KO historial de movimiento esperado The Coca-Cola Company
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas121
Cierre dentro del rango69%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado69%
Movimiento esperado promedio±2.9%
Movimiento |real| promedio2.3%
Error medio abs.1.9pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 93.45 | ±1.8% | 91.78–95.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 93.77 | ±2.2% | 91.72–95.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 91.70 | ±2.4% | 89.54–93.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 90.02 | ±2.3% | 87.94–92.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 88.12 | ±2.6% | 85.78–90.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 87.72 | ±2.9% | 85.16–90.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 85.92 | ±2.9% | 83.42–88.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 86.35 | ±3.2% | 83.62–89.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 86.47 | ±3.2% | 83.70–89.24 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 85.71 | ±3.5% | 82.73–88.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 86.20 | ±3.6% | 83.10–89.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 88.61 | ±4.3% | 84.83–92.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 88.65 | ±4.3% | 84.87–92.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 87.37 | ±4.3% | 83.62–91.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 88.23 | ±4.5% | 84.28–92.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 88.09 | ±4.7% | 83.95–92.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 88.08 | ±4.7% | 83.92–92.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 88.66 | ±5.0% | 84.20–93.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 89.36 | ±4.8% | 85.08–93.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 88.25 | ±5.0% | 83.81–92.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 88.02 | ±5.3% | 83.39–92.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 87.60 | ±5.6% | 82.67–92.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 88.42 | ±5.8% | 83.33–93.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 88.15 | ±5.5% | 83.33–92.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 88.14 | ±5.5% | 83.33–92.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 88.87 | ±5.5% | 83.97–93.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 93.45 | ±3.7% | 90.02–96.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 93.77 | ±4.2% | 89.88–97.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 91.70 | ±4.2% | 87.89–95.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 90.02 | ±4.0% | 86.38–93.66 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.4% | +0.1% | dentro | 93.77 → 93.90 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.3% | +2.4% | fuera | 91.70 → 93.90 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.4% | +4.3% | fuera | 90.02 → 93.90 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.8% | +6.6% | fuera | 88.12 → 93.90 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.2% | +7.0% | fuera | 87.72 → 93.90 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +9.3% | fuera | 85.92 → 93.90 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +8.7% | fuera | 86.35 → 93.90 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +8.6% | fuera | 86.47 → 93.90 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +9.6% | fuera | 85.71 → 93.90 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +8.9% | fuera | 86.20 → 93.90 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +6.0% | fuera | 88.61 → 93.90 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +5.9% | fuera | 88.65 → 93.90 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +7.5% | fuera | 87.37 → 93.90 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +6.4% | fuera | 88.23 → 93.90 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +6.6% | fuera | 88.09 → 93.90 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +6.6% | fuera | 88.08 → 93.90 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | +5.9% | fuera | 88.66 → 93.90 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +5.1% | fuera | 89.36 → 93.90 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +6.4% | fuera | 88.25 → 93.90 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +6.7% | fuera | 88.02 → 93.90 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +7.2% | fuera | 87.60 → 93.90 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +6.2% | fuera | 88.42 → 93.90 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +6.5% | fuera | 88.15 → 93.90 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +6.5% | fuera | 88.14 → 93.90 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +5.7% | fuera | 88.87 → 93.90 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +6.1% | fuera | 88.47 → 93.90 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +6.7% | fuera | 88.04 → 93.90 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +5.5% | fuera | 88.98 → 93.90 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.1% | -0.1% | dentro | 88.12 → 88.05 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | +0.4% | dentro | 87.72 → 88.05 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | +2.5% | fuera | 85.92 → 88.05 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +2.0% | fuera | 86.35 → 88.05 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +1.8% | fuera | 86.47 → 88.05 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +2.7% | fuera | 85.71 → 88.05 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +2.1% | dentro | 86.20 → 88.05 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | -0.6% | dentro | 88.61 → 88.05 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | -0.7% | dentro | 88.65 → 88.05 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | +0.8% | dentro | 87.37 → 88.05 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | -0.2% | dentro | 88.23 → 88.05 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | -0.0% | dentro | 88.09 → 88.05 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -0.0% | dentro | 88.08 → 88.05 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -0.7% | dentro | 88.66 → 88.05 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -1.5% | dentro | 89.36 → 88.05 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | -0.2% | dentro | 88.25 → 88.05 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | +0.0% | dentro | 88.02 → 88.05 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | +0.5% | dentro | 87.60 → 88.05 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -0.4% | dentro | 88.42 → 88.05 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -0.1% | dentro | 88.15 → 88.05 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -0.1% | dentro | 88.14 → 88.05 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -0.9% | dentro | 88.87 → 88.05 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | -0.5% | dentro | 88.47 → 88.05 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | +0.0% | dentro | 88.04 → 88.05 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -1.0% | dentro | 88.98 → 88.05 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.4% | -0.1% | dentro | 85.71 → 85.65 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.7% | -0.6% | dentro | 86.20 → 85.65 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.5% | -3.3% | fuera | 88.61 → 85.65 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.5% | -3.4% | fuera | 88.65 → 85.65 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.4% | -2.0% | dentro | 87.37 → 85.65 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.6% | -2.9% | fuera | 88.23 → 85.65 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.8% | -2.8% | dentro | 88.09 → 85.65 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.