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LLY geschiedenis verwachte beweging Eli Lilly and Company

Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026

Vergelijkingen opgelost121
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte75%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht75%
Gem. verwachte beweging±5.0%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging3.6%
Gem. abs. fout2.6pt

Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie

Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.

Sep 04+0.8%Sep 11-0.0%Sep 18+0.0%Sep 25+1.1%Oct 02+0.0%Oct 09+0.2%Oct 16-0.0%
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk

Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)

SnapshotVervaltDTESpot destijdsExpected moveBereikMethode
Oct 19 Oct 23 4 1,241.00 ±2.9% 1,204.95–1,277.05 em-1.0
Oct 16 Oct 23 7 1,257.15 ±3.6% 1,211.60–1,302.70 em-1.0
Oct 14 Oct 23 9 1,209.51 ±4.3% 1,157.54–1,261.48 em-1.0
Oct 13 Oct 23 10 1,166.51 ±4.3% 1,115.84–1,217.18 em-1.0
Oct 09 Oct 23 14 1,177.40 ±4.9% 1,120.20–1,234.60 em-1.0
Oct 08 Oct 23 15 1,165.00 ±5.1% 1,105.83–1,224.17 em-1.0
Oct 07 Oct 23 16 1,189.50 ±5.2% 1,127.60–1,251.40 em-1.0
Oct 06 Oct 23 17 1,159.00 ±5.4% 1,096.58–1,221.42 em-1.0
Oct 05 Oct 23 18 1,146.25 ±5.3% 1,085.70–1,206.80 em-1.0
Oct 02 Oct 23 21 1,142.85 ±5.7% 1,078.10–1,207.60 em-1.0
Oct 01 Oct 23 22 1,150.28 ±6.3% 1,077.91–1,222.66 em-1.0
Sep 23 Oct 23 30 1,170.23 ±7.4% 1,083.36–1,257.11 em-1.0
Sep 22 Oct 23 31 1,170.52 ±7.4% 1,083.91–1,257.12 em-1.0
Sep 21 Oct 23 32 1,166.00 ±7.5% 1,078.55–1,253.45 em-1.0
Sep 18 Oct 23 35 1,152.75 ±7.6% 1,064.97–1,240.53 em-1.0
Sep 17 Oct 23 36 1,150.06 ±8.1% 1,056.56–1,243.56 em-1.0
Sep 16 Oct 23 37 1,138.34 ±8.1% 1,046.57–1,230.12 em-1.0
Sep 15 Oct 23 38 1,134.29 ±8.5% 1,037.74–1,230.84 em-1.0
Sep 14 Oct 23 39 1,140.05 ±8.5% 1,043.55–1,236.55 em-1.0
Sep 11 Oct 23 42 1,116.00 ±8.3% 1,023.15–1,208.85 em-1.0
Sep 10 Oct 23 43 1,128.70 ±9.0% 1,026.60–1,230.80 em-1.0
Sep 09 Oct 23 44 1,126.20 ±9.0% 1,025.03–1,227.38 em-1.0
Sep 08 Oct 23 45 1,124.10 ±9.0% 1,022.92–1,225.28 em-1.0
Sep 07 Oct 23 46 1,146.65 ±9.6% 1,036.78–1,256.53 em-1.0
Sep 04 Oct 23 49 1,140.22 ±9.1% 1,035.97–1,244.47 em-1.0
Sep 03 Oct 23 50 1,158.32 ±9.5% 1,047.74–1,268.89 em-1.0
Oct 19 Oct 30 11 1,241.00 ±7.5% 1,148.03–1,333.97 em-1.0
Oct 16 Oct 30 14 1,257.15 ±7.7% 1,159.95–1,354.35 em-1.0
Oct 14 Oct 30 16 1,209.51 ±8.6% 1,105.38–1,313.63 em-1.0
Oct 13 Oct 30 17 1,166.51 ±8.3% 1,069.68–1,263.34 em-1.0

Vastgelegde snapshots

SnapshotVerlopenVerwachtWerkelijkBinnen bereik?Spot → slotkoers
Oct 16, 2026 Oct 16 ±0.4% -0.0% binnen 1,257.15 → 1,257.03
Oct 14, 2026 Oct 16 ±2.2% +3.9% buiten 1,209.51 → 1,257.03
Oct 13, 2026 Oct 16 ±2.5% +7.8% buiten 1,166.51 → 1,257.03
Oct 09, 2026 Oct 16 ±3.2% +6.8% buiten 1,177.40 → 1,257.03
Oct 08, 2026 Oct 16 ±3.9% +7.9% buiten 1,165.00 → 1,257.03
Oct 07, 2026 Oct 16 ±4.0% +5.7% buiten 1,189.50 → 1,257.03
Oct 06, 2026 Oct 16 ±4.3% +8.5% buiten 1,159.00 → 1,257.03
Oct 05, 2026 Oct 16 ±4.3% +9.7% buiten 1,146.25 → 1,257.03
Oct 02, 2026 Oct 16 ±4.9% +10.0% buiten 1,142.85 → 1,257.03
Oct 01, 2026 Oct 16 ±4.9% +9.3% buiten 1,150.28 → 1,257.03
Sep 23, 2026 Oct 16 ±6.5% +7.4% buiten 1,170.23 → 1,257.03
Sep 22, 2026 Oct 16 ±6.5% +7.4% buiten 1,170.52 → 1,257.03
Sep 21, 2026 Oct 16 ±6.7% +7.8% buiten 1,166.00 → 1,257.03
Sep 18, 2026 Oct 16 ±6.7% +9.0% buiten 1,152.75 → 1,257.03
Sep 17, 2026 Oct 16 ±7.2% +9.3% buiten 1,150.06 → 1,257.03
Sep 16, 2026 Oct 16 ±7.3% +10.4% buiten 1,138.34 → 1,257.03
Sep 15, 2026 Oct 16 ±7.6% +10.8% buiten 1,134.29 → 1,257.03
Sep 14, 2026 Oct 16 ±7.7% +10.3% buiten 1,140.05 → 1,257.03
Sep 11, 2026 Oct 16 ±7.9% +12.6% buiten 1,116.00 → 1,257.03
Sep 10, 2026 Oct 16 ±8.0% +11.4% buiten 1,128.70 → 1,257.03
Sep 09, 2026 Oct 16 ±8.1% +11.6% buiten 1,126.20 → 1,257.03
Sep 08, 2026 Oct 16 ±8.6% +11.8% buiten 1,124.10 → 1,257.03
Sep 07, 2026 Oct 16 ±8.7% +9.6% buiten 1,146.65 → 1,257.03
Sep 04, 2026 Oct 16 ±8.6% +10.2% buiten 1,140.22 → 1,257.03
Sep 03, 2026 Oct 16 ±8.6% +8.5% binnen 1,158.32 → 1,257.03
Sep 02, 2026 Oct 16 ±9.0% +7.8% binnen 1,165.99 → 1,257.03
Sep 01, 2026 Oct 16 ±9.2% +8.4% binnen 1,159.60 → 1,257.03
Aug 31, 2026 Oct 16 ±8.9% +8.5% binnen 1,159.06 → 1,257.03
Oct 09, 2026 Oct 09 ±0.3% +0.2% binnen 1,177.40 → 1,179.27
Oct 08, 2026 Oct 09 ±1.8% +1.2% binnen 1,165.00 → 1,179.27
Oct 07, 2026 Oct 09 ±2.0% -0.9% binnen 1,189.50 → 1,179.27
Oct 06, 2026 Oct 09 ±2.5% +1.7% binnen 1,159.00 → 1,179.27
Oct 05, 2026 Oct 09 ±2.9% +2.9% buiten 1,146.25 → 1,179.27
Oct 02, 2026 Oct 09 ±3.1% +3.2% buiten 1,142.85 → 1,179.27
Oct 01, 2026 Oct 09 ±3.6% +2.5% binnen 1,150.28 → 1,179.27
Sep 23, 2026 Oct 09 ±5.4% +0.8% binnen 1,170.23 → 1,179.27
Sep 22, 2026 Oct 09 ±5.3% +0.7% binnen 1,170.52 → 1,179.27
Sep 21, 2026 Oct 09 ±5.6% +1.1% binnen 1,166.00 → 1,179.27
Sep 18, 2026 Oct 09 ±6.0% +2.3% binnen 1,152.75 → 1,179.27
Sep 17, 2026 Oct 09 ±6.3% +2.5% binnen 1,150.06 → 1,179.27
Sep 16, 2026 Oct 09 ±6.5% +3.6% binnen 1,138.34 → 1,179.27
Sep 15, 2026 Oct 09 ±7.0% +4.0% binnen 1,134.29 → 1,179.27
Sep 14, 2026 Oct 09 ±6.6% +3.4% binnen 1,140.05 → 1,179.27
Sep 11, 2026 Oct 09 ±6.6% +5.7% binnen 1,116.00 → 1,179.27
Sep 10, 2026 Oct 09 ±7.3% +4.5% binnen 1,128.70 → 1,179.27
Sep 09, 2026 Oct 09 ±7.5% +4.7% binnen 1,126.20 → 1,179.27
Sep 08, 2026 Oct 09 ±7.8% +4.9% binnen 1,124.10 → 1,179.27
Sep 07, 2026 Oct 09 ±7.8% +2.8% binnen 1,146.65 → 1,179.27
Sep 04, 2026 Oct 09 ±7.5% +3.4% binnen 1,140.22 → 1,179.27
Sep 03, 2026 Oct 09 ±7.9% +1.8% binnen 1,158.32 → 1,179.27
Sep 02, 2026 Oct 09 ±8.3% +1.1% binnen 1,165.99 → 1,179.27
Sep 01, 2026 Oct 09 ±8.6% +1.7% binnen 1,159.60 → 1,179.27
Aug 31, 2026 Oct 09 ±8.4% +1.7% binnen 1,159.06 → 1,179.27
Oct 02, 2026 Oct 02 ±0.5% +0.0% binnen 1,142.85 → 1,142.85
Oct 01, 2026 Oct 02 ±1.5% -0.6% binnen 1,150.28 → 1,142.85
Sep 23, 2026 Oct 02 ±4.2% -2.3% binnen 1,170.23 → 1,142.85
Sep 22, 2026 Oct 02 ±4.2% -2.4% binnen 1,170.52 → 1,142.85
Sep 21, 2026 Oct 02 ±4.6% -2.0% binnen 1,166.00 → 1,142.85
Sep 18, 2026 Oct 02 ±4.8% -0.9% binnen 1,152.75 → 1,142.85
Sep 17, 2026 Oct 02 ±5.3% -0.6% binnen 1,150.06 → 1,142.85

Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.

Cyclische consumptiegoederen

ABNB · Airbnb, Inc.AMZN · Amazon.com, Inc.AZO · AutoZone, Inc.BABA · Alibaba Group Holding…BBY · Best Buy Co., Inc.BYD · Boyd Gaming CorporationCAVA · CAVA Group, Inc.CCL · Carnival Corporation & plc

ETF

ARKK · ARK Innovation ETFBITO · ProShares Bitcoin ETFDIA · State Street SPDR Dow…EEM · iShares MSCI Emerging…EFA · iShares MSCI EAFE ETFEWZ · iShares MSCI Brazil ETFFXI · iShares China Large-Cap ETFGDX · VanEck Gold Miners ETF

Technologie

AAPL · Apple Inc.ADBE · Adobe Inc.AI · C3.ai, Inc.AMAT · Applied Materials, Inc.AMD · Advanced Micro Device…APP · AppLovin CorporationARM · Arm Holdings plc Amer…ASML · ASML Holding N.V.

Financiële dienstverlening

AFRM · Affirm Holdings, Inc.ALL · The Allstate CorporationALLY · Ally Financial Inc.AXP · American Express CompanyBAC · Bank of America CorporationBLK · BlackRock, Inc.BX · Blackstone Inc.C · Citigroup Inc.

Industrie

AAL · American Airlines Gro…BA · The Boeing CompanyCAT · Caterpillar Inc.CMI · Cummins Inc.DAL · Delta Air Lines, Inc.DE · Deere & CompanyEMR · Emerson Electric Co.ETN · Eaton Corporation plc

Defensieve consumptiegoederen

CELH · Celsius Holdings, Inc.CL · Colgate-Palmolive CompanyCOST · Costco Wholesale Corp…DG · Dollar General CorporationDLTR · Dollar Tree, Inc.EL · The Estée Lauder Comp…GIS · General Mills, Inc.HSY · The Hershey Company