LOW historial de movimiento esperado Lowe's Companies, Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas121
Cierre dentro del rango47%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado47%
Movimiento esperado promedio±4.4%
Movimiento |real| promedio4.6%
Error medio abs.2.1pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 195.82 | ±2.7% | 190.59–201.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 197.38 | ±3.4% | 190.71–204.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 188.31 | ±4.0% | 180.86–195.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 188.74 | ±4.0% | 181.14–196.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 186.00 | ±4.5% | 177.65–194.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 188.28 | ±4.8% | 179.22–197.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 181.54 | ±5.0% | 172.39–190.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 183.67 | ±5.2% | 174.07–193.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 179.49 | ±5.6% | 169.49–189.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 181.66 | ±5.8% | 171.11–192.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 182.42 | ±6.1% | 171.37–193.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 196.08 | ±6.6% | 183.08–209.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 195.76 | ±6.6% | 182.86–208.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 191.66 | ±6.6% | 179.01–204.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 192.62 | ±6.9% | 179.42–205.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 194.17 | ±7.1% | 180.47–207.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 196.26 | ±7.2% | 182.06–210.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 195.49 | ±7.3% | 181.14–209.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 198.31 | ±7.4% | 183.71–212.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 198.23 | ±7.6% | 183.23–213.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 196.99 | ±7.6% | 182.04–211.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 199.23 | ±7.9% | 183.58–214.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 201.33 | ±8.1% | 185.03–217.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 204.45 | ±8.0% | 188.05–220.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 204.92 | ±8.3% | 187.97–221.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 202.61 | ±8.0% | 186.31–218.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 195.82 | ±4.4% | 187.27–204.37 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 197.38 | ±4.8% | 187.83–206.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 188.31 | ±5.2% | 178.61–198.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 188.74 | ±5.1% | 179.04–198.44 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.5% | +0.0% | dentro | 197.38 → 197.38 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +4.8% | fuera | 188.31 → 197.38 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +4.6% | fuera | 188.74 → 197.38 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +6.1% | fuera | 186.00 → 197.38 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +4.8% | fuera | 188.28 → 197.38 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +8.7% | fuera | 181.54 → 197.38 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +7.5% | fuera | 183.67 → 197.38 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | +10.0% | fuera | 179.49 → 197.38 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +8.7% | fuera | 181.66 → 197.38 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +8.2% | fuera | 182.42 → 197.38 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | +0.7% | dentro | 196.08 → 197.38 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | +0.8% | dentro | 195.76 → 197.38 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | +3.0% | dentro | 191.66 → 197.38 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | +2.5% | dentro | 192.62 → 197.38 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | +1.7% | dentro | 194.17 → 197.38 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | +0.6% | dentro | 196.26 → 197.38 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | +1.0% | dentro | 195.49 → 197.38 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -0.5% | dentro | 198.31 → 197.38 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -0.4% | dentro | 198.23 → 197.38 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +0.2% | dentro | 196.99 → 197.38 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -0.9% | dentro | 199.23 → 197.38 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -2.0% | dentro | 201.33 → 197.38 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -3.5% | dentro | 204.45 → 197.38 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -3.7% | dentro | 204.92 → 197.38 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -2.6% | dentro | 202.61 → 197.38 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -2.1% | dentro | 201.68 → 197.38 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -1.1% | dentro | 199.59 → 197.38 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -5.3% | dentro | 208.40 → 197.38 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | +0.0% | dentro | 186.00 → 186.00 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | -1.2% | dentro | 188.28 → 186.00 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +2.5% | fuera | 181.54 → 186.00 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +1.3% | dentro | 183.67 → 186.00 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +3.6% | fuera | 179.49 → 186.00 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +2.4% | dentro | 181.66 → 186.00 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +2.0% | dentro | 182.42 → 186.00 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -5.1% | fuera | 196.08 → 186.00 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -5.0% | fuera | 195.76 → 186.00 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -3.0% | dentro | 191.66 → 186.00 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -3.4% | dentro | 192.62 → 186.00 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -4.2% | dentro | 194.17 → 186.00 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | -5.2% | dentro | 196.26 → 186.00 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -4.9% | dentro | 195.49 → 186.00 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -6.2% | fuera | 198.31 → 186.00 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -6.2% | fuera | 198.23 → 186.00 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -5.6% | dentro | 196.99 → 186.00 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -6.6% | fuera | 199.23 → 186.00 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | -7.6% | fuera | 201.33 → 186.00 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -9.0% | fuera | 204.45 → 186.00 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -9.2% | fuera | 204.92 → 186.00 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -8.2% | fuera | 202.61 → 186.00 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -7.8% | fuera | 201.68 → 186.00 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -6.8% | fuera | 199.59 → 186.00 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | -10.7% | fuera | 208.40 → 186.00 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.8% | -0.5% | dentro | 181.66 → 180.80 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.6% | -0.9% | dentro | 182.42 → 180.80 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -7.8% | fuera | 196.08 → 180.80 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | -7.6% | fuera | 195.76 → 180.80 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | -5.7% | fuera | 191.66 → 180.80 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -6.1% | fuera | 192.62 → 180.80 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -6.9% | fuera | 194.17 → 180.80 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.