LRCX histórico de movimento esperado Lam Research Corporation
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas93
Fechar dentro do intervalo57%
|Real| abaixo do esperado57%
Movimento esperado médio±8.1%
Movimento |real| médio8.2%
Erro médio absoluto5.1pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 265.55 | ±0.8% | 263.50–267.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 286.07 | ±4.8% | 272.44–299.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 301.48 | ±5.5% | 284.96–318.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 319.50 | ±6.2% | 299.70–339.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 321.70 | ±7.2% | 298.55–344.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 329.51 | ±6.8% | 307.24–351.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 333.89 | ±7.0% | 310.49–357.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 345.40 | ±7.4% | 319.98–370.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 347.88 | ±8.2% | 319.25–376.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 340.00 | ±9.1% | 309.10–370.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 310.50 | ±11.8% | 273.73–347.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 310.50 | ±11.8% | 273.73–347.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 302.48 | ±12.2% | 265.73–339.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 287.60 | ±12.1% | 252.68–322.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 269.31 | ±12.1% | 236.71–301.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 268.72 | ±12.6% | 234.90–302.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 271.20 | ±13.0% | 235.90–306.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 276.00 | ±13.5% | 238.82–313.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 299.11 | ±13.8% | 257.96–340.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 298.60 | ±14.5% | 255.22–341.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 316.49 | ±14.8% | 269.64–363.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 324.10 | ±15.5% | 273.73–374.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 307.48 | ±16.2% | 257.78–357.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 302.68 | ±15.4% | 256.20–349.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 292.47 | ±14.9% | 248.77–336.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 287.36 | ±15.3% | 243.50–331.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 290.50 | ±15.6% | 245.28–335.73 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 302.00 | ±15.6% | 254.90–349.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 265.55 | ±8.1% | 243.95–287.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 286.07 | ±9.2% | 259.80–312.35 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | -0.2% | dentro | 319.50 → 318.84 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -0.9% | dentro | 321.70 → 318.84 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | -3.2% | dentro | 329.51 → 318.84 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -4.5% | fora | 333.89 → 318.84 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | -7.7% | fora | 345.40 → 318.84 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -8.3% | fora | 347.88 → 318.84 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -6.2% | dentro | 340.00 → 318.84 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +2.7% | dentro | 310.50 → 318.84 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +2.7% | dentro | 310.50 → 318.84 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +5.4% | dentro | 302.48 → 318.84 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | +10.9% | fora | 287.60 → 318.84 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | +18.4% | fora | 269.31 → 318.84 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | +18.6% | fora | 268.72 → 318.84 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.4% | +17.6% | fora | 271.20 → 318.84 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.3% | +15.5% | fora | 276.00 → 318.84 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.0% | +6.6% | dentro | 299.11 → 318.84 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.1% | +6.8% | dentro | 298.60 → 318.84 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.5% | +0.7% | dentro | 316.49 → 318.84 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.0% | -1.6% | dentro | 324.10 → 318.84 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.1% | +3.7% | dentro | 307.48 → 318.84 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.8% | +5.3% | dentro | 302.68 → 318.84 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.3% | +9.0% | dentro | 292.47 → 318.84 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | +11.0% | dentro | 287.36 → 318.84 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.0% | +9.8% | dentro | 290.50 → 318.84 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.1% | +5.6% | dentro | 302.00 → 318.84 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.5% | -0.1% | dentro | 347.88 → 347.49 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.7% | +2.2% | dentro | 340.00 → 347.49 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.0% | +11.9% | fora | 310.50 → 347.49 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.0% | +11.9% | fora | 310.50 → 347.49 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.1% | +14.9% | fora | 302.48 → 347.49 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.5% | +20.8% | fora | 287.60 → 347.49 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.6% | +29.0% | fora | 269.31 → 347.49 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.3% | +29.3% | fora | 268.72 → 347.49 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.8% | +28.1% | fora | 271.20 → 347.49 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.0% | +25.9% | fora | 276.00 → 347.49 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.4% | +16.2% | fora | 299.11 → 347.49 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.2% | +16.4% | fora | 298.60 → 347.49 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.8% | +9.8% | dentro | 316.49 → 347.49 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.5% | +7.2% | dentro | 324.10 → 347.49 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.7% | +13.0% | fora | 307.48 → 347.49 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.4% | +14.8% | fora | 302.68 → 347.49 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.9% | +18.8% | fora | 292.47 → 347.49 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.2% | +20.9% | fora | 287.36 → 347.49 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.5% | +19.6% | fora | 290.50 → 347.49 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.8% | +15.1% | fora | 302.00 → 347.49 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | +1.5% | dentro | 310.50 → 315.21 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | +1.5% | dentro | 310.50 → 315.21 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.1% | +4.2% | dentro | 302.48 → 315.21 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.7% | +9.6% | fora | 287.60 → 315.21 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.1% | +17.0% | fora | 269.31 → 315.21 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.9% | +17.3% | fora | 268.72 → 315.21 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.4% | +16.2% | fora | 271.20 → 315.21 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.8% | +14.2% | fora | 276.00 → 315.21 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.2% | +5.4% | dentro | 299.11 → 315.21 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.2% | +5.6% | dentro | 298.60 → 315.21 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.6% | -0.4% | dentro | 316.49 → 315.21 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.5% | -2.7% | dentro | 324.10 → 315.21 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.6% | +2.5% | dentro | 307.48 → 315.21 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.3% | +4.1% | dentro | 302.68 → 315.21 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.2% | +7.8% | dentro | 292.47 → 315.21 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.