KVUE 预期波动历史 Kenvue Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内55%
|实际值| 低于预期值55%
平均预期波动幅度±3.4%
平均|实际|波动幅度3.0%
平均绝对误差2.4pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 18.91 | ±6.4% | 17.70–20.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 18.01 | ±1.1% | 17.81–18.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 17.76 | ±1.8% | 17.43–18.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 17.70 | ±1.9% | 17.36–18.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 17.73 | ±2.5% | 17.29–18.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 17.53 | ±2.2% | 17.14–17.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 17.59 | ±2.8% | 17.11–18.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 17.38 | ±2.9% | 16.88–17.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 17.20 | ±4.5% | 16.43–17.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 17.34 | ±9.3% | 15.72–18.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 17.85 | ±4.1% | 17.11–18.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 17.84 | ±4.1% | 17.12–18.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 17.70 | ±9.6% | 16.00–19.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 17.89 | ±4.6% | 17.07–18.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 17.95 | ±5.2% | 17.01–18.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 17.85 | ±4.8% | 17.00–18.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 17.81 | ±5.1% | 16.91–18.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 17.92 | ±5.0% | 17.03–18.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 17.75 | ±4.9% | 16.89–18.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 17.80 | ±6.0% | 16.73–18.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 17.84 | ±5.0% | 16.95–18.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 18.39 | ±4.4% | 17.59–19.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 18.74 | ±5.3% | 17.75–19.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 18.77 | ±5.2% | 17.78–19.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 18.85 | ±4.9% | 17.92–19.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 19.09 | ±4.8% | 18.18–20.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 18.75 | ±5.4% | 17.73–19.77 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 18.92 | ±4.9% | 17.99–19.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 18.91 | ±1.9% | 18.56–19.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 18.01 | ±2.4% | 17.57–18.45 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 17.70 → 17.70 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.3% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 17.73 → 17.70 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 17.53 → 17.70 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 17.59 → 17.70 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.3% | +1.8% | 区间外 | 17.38 → 17.70 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | +2.9% | 区间外 | 17.20 → 17.70 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | +2.1% | 区间内 | 17.34 → 17.70 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 17.85 → 17.70 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 17.84 → 17.70 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 17.70 → 17.70 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 17.89 → 17.70 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 17.95 → 17.70 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 17.85 → 17.70 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 17.81 → 17.70 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 17.92 → 17.70 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 17.75 → 17.70 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 17.80 → 17.70 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 17.84 → 17.70 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 18.39 → 17.70 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -5.5% | 区间外 | 18.74 → 17.70 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -5.7% | 区间外 | 18.77 → 17.70 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -6.1% | 区间外 | 18.85 → 17.70 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | -7.3% | 区间外 | 19.09 → 17.70 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -5.6% | 区间外 | 18.75 → 17.70 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -6.4% | 区间外 | 18.92 → 17.70 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 17.20 → 17.20 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 17.34 → 17.20 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.2% | -3.6% | 区间外 | 17.85 → 17.20 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.4% | -3.6% | 区间外 | 17.84 → 17.20 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -2.8% | 区间外 | 17.70 → 17.20 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -3.9% | 区间外 | 17.89 → 17.20 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.3% | -4.2% | 区间外 | 17.95 → 17.20 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 17.85 → 17.20 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 17.81 → 17.20 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | -4.0% | 区间外 | 17.92 → 17.20 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 17.75 → 17.20 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 17.80 → 17.20 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 17.84 → 17.20 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 18.39 → 17.20 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | -8.2% | 区间外 | 18.74 → 17.20 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 18.77 → 17.20 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | -8.7% | 区间外 | 18.85 → 17.20 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -9.9% | 区间外 | 19.09 → 17.20 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 18.75 → 17.20 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -9.1% | 区间外 | 18.92 → 17.20 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.0% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 17.85 → 17.80 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.3% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 17.84 → 17.80 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.2% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 17.70 → 17.80 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.6% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 17.89 → 17.80 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.9% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 17.95 → 17.80 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 17.85 → 17.80 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.3% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 17.81 → 17.80 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.1% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 17.92 → 17.80 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.2% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 17.75 → 17.80 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 17.80 → 17.80 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.3% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 17.84 → 17.80 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.9% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 18.39 → 17.80 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.2% | -5.0% | 区间外 | 18.74 → 17.80 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | -5.1% | 区间外 | 18.77 → 17.80 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | -5.6% | 区间外 | 18.85 → 17.80 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.