KWEB histórico de movimento esperado KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas121
Fechar dentro do intervalo78%
|Real| abaixo do esperado78%
Movimento esperado médio±4.6%
Movimento |real| médio2.8%
Erro médio absoluto2.4pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 24.30 | ±8.4% | 22.27–26.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 24.42 | ±2.8% | 23.74–25.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 24.50 | ±2.6% | 23.86–25.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 24.79 | ±3.3% | 23.98–25.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 24.93 | ±4.1% | 23.90–25.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 24.00 | ±4.3% | 22.96–25.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 24.39 | ±3.6% | 23.50–25.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 24.56 | ±3.7% | 23.64–25.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 24.58 | ±4.2% | 23.55–25.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 23.86 | ±4.7% | 22.75–24.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 24.30 | ±4.9% | 23.11–25.49 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 25.41 | ±6.2% | 23.83–26.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 25.34 | ±6.2% | 23.76–26.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 25.21 | ±6.0% | 23.69–26.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 24.98 | ±5.5% | 23.61–26.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 24.49 | ±6.5% | 22.91–26.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 24.29 | ±6.5% | 22.71–25.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 24.51 | ±5.4% | 23.18–25.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 24.80 | ±6.7% | 23.15–26.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 24.65 | ±7.5% | 22.80–26.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 24.58 | ±8.1% | 22.60–26.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 24.85 | ±14.2% | 21.31–28.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 25.44 | ±8.1% | 23.39–27.49 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 26.05 | ±7.5% | 24.10–28.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 26.05 | ±7.5% | 24.10–28.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 25.60 | ±11.9% | 22.55–28.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 24.30 | ±4.8% | 23.14–25.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 24.42 | ±4.2% | 23.39–25.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 24.50 | ±4.5% | 23.40–25.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 24.79 | ±4.8% | 23.59–25.98 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.7% | -0.0% | dentro | 24.42 → 24.41 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | -0.4% | dentro | 24.50 → 24.41 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | -1.5% | dentro | 24.79 → 24.41 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | -2.1% | dentro | 24.93 → 24.41 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +1.7% | dentro | 24.00 → 24.41 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +0.1% | dentro | 24.39 → 24.41 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | -0.6% | dentro | 24.56 → 24.41 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -0.7% | dentro | 24.58 → 24.41 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +2.3% | dentro | 23.86 → 24.41 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +0.5% | dentro | 24.30 → 24.41 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -3.9% | dentro | 25.41 → 24.41 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -3.7% | dentro | 25.34 → 24.41 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -3.2% | dentro | 25.21 → 24.41 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -2.3% | dentro | 24.98 → 24.41 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -0.3% | dentro | 24.49 → 24.41 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | +0.5% | dentro | 24.29 → 24.41 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -0.4% | dentro | 24.51 → 24.41 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -1.6% | dentro | 24.80 → 24.41 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -1.0% | dentro | 24.65 → 24.41 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -0.7% | dentro | 24.58 → 24.41 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -1.8% | dentro | 24.85 → 24.41 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -4.0% | dentro | 25.44 → 24.41 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -6.3% | dentro | 26.05 → 24.41 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -6.3% | dentro | 26.05 → 24.41 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -4.6% | dentro | 25.60 → 24.41 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -5.4% | dentro | 25.80 → 24.41 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -5.1% | dentro | 25.71 → 24.41 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -5.9% | dentro | 25.95 → 24.41 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | +0.0% | dentro | 24.93 → 24.93 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | +3.9% | fora | 24.00 → 24.93 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +2.2% | fora | 24.39 → 24.93 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +1.5% | dentro | 24.56 → 24.93 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +1.4% | dentro | 24.58 → 24.93 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +4.5% | fora | 23.86 → 24.93 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +2.6% | fora | 24.30 → 24.93 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -1.9% | dentro | 25.41 → 24.93 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -1.6% | dentro | 25.34 → 24.93 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -1.1% | dentro | 25.21 → 24.93 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | -0.2% | dentro | 24.98 → 24.93 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +1.8% | dentro | 24.49 → 24.93 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | +2.6% | dentro | 24.29 → 24.93 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +1.7% | dentro | 24.51 → 24.93 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | +0.5% | dentro | 24.80 → 24.93 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +1.1% | dentro | 24.65 → 24.93 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | +1.4% | dentro | 24.58 → 24.93 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +0.3% | dentro | 24.85 → 24.93 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -2.0% | dentro | 25.44 → 24.93 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -4.3% | dentro | 26.05 → 24.93 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -4.3% | dentro | 26.05 → 24.93 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -2.6% | dentro | 25.60 → 24.93 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | -3.4% | dentro | 25.80 → 24.93 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -3.0% | dentro | 25.71 → 24.93 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -3.9% | dentro | 25.95 → 24.93 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.4% | +0.0% | dentro | 23.86 → 23.86 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.3% | -1.8% | fora | 24.30 → 23.86 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.0% | -6.1% | dentro | 25.41 → 23.86 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.1% | -5.8% | dentro | 25.34 → 23.86 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -5.4% | fora | 25.21 → 23.86 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -4.5% | fora | 24.98 → 23.86 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | -2.6% | dentro | 24.49 → 23.86 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.