间内 | 41.58 → 39.50 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.8% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 41.17 → 39.50 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 40.34 → 39.50 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 39.35 → 39.50 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 39.40 → 39.50 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 39.40 → 39.50 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 39.16 → 39.50 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 38.78 → 39.50 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | +2.8% | 区间内 | 38.41 → 39.50 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | +2.1% | 区间内 | 38.67 → 39.50 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 39.69 → 39.50 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 39.62 → 39.50 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 38.59 → 39.50 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 38.56 → 39.50 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | +4.5% | 区间内 | 37.78 → 39.50 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 38.77 → 39.50 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 41.61 → 41.66 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 40.99 → 41.66 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 42.02 → 41.66 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 42.24 → 41.66 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 41.85 → 41.66 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 42.01 → 41.66 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 41.88 → 41.66 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 42.08 → 41.66 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 42.35 → 41.66 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 41.58 → 41.66 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 41.17 → 41.66 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 40.34 → 41.66 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | +5.9% | 区间内 | 39.35 → 41.66 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | +5.7% | 区间内 | 39.40 → 41.66 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | +5.7% | 区间内 | 39.40 → 41.66 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.7% | +6.4% | 区间内 | 39.16 → 41.66 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | +7.4% | 区间内 | 38.78 → 41.66 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | +8.4% | 区间内 | 38.41 → 41.66 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | +7.7% | 区间内 | 38.67 → 41.66 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | +5.0% | 区间内 | 39.69 → 41.66 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | +5.1% | 区间内 | 39.62 → 41.66 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | +8.0% | 区间内 | 38.59 → 41.66 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +8.0% | 区间内 | 38.56 → 41.66 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | +10.3% | 区间外 | 37.78 → 41.66 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +7.5% | 区间内 | 38.77 → 41.66 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 42.01 → 42.47 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 41.88 → 42.47 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 42.08 → 42.47 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 42.35 → 42.47 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.8% | +2.1% | 区间内 | 41.58 → 42.47 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | +3.2% | 区间内 | 41.17 → 42.47 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | +5.3% | 区间内 | 40.34 → 42.47 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.