KRE riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan State Street SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan111
Tutup dalam rentang65%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi64%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±3.8%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|3.3%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut1.3pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 69.95 | ±0.4% | 69.67–70.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 68.54 | ±2.2% | 67.02–70.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 69.02 | ±2.3% | 67.47–70.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 69.04 | ±2.8% | 67.12–70.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 69.57 | ±2.9% | 67.56–71.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 69.00 | ±3.8% | 66.41–71.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 70.06 | ±3.1% | 67.89–72.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 70.45 | ±3.0% | 68.36–72.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 70.78 | ±4.1% | 67.86–73.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 69.95 | ±4.0% | 67.16–72.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 71.60 | ±4.6% | 68.33–74.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 71.60 | ±4.6% | 68.33–74.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 72.32 | ±4.5% | 69.07–75.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 72.77 | ±5.8% | 68.53–77.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 72.77 | ±5.2% | 69.02–76.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 72.73 | ±5.3% | 68.87–76.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 74.09 | ±5.5% | 70.02–78.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 74.05 | ±6.4% | 69.32–78.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 73.75 | ±5.4% | 69.77–77.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 73.42 | ±5.8% | 69.14–77.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 73.33 | ±5.8% | 69.11–77.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 74.36 | ±6.6% | 69.47–79.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 75.27 | ±7.2% | 69.84–80.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 75.27 | ±5.8% | 70.88–79.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 74.90 | ±5.7% | 70.63–79.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 74.21 | ±7.1% | 68.92–79.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 72.59 | ±6.4% | 67.97–77.21 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 73.48 | ±6.2% | 68.92–78.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 69.95 | ±3.2% | 67.73–72.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 68.54 | ±3.9% | 65.84–71.23 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | -0.0% | di dalam | 69.04 → 69.01 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | -0.8% | di dalam | 69.57 → 69.01 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +0.0% | di dalam | 69.00 → 69.01 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | -1.5% | di dalam | 70.06 → 69.01 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | -2.0% | di luar | 70.45 → 69.01 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | -2.5% | di luar | 70.78 → 69.01 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -1.3% | di dalam | 69.95 → 69.01 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | -3.6% | di dalam | 71.60 → 69.01 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | -3.6% | di dalam | 71.60 → 69.01 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -4.6% | di luar | 72.32 → 69.01 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -5.2% | di luar | 72.77 → 69.01 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -5.2% | di dalam | 72.77 → 69.01 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -5.1% | di dalam | 72.73 → 69.01 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -6.9% | di luar | 74.09 → 69.01 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -6.8% | di luar | 74.05 → 69.01 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -6.4% | di luar | 73.75 → 69.01 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -6.0% | di luar | 73.42 → 69.01 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -5.9% | di luar | 73.33 → 69.01 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -7.2% | di luar | 74.36 → 69.01 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -8.3% | di luar | 75.27 → 69.01 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -8.3% | di luar | 75.27 → 69.01 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -7.9% | di luar | 74.90 → 69.01 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | -7.0% | di luar | 74.21 → 69.01 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -4.9% | di dalam | 72.59 → 69.01 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -6.1% | di luar | 73.48 → 69.01 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.0% | +0.0% | di dalam | 70.78 → 70.78 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.8% | +1.2% | di dalam | 69.95 → 70.78 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -1.1% | di dalam | 71.60 → 70.78 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -1.1% | di dalam | 71.60 → 70.78 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.9% | -2.1% | di dalam | 72.32 → 70.78 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -2.7% | di dalam | 72.77 → 70.78 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -2.7% | di dalam | 72.77 → 70.78 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | -2.7% | di dalam | 72.73 → 70.78 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -4.5% | di luar | 74.09 → 70.78 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -4.4% | di dalam | 74.05 → 70.78 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -4.0% | di dalam | 73.75 → 70.78 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -3.6% | di dalam | 73.42 → 70.78 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | -3.5% | di dalam | 73.33 → 70.78 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -4.8% | di dalam | 74.36 → 70.78 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -6.0% | di luar | 75.27 → 70.78 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -6.0% | di luar | 75.27 → 70.78 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -5.5% | di luar | 74.90 → 70.78 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | -4.6% | di dalam | 74.21 → 70.78 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -2.5% | di dalam | 72.59 → 70.78 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -3.7% | di dalam | 73.48 → 70.78 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.7% | -3.0% | di luar | 71.60 → 69.44 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.7% | -3.0% | di luar | 71.60 → 69.44 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±2.5% | -4.0% | di luar | 72.32 → 69.44 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.6% | -4.6% | di luar | 72.77 → 69.44 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.6% | -4.6% | di dalam | 72.77 → 69.44 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.4% | -4.5% | di luar | 72.73 → 69.44 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.9% | -6.3% | di luar | 74.09 → 69.44 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.2% | -6.2% | di luar | 74.05 → 69.44 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±3.9% | -5.8% | di luar | 73.75 → 69.44 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.5% | -5.4% | di luar | 73.42 → 69.44 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.5% | -5.3% | di luar | 73.33 → 69.44 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.8% | -6.6% | di luar | 74.36 → 69.44 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.9% | -7.7% | di luar | 75.27 → 69.44 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.7% | -7.7% | di luar | 75.27 → 69.44 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 30 | ±4.5% | -7.3% | di luar | 74.90 → 69.44 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.