LOW 预期波动历史 Lowe's Companies, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内41%
|实际值| 低于预期值41%
平均预期波动幅度±4.1%
平均|实际|波动幅度4.9%
平均绝对误差1.5pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 197.38 | ±0.5% | 196.33–198.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 188.31 | ±2.5% | 183.66–192.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 188.74 | ±2.6% | 183.84–193.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 186.00 | ±3.1% | 180.28–191.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 188.28 | ±3.7% | 181.38–195.18 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 181.54 | ±3.6% | 174.94–188.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 183.67 | ±3.9% | 176.50–190.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 179.49 | ±4.2% | 171.89–187.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 181.66 | ±4.7% | 173.16–190.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 182.42 | ±5.0% | 173.32–191.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 196.08 | ±5.5% | 185.38–206.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 195.76 | ±5.5% | 184.96–206.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 191.66 | ±5.6% | 181.01–202.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 192.62 | ±5.8% | 181.42–203.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 194.17 | ±6.0% | 182.57–205.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 196.26 | ±6.3% | 183.81–208.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 195.49 | ±6.5% | 182.79–208.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 198.31 | ±6.5% | 185.46–211.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 198.23 | ±6.6% | 185.13–211.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 196.99 | ±7.0% | 183.29–210.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 199.23 | ±7.0% | 185.28–213.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 201.33 | ±7.5% | 186.28–216.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 204.45 | ±7.6% | 188.90–220.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 204.92 | ±7.6% | 189.37–220.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 202.61 | ±7.5% | 187.41–217.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 201.68 | ±7.4% | 186.78–216.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 199.59 | ±7.5% | 184.54–214.64 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 208.40 | ±7.9% | 191.90–224.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 197.38 | ±3.4% | 190.71–204.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 188.31 | ±4.0% | 180.86–195.76 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 186.00 → 186.00 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 188.28 → 186.00 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +2.5% | 区间外 | 181.54 → 186.00 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 183.67 → 186.00 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +3.6% | 区间外 | 179.49 → 186.00 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 181.66 → 186.00 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +2.0% | 区间内 | 182.42 → 186.00 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -5.1% | 区间外 | 196.08 → 186.00 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -5.0% | 区间外 | 195.76 → 186.00 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 191.66 → 186.00 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 192.62 → 186.00 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -4.2% | 区间内 | 194.17 → 186.00 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 196.26 → 186.00 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -4.9% | 区间内 | 195.49 → 186.00 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -6.2% | 区间外 | 198.31 → 186.00 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -6.2% | 区间外 | 198.23 → 186.00 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -5.6% | 区间内 | 196.99 → 186.00 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -6.6% | 区间外 | 199.23 → 186.00 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | -7.6% | 区间外 | 201.33 → 186.00 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -9.0% | 区间外 | 204.45 → 186.00 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -9.2% | 区间外 | 204.92 → 186.00 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -8.2% | 区间外 | 202.61 → 186.00 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -7.8% | 区间外 | 201.68 → 186.00 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -6.8% | 区间外 | 199.59 → 186.00 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | -10.7% | 区间外 | 208.40 → 186.00 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.8% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 181.66 → 180.80 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.6% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 182.42 → 180.80 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -7.8% | 区间外 | 196.08 → 180.80 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | -7.6% | 区间外 | 195.76 → 180.80 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | -5.7% | 区间外 | 191.66 → 180.80 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -6.1% | 区间外 | 192.62 → 180.80 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -6.9% | 区间外 | 194.17 → 180.80 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -7.9% | 区间外 | 196.26 → 180.80 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -7.5% | 区间外 | 195.49 → 180.80 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | -8.8% | 区间外 | 198.31 → 180.80 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -8.8% | 区间外 | 198.23 → 180.80 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -8.2% | 区间外 | 196.99 → 180.80 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -9.3% | 区间外 | 199.23 → 180.80 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | -10.2% | 区间外 | 201.33 → 180.80 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -11.6% | 区间外 | 204.45 → 180.80 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -11.8% | 区间外 | 204.92 → 180.80 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | -10.8% | 区间外 | 202.61 → 180.80 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | -10.4% | 区间外 | 201.68 → 180.80 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | -9.4% | 区间外 | 199.59 → 180.80 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.7% | -13.2% | 区间外 | 208.40 → 180.80 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.4% | -3.5% | 区间外 | 196.08 → 189.28 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.2% | -3.3% | 区间外 | 195.76 → 189.28 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.5% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 191.66 → 189.28 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.0% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 192.62 → 189.28 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.2% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 194.17 → 189.28 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 196.26 → 189.28 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 195.49 → 189.28 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | -4.6% | 区间外 | 198.31 → 189.28 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.1% | -4.5% | 区间外 | 198.23 → 189.28 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 196.99 → 189.28 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | -5.0% | 区间外 | 199.23 → 189.28 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.1% | -6.0% | 区间外 | 201.33 → 189.28 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.0% | -7.4% | 区间外 | 204.45 → 189.28 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.9% | -7.6% | 区间外 | 204.92 → 189.28 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.3% | -6.6% | 区间外 | 202.61 → 189.28 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.